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Published by: Mintel International Group Ltd.
Published: Aug. 1, 2004 - 113 Pages
Table of Contents
INTRODUCTION AND ABBREVIATIONS
Introduction
Other relevant reports
Definition
Abbreviations and terms
Abbreviations
Terms
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Market shows slow, consistent growth in spite of weak economics
Population growth favorable for market
Donuts and cold beverages are hot, ice cream warming up
Novelty and quality the keys to rapid growth
Long-term successes are leaders in diversification
High-growth brands rely on word of mouth, high-unit brands advertise
Promotions tie products to sports and entertainment
Snack shops popular across most consumer groups
Children and teens the key market demographic
Perspectives of men and women differ
Nutrition-consciousness expected to rise
MARKET DRIVERS
Eating habits
Figure 1: Dieting habits, January-September 2003
The gap between objectives and actions in eating behavior
Figure 2: Goal-oriented eating, January-September 2003
Consumers' urge to indulge
Figure 3: Feelings about snacking, January-September 2003
Age of U.S. population
Figure 4: U.S. population, by age, 1998 and 2003
Interest in coffee away from home
Skipping breakfast
MARKET SIZE & TRENDS
Figure 5: Sales of snack shops, at current and constant prices, 1998-2003
Graph 1: Trends in sales of snack shops, at current and constant prices, 1998-2003
MARKET SEGMENTATION
Introduction
Figure 6: Snack shop sales, by type, 2001 and 2003
Graph 2: Sales of snack shops, by segment, 2003
Graph 3: Trends in sales of snack shops, by segment, 1998-2003
Ice cream/frozen yogurt
Figure 7: Sales of ice cream/frozen yogurt chains, at current and constant prices, 1998-2003
Figure 8: Sales of ice cream/frozen yogurt chains (excluding Dairy Queen), at current and constant prices, 1998-2003
Donuts
Figure 9: Sales of donut chains, at current and constant prices, 1998-2003
Baked goods
Figure 10: Sales of baked goods chains, at current and constant prices, 1998-2003
Smoothies
Figure 11: Sales of smoothie and juice drink chains, at current and constant prices, 1998-2003
SUPPLY STRUCTURE
Introduction
Figure 12: Snack shop sales, by chain, 2001 & 2003
Companies and brands
Dunkin' Donuts
Dairy Queen
Krispy Kreme
Baskin-Robbins
Jamba Juice
Leading competitors
Auntie Anne's
TCBY (The Country's Best Yogurt)
Cold Stone Creamery
Leading competitors
Cinnabon
Mrs. Fields Original Cookies
ADVERTISING & PROMOTION
Introduction
Dunkin' Donuts
Dairy Queen
Krispy Kreme
Baskin-Robbins
Jamba Juice
Auntie Anne's
TCBY
Mrs. Fields
THE CONSUMER
Introduction
Who visits snack shops and how often
Figure 13: Snack shop visits, June 2004
Figure 14: Snack shop visits, by gender, June 2004
Figure 15: Snack shop visits, by household income, June 2004
Figure 16: Snack shop visits, by educational attainment, June 2004
Figure 17: Snack shop visits, by presence of children, June 2004
Figure 18: Snack shop visits, by region, June 2004
Figure 19: Snack shop visits, by age and race/ethnicity, January-September 2003
With whom snack shops are visited
Figure 20: With whom snack shops are visited, January-September 2003
Figure 21: With whom snack shops are visited, by gender, January-September 2003
Figure 22: With whom snack shops are visited, by age, January-September 2003
Figure 23: With whom snack shops are visited, by race/ethnicity, January-September 2003
Figure 24: With whom snack shops are visited, by household income, January-September 2003
Opinions on usage of snack shops
Figure 25: Opinions on usage of snack shops, June 2004
Figure 26: Opinions on usage of snack shops, by gender, June 2004
Figure 27: Opinions on usage of snack shops, by household income, June 2004
Figure 28: Opinions on usage of snack shops, by age, June 2004
Opinions of snack shop visitors
Snacking habits of snack shop visitors
Figure 29: Snacking habits of snack shop visitors, January-September 2003
Figure 30: Snacking habits of snack shop visitors, by gender, January-September 2003
Figure 31: Snacking habits of snack shop visitors, by age, January-September 2003
Figure 32: Snacking habits of snack shop visitors, by race/ethnicity, January-September 2003
Figure 33: Snacking habits of snack shop visitors, by educational attainment, January-September 2003
Figure 34: Snacking habits of snack shop visitors, by household income, January-September 2003
Figure 35: Snacking habits of snack shop visitors, by presence of children, January-September 2003
Figure 36: Snacking habits of snack shop visitors, by region, January-September 2003
Dieting habits of snack shop visitors
Figure 37: Dieting habits of snack shop visitors, February 2004
Figure 38: Dieting habits of snack shop visitors, by gender, January-September 2003
Figure 39: Dieting habits of snack shop visitors, by age, January-September 2003
Figure 40: Dieting habits of snack shop visitors, by race/ethnicity, January-September 2003
Figure 41: Dieting habits of snack shop visitors, by educational attainment, January-September 2003
Diet goals of snack shop visitors
Figure 42: Diet goals of snack shop visitors, January-September 2003
Figure 43: Diet goals of snack shop visitors, by gender, January-September 2003
Figure 44: Diet goals of snack shop visitors, by age, January-September 2003
Figure 45: Diet goals of snack shop visitors, by race/ethnicity, January-September 2003
Figure 46: Diet goals of snack shop visitors, by educational attainment, January-September 2003
Snack-friendly attitudes of snack shop visitors
Figure 47: Snack-friendly attitudes of snack shop visitors, January-September 2003
Figure 48: Snack-friendly attitudes of snack shop visitors, by gender, January-September 2003
Figure 49: Snack-friendly attitudes of snack shop visitors, by age, January-September 2003
Figure 50: Snack-friendly attitudes of snack shop visitors, by race/ethnicity, January-September 2003
Figure 51: Snack-friendly attitudes of snack shop visitors, by educational attainment, January-September 2003
Figure 52: Snack-friendly attitudes of snack shop visitors, by household income, January-September 2003
Teens and snack shops
Figure 53: Teen use of snack shops, January-September 2003
Who teens eat with
Figure 54: With whom fast food restaurants are visited, teens, January-September 2003
Conclusions
How attitudes toward diet relate to snacks consumption
Differences between men and women
The impact of children
Differences between age groups
Differences between racial/ethnic groups
Differences by educational attainment
Differences by region
FUTURE & FORECAST
FUTURE TRENDS
Short-term changes
Premium ice cream to send segment sales upward
Smoothie shops to become more ubiquitous
Expansion in the number of 15-34 year olds
Figure 55: U.S. population projections, by age, 2003 & 2008
Short-term impact of low-carb dieting may be positive
Figure 56: Incidence of low carb dieting, February 2004
Long term changes
Interest in diet and nutrition to rise
Impact of an aging population
Impact of the college educated
Revised food pyramid guidelines slated for 2005
Government efforts to increase public awareness of nutrition to ramp up
Long-term impact of low-carb dieting
Snack shops market will adapt with new products and new marketing
MARKET FORECAST
Overview
Figure 58: Forecast of U.S. retail sales of xxx, at current and constant prices, 2003-2008
Graph 4: Forecast trends in sales of snack shops, at current and constant prices, 2003-2008
Ice cream/frozen yogurt
Figure 59: Forecast of U.S. sales of ice cream/frozen yogurt chains, at current and constant prices, 2003-2008
Donuts
Figure 60: Forecast of U.S. sales of donut chains, at current and constant prices, 2003-2008
Baked goods
Figure 61: Forecast of U.S. sales of baked goods chains, at current and constant prices, 2003-2008
Smoothies
Figure 62: Forecast of U.S. sales of smoothie and juice drink chains, at current and constant prices, 2003-2008
Forecast factors
APPENDIX: TRADE ASSOCIATIONS
APPENDIX: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
Consumer Research
Sampling & Weighting
Presentation & Definition
Further Analysis
Trade Research
Informal trade research
Formal trade research
Desk & Internet Research
Sources
Definitions
Forecasts
APPENDIX: WHAT IS MINTEL?
Mintel Publications
Mintel Services
Product retrieval
Retail audits
Tailored research
Global New Products Database
Research Support/Consultancy/MIC
The Mintel Information Centre (MiC)
PR Research
AbstractSales for the market rose from $7.9 billion to $10 billion from 1998-2003, an increase of 27% in current prices and 12% in constant prices. These gains were made in spite of losses in constant dollars to the median income for households in the U.S. Median income is relevant to the market because households with annual income of $50K or more are more likely to participate in the market. If the economic climate shifts to one in which the majority of American households make gains rather than a minority, the market will show more demonstrable gains in ensuing years.
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