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Worldwide ATM Switch 2004-2008 Forecast Update:October 2004

Published by: IDC

Published: Oct. 1, 2004 - 9 Pages


Table of Contents


Table of Contents
IDC Opinion
In This Study
Methodology
Definitions
Situation Overview
Future Outlook
Forecast and Assumptions
Table: Worldwide Network Service Provider and Enterprise ATM Switch Revenue, 2001-2008 ($M)
Key Forecast Assumptions
Table: Key Forecast Assumptions for the Worldwide ATM Switch Market, 2004-2008
Market Drivers
Packet Services
Table: Worldwide Frame Relay and ATM Service Revenue, 2003-2008 ($M)
DSL Aggregation
Table: Worldwide DSL Lines in Service, 2003-2008
IP VPNs
3G Wireless
Essential Guidance
Learn More
Related Research
Synopsis

Abstract

This IDC study discusses how the ATM switch market continues to struggle as leading network service providers (NSPs) start their migration to an all-IP network. The overall market declined more than 12% during the first half of 2004 and is forecast to decline 12% for the full year of 2004. Despite these challenges, the ATM switch remains an essential component of the ability of NSPs to offer frame relay and ATM services ? a $22 billion market and one forecast to grow moderately over the next few years.

ATM demand driven by a huge number of new DSL subscribers is starting to moderate due to the migration of DSLAMs based on ATM aggregation to Ethernet/IP. Price erosion and technology competition from IP/MPLS routers remain as market inhibitors. The ATM switch will continue as a key part of most large NSP networks, but it is unlikely to be a growth market for network equipment providers.

"A key problem for ATM switch suppliers is their quest to remain relevant as all major carriers have publicly committed to an all-IP network." ? Lee Doyle, group VP, Network Infrastructure



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