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Published by: Mintel International Group Ltd.
Published: Sep. 1, 2004 - 125 Pages
Table of Contents Introduction and Abbreviations
The paradox Definitions Consumer research Lifestage and Special Groups ACORN Advertising data Abbreviations
Premier Insight
Executive Summary
Increasingly important market Feel the squeeze Consumer needs - emerging trends revealed Biggest manufacturers and their brands... ...correlate with advertising support Multiple grocers increasingly important Consumers - a host of opportunities The future
Market Drivers
PDI growth feeds indulgence Figure 1: PDI and consumer expenditure, at current and constant 1999 prices, 1999-2009 Figure 2: The rise in PDI and consumer expenditure, as an index at current prices, 1999-2009 Shifting demographics Figure 3: Trends and projections in total UK population, by age group, 1999-2009 Perception challenge for older adults Families are shrinking Less discerning palates Smaller households Figure 4: Trends in household size, 1999-2009 Fair trade and organic Sophisticated tastes Other factors Psychological love affair... Figure 5: Chocolate consumption in the leading world economies, kg per person per annum, 2003 ...and now for some science! Variety feeds interest Need-states Staying in is the new going out Brand extension and transferral rather than proliferation Packaging structure and gifting The obesity frenzy Shopping methods...and men
Market Size and Trends
Putting the market in context Figure 6: Total UK trade dispatch data for sugar and chocolate confectionery, 1999-2004 Immense and powerful Sugar responsible for volume growth Figure 7: UK trade dispatch data for chocolate confectionery, 1999-2004 Chocolate volume stagnant Value encouraging Volume downturn looming? Figure 8: Average price of chocolate confectionery based on trade dispatches, 1999-2004 Figure 9: UK retail sales of chocolate confectionery, 2001-04 Figure 10: UK retail sales of chocolate confectionery, by sector, 2001-04 Countlines struggle Boxed - second-largest sector Pop-in-mouth blossoms Bars - important for luxury Consumer need-states Figure 11: UK retail sales of chocolate confectionery by consumer usage occasion, 2002 and 2003 For me - slight decline For you - taps into busy lifestyles For us - heartland of sharing For me and us (In-home) Luxury chocolate Figure 12: UK retail sales of luxury chocolate confectionery, 1999-2004 Strong and growing Figure 13: Percentage of total chocolate market represented, by luxury chocolate sector based on retail prices, 2001-04 Increasingly important Figure 14: Average price of luxury chocolate confectionery based on retail prices, 1999-2004 Prices are the answer
Market Segmentation
Figure 15: Luxury chocolate market sectors, by volume and value, 2001-04 Super-premium storms ahead Mainstream struggles - feel the squeeze Premium doing well - but at what price? Figure 16: Selected product sectors within the luxury chocolate market, retail values, 2001-04 Mints are stable Liqueur revival Blocks bound ahead Consumer need-states Figure 17: UK retail values for the luxury chocolate sector, by consumer usage occasion, 2002 and 2003 For me For you For us
The Supply Structure
Manufacturer shares Figure 18: Manufacturers' value shares in the UK luxury chocolates market, 2000 and 2003 Cadbury focuses elsewhere (...but not for long) A similar tale for Masterfoods Nestlé - active and determined KJS - focused and winning Thorntons - sector-specific and number two Ferrero - fastest growth and more to come Brand shares Figure 19: Selected estimated brand value shares in the UK luxury chocolates market, 2003 Companies and brands Brand Audit Figure 20: Companies and their brands in the UK luxury chocolates market, 2004 Bendicks (Mayfair) Limited Cadbury Trebor Bassett (CTB) Elizabeth Shaw Limited Ferrero UK Limited Green & Black Guylian (UK) Limited Kraft Jacob Suchard Lindt (Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli (Schweiz) AG) Masterfoods (Mars) Nestlé Thorntons Other suppliers Ashbury Confectionery Limited Charbonnel et Walker CHOCaid.com The Day Chocolate Company Duc d'O Godiva Goldkenn Hotel Chocolat House of Dorchester Lily O'Briens Lir Chocolates New Tree Ritter Swiss Delice Own-label New products Ingredients and Production Positioning Ethical remains relevant Brand extensions... ...and entrants from 'the big boys' White chocolate is increasing in popularity Celebrity endorsement - the flood gates open? Fresh, chilled chocolates - a golden opportunity?
Advertising and Promotion
Above the line Figure 21: Main monitored media advertising expenditure on luxury chocolates, 1999-2004 Healthy support Figure 22: Main monitored media advertising expenditure on luxury chocolates, by high-spending brands, 2001-04 Few large contributors Ferrero leads Hotel Chocolat - Internet retailer number two Nestlé - determined to make inroads Lindt - a strong number four Thorntons Below the line Figure 23: Selected below-the-line promotions in luxury boxed chocolate, 2003-04 For brand's sake - no BOGOF! Figure 24: Selected below-the-line promotions in luxury block and bar chocolate, 2003-04 Different mechanics for blocks
Distribution
Figure 25: Distribution of luxury chocolate, by retail channel, 2000 and 2003 Multiple grocers lead - as usual Impulse slows Specialist retailers and confectionery stores Internet - best of both worlds Category segmentation
The Consumer
Figure 26: Trends in the purchase of chocolate assortments and other boxed chocolates, 1999-2004 Penetration fluctuates Heavy users - gifts and sharing Medium users - 'the big night in' Light and non-users - accessibility vital A new segmentation? Consumer perceptions Figure 27: Consumer perceptions of luxury chocolates, 2001 and 2004 Erosion of product values Cocoa solids a mixed blessing Super-premium gains ground Confusion may be good! Figure 28: Changes in consumer perceptions of luxury chocolates, by gender, 2001-04 Women are more savvy ABs expect a high level of cocoa solids and fresh ingredients Figure 29: Top five perceptions of luxury chocolates, by socio-economic group, May 2004 Purchase occasions Figure 30: Changes in the reasons/occasions for buying luxury chocolates, 1999-2004 A sorry tale to tell Marketeers - pull your socks up! Figure 31: Reasons for buying luxury chocolates, gender perceptions, 2001-04 Almost identical behaviour ABs are key Figure 32: Reasons/occasions for buying luxury chocolates, by socio-economic group and supermarkets used, May 2004
The Consumer - Detailed Demographics
TGI demographics Figure 33: Weight of usage of chocolate assortments and other boxed chocolates, by gender, age and socio-economic group, 2004 Figure 34: Weight of usage of chocolate assortments and other boxed chocolates, by marital status, working status, household size and region, 2004 Figure 35: Weight of usage of chocolate assortments and other boxed chocolates, by lifestage, presence of children and Mintel's Special Groups, 2004 Consumer attitudes Figure 36: Consumer perceptions of luxury chocolates, May 2004 Figure 37: Female perceptions of luxury chocolates, 2001 and 2004 Figure 38: Male perceptions of luxury chocolates, 2001 and 2004 Figure 39: Consumer perceptions of luxury chocolates, by gender, age and socio-economic status, May 2004 Figure 40: Consumer perceptions of luxury chocolates, by lifestage and Mintel's Special Groups, May 2004 Figure 41: Consumer perceptions of luxury chocolates, by marital status, working status, presence of children and household size, May 2004 Figure 42: Consumer perceptions of luxury chocolates, by region and ACORN categories, May 2004 Figure 43: Consumer perceptions of luxury chocolates, by media usage, time spent watching commercial TV and supermarkets used, May 2004 Figure 44: Other consumer perceptions about luxury chocolates, by gender, age and socio-economic status, May 2004 Figure 45: Other consumer perceptions about luxury chocolates, by lifestage and Mintel's Special Groups, May 2004 Figure 46: Other consumer perceptions about luxury chocolates, by marital status, working status, presence of children and household size, May 2004 Figure 47: Other consumer perceptions about luxury chocolates, by region and ACORN categories, May 2004 Figure 48: Other consumer perceptions about luxury chocolates, by media usage, time spent watching commercial TV and supermarkets used, May 2004 Consumer motivations for purchase Figure 49: Reasons/occasions for buying luxury chocolates, May 2004 Figure 50: Female perceptions of luxury chocolates, 2001 and 2004 Figure 51: Male perceptions of luxury chocolates, 2001 and 2004 Figure 52: Reasons/occasions for buying luxury chocolates, by gender, age and socio-economic status, May 2004 Figure 53: Reasons/occasions for buying luxury chocolates, by lifestage and Mintel's Special Groups, May 2004 Figure 54: Reasons/occasions for buying luxury chocolates, by marital status, working status, presence of children and household size, May 2004 Figure 55: Reasons/occasions for buying luxury chocolates, by region and ACORN categories, May 2004 Figure 56: Reasons/occasions for buying luxury chocolates, by media usage, time spent watching commercial TV and supermarkets used, May 2004 Figure 57: Other reasons/occasions for buying luxury chocolates, by gender, age and socio-economic status, May 2004 Figure 58: Other reasons/occasions for buying luxury chocolates, by lifestage and Mintel's Special Groups, May 2004 Figure 59: Other reasons/occasions for buying luxury chocolates, by marital status, working status, presence of children and household size, May 2004 Figure 60: Other reasons/occasions for buying luxury chocolates, by region and ACORN categories, May 2004 Figure 61: Other reasons/occasions for buying luxury chocolates, by media usage, time spent watching commercial TV and supermarkets used, May 2004
Consumer Attitudes and Typologies
Figure 62: Preference and attitudes towards chocolate, May 2004 Predictable Figure 63: Chocolate preferences, by age, May 2004 A new sector on the horizon? Own-label in pockets Consumer purchase behaviour Figure 64: Repertoire purchasing of luxury chocolates, by gender, age and socio-economic group, May 2004 Heavy users - twin peaks! Light users: a time bomb opportunity Repertoire purchase and actual purchase occasions Figure 65: Repertoire purchasing of luxury chocolates and actual occasion bought for, May 2004 Why not? Break out of seasonal peaks Chocolate typologies Cluster 1 - Chocophiles (17% of sample) Cluster 2 - Child-focused (17% of sample) Cluster 3 - Milkers (31% of sample) Cluster 4 - Non-/infrequent Eaters (35% of sample) Consumer typologies and luxury association Figure 66: Consumer typologies and perceptions of luxury chocolates, May 2004 The Non-/infrequent Eaters just don't know For the Child-focused - supermarkets are the answer It's all 'ornate' for the Milkers Chocophiles know it all - but see the category differently Number of purchase occasions Figure 67: Consumer typologies and repertoire purchasing, May 2004
Attitudes and Typologies - Detailed Demographics
Figure 68: Chocolate preferences, by gender, age and socio-economic status, May 2004 Figure 69: Chocolate preferences, by lifestage and Mintel's Special Groups, May 2004 Figure 70: Chocolate preferences, by marital status, working status, presence of children and household size, May 2004 Figure 71: Chocolate preferences, by region and ACORN categories, May 2004 Figure 72: Chocolate preferences, by media usage, time spent watching commercial TV and supermarkets used, May 2004 Figure 73: Popular attitudes towards chocolate, by gender, age and socio-economic status, May 2004 Figure 74: Popular attitudes towards chocolate, by lifestage and Mintel's Special Groups, May 2004 Figure 75: Popular attitudes towards chocolate, by marital status, working status, presence of children and household size, May 2004 Figure 76: Popular attitudes towards chocolate, by region and ACORN categories, May 2004 Figure 77: Popular attitudes towards chocolate, by media usage, time spent watching commercial TV and supermarkets used, May 2004 Purchase repertoires Figure 78: Repertoire purchasing of luxury chocolates, by lifestage, presence of children and Mintel's Special Groups, May 2004 Figure 79: Repertoire purchasing of luxury chocolates, by region and ACORN categories, May 2004 Figure 80: Repertoire purchasing of luxury chocolates, by media usage, time spent watching commercial TV and supermarkets used, May 2004 Consumer typologies Figure 81: Consumer typologies, by gender, age and socio-economic group, May 2004 Figure 82: Consumer typologies, by lifestage, Mintel's Special Groups and presence of children, May 2004 Figure 83: Consumer typologies, by region and ACORN categories, May 2004 Figure 84: Consumer typologies, by media usage, time spent watching commercial TV and supermarkets used, May 2004
The Future
Feel the squeeze Churn and erosion will continue Brand extension and licences A new sector needed Sophisticated tastes - and more discerning Ethical could capture young adults Fair trade and organic - have they boxed themselves in? Wellness Shopping methods evolve Cheap fakes - beware Packaging waste regulations Buffered from health fads and frenzies Staying in and smaller households
Forecast
Steady, not spectacular, growth forecast Figure 85: Forecast of the luxury chocolate market, by value, 2004-09 Annual volume growth to slow slightly Figure 86: Forecast of the luxury chocolate market, by volume, 2004-09 Brand status needs to be maintained Input factors
AbstractConsumer affluence (PDI) has risen consistently since 1999 and this has encouraged spending in all luxury markets. This, combined with consumer demand for increasingly sophisticated taste experiences, has driven trade up into the luxury chocolate market. The British population love chocolate and the market is underpinned by some strong need-states; gifting (for you), self-indulgence (for me) and sharing (for us). The luxury chocolate market is not consumed on a daily basis and is buffered against macro-market media interest surrounding fat, sugar and the 'unhealthy' British diet.
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