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Non-alcoholic Beverage: Volume I - The Market - US

Published by: Mintel International Group Ltd.

Published: Jul. 1, 2004 - 109 Pages


Table of Contents



INTRODUCTION AND ABBREVIATIONS



Introduction

Other relevant reports

Definition

Abbreviations & Terms

Abbreviations

Terms



EXECUTIVE SUMMARY



Flat carbonated beverage sales, non-carbonated beverages up

Bottled water and sports/energy drinks set the pace

Different demographic groups, different needs

Health trends influence new product introductions

Companies strive to become "total beverage companies"

Supermarkets remain the primary destination for non-alcoholic beverages

The future



MARKET DRIVERS



Demographic influences

Age

New product development driven by the needs of teens and 'tweens

Figure 1: U.S. 'tween and teen population and projections, 1998-2008

Young adults

Figure 2: U.S. population projection for ages 20-30, 1998-2008

Gender

Figure 3: Choice of beverage consumed (or preffered) as healthy by men and women, 2003

Race/ethnicity

Figure 4: U.S. purchasing power, by race/ethnicity, 1990-2007

Lifestyle

Health and nutrition

Figure 5: Incidence of low carb dieting, February 2004

Figure 6: health concerns that consumers are likely to address with a healthy beverage, 2003

Convenience

Figure 7: U.S. singe serve milk market (volume, growth and share), 1999-2003

Expansion of distribution channels

Innovation in packaging

Figure 8: Number of new product introductions, by category, 2002-2004



MARKET SIZE & TRENDS



Market size

Figure 9: Total U.S. retail sales of non-alcoholic beverages, at current and constant prices, 1999-2004

Graph 1: Trends in sales of non-alcoholic beverages, at current and constant prices, 1999-2004

Courting the Hispanic consumer



MARKET SEGMENTATION



Overview

Figure 10: Sales of non-alcoholic beverages, by type, 2002 & 2004

Graph 2: Sales of non-alcoholic beverages, by type, 2004

Carbonated beverages

Figure 11: Sales of carbonated beverages, at current and constant prices, 1999-2004

Milk

Figure 12: Sales of milk, at current and constant prices, 1999-2004

Fruit juice and drinks

Figure 13: Sales of fruit juice and drinks, at current and constant prices, 1999-2004

Bottled water

Figure 14: Sales of bottled water, at current and constant prices, 1999-2004

Graph 3: Per capita consumption of bottled water, 1993-2003

Sports and energy drinks

Figure 15: Sales of sports and energy drinks, at current and constant prices, 1999-2004

Coffee

Figure 16: Sales of coffee, at current and constant prices, 1999-2004

Tea

Figure 17: Sales of tea, at current and constant prices, 1999-2004

Other non-alcoholic beverages

Figure 18: Sales of other non-alcoholic beverages, at current and constant prices, 1999-2004



SUPPLY STRUCTURE



FDM Sales of Non-alcoholic Beverages

FDM sales by manufacturer

Figure 19: FDM sales of non-alcoholic beverages, by manufacturer, 2001 and 2003

FDM sales by brand

Carbonated beverages

Figure 20: FDM sales of carbonated beverages, by manufacturer and brand, 2001 & 2003

Milk

Figure 21: FDM sales of milk, by manufacturer and brand, 2001 & 2003

Fruit juice and juice drinks

Figure 22: FDM sales of fruit juice and juice drinks, by manufacturer and brand, 2001 & 2003

Bottled water

Figure 23: FDM sales of bottled water, by manufacturer and brand, 2001 & 2003

Sports and energy drinks

Figure 24: FDM sales of sports and energy drinks, by manufacturer and brand, 2001 & 2003

Tea and coffee

Figure 25: FDM sales of tea and coffee, by manufacturer and brand, 2001 & 2003

All other non-alcoholic beverages

Figure 26: FDM sales of other non-alcoholic beverages, by manufacturer and brand, 2001 & 2003

Coca-Cola Co.

Cadbury Schweppes Americas Beverages

Dean Holding Company (Formerly Dean Foods Company)

Kraft Foods Inc.

Nestlé Waters North America (NWNA)

PepsiCo Inc.

Red Bull



ADVERTISING & PROMOTION



Carbonated beverages

Coca-Cola Company

PepsiCo

Cadbury Beverages Americas

Milk

Fruit juice and juice drinks

Coca-Cola

Ocean Spray

Bottled water

PepsiCo

Coca-Cola

Sports and energy drinks

Coca-Cola

PepsiCo

Tea and coffee

Kraft

Cadbury Schweppes



RETAIL DISTRIBUTION



Introduction

Figure 27: U.S. retail sales of non-alcoholic beverages, by channel, 2002 & 2004

Graph 4: Retail sales of non-alcoholic beverages, by channel, 2004

Supermarkets

Figure 28: Supermarket sales of non alcoholic beverages, at current and constant prices, 1999-2004

Supermarket operating data

Figure 29: Top supermarket operating statistics, latest fiscal year-end

Figure 30: Percentage change from latest fiscal year-end versus year prior

Mass merchandisers

Figure 31: mass merchandisers' sales of non-alcoholic beverages, at current and constant prices, 1999-2004

Mass merchandisers and club operating data

Figure 32: Top mass merchandiser operating statistics, latest fiscal year-end

Figure 33: Percentage change from latest fiscal year-end versus year prior

Convenience stores

Figure 34: Convenience stores sales of non-alcoholic beverages, at current and constant prices, 1999-2004

Figure 35: Packaged beverages purchased at convenience stores by adults and teens, 2003

Convenience store operating data

Figure 36: Top convenience store statistics, latest fiscal year-end

Figure 37: Percentage change from latest fiscal year-end versus year prior

Drug stores

Figure 38: Drug stores sales of non-alcoholic beverages, at current and constant prices, 1999-2004



FUTURE & FORECAST



FUTURE TRENDS

Growth through innovation

Entry of new players in high growth categories

Entry of established companies into new segments

MARKET FORECAST

Overview

Figure 39: Forecast of total U.S. retail sales of non-alcoholic beverages, at current and constant prices, 2004-2009

Graph 5: Forecast trends in sales of non-alcoholic beverages, at current and constant prices, 2004-2009

Graph 6: Forecast trends in sales of non-alcoholic beverages, by segment, 2004-2009

Carbonated beverages

Figure 40: Forecast of U.S. sales of carbonated beverages, at current and constant prices, 2004-2009

Fruit juice and juice drinks

Figure 41: Forecast of U.S. sales of fruit juice and juice drinks, at current and constant prices, 2004-2009

Milk

Figure 42: Forecast of U.S. sales of milk, at current and constant prices, 2004-2009

Bottled water

Figure 43: Forecast of U.S. sales of bottled water, at current and constant prices, 2004-2009

Sports and energy drinks

Figure 44: Forecast of U.S. sales of sports and energy drinks, at current and constant prices, 2004-2009

Coffee

Figure 45: Forecast of U.S. sales of coffee, at current and constant prices, 2004-2009

Tea

Figure 46: Forecast of U.S. sales of tea, at current and constant prices, 2004-2009

Other non-alcoholic beverages

Figure 47: Forecast of U.S. sales of other non-alcoholic beverages, at current and constant prices, 2004-2009

Forecast factors



APPENDIX: TRADE ASSOCIATIONS



APPENDIX: NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS



CATEGORY REVIEW

Figure 48: Global new product introductions of non-alcoholic beverages, 2001-2004

Figure 49: U.S. new product introductions of non-alcoholic beverages, 2001-2004

NEW PRODUCT BRIEFS

Switch Beverage: The Switch Apricot Peach Carbonated Juice

North American Beverage: Chocolate Moose Milk Beverage

Creative Enterprises: Skinny Water Diet & Energy Drink

Sara Lee Coffee & Tea: Hills Bros. Carb-Wise Cappuccino

Brain Twist: Liquid Cereal Beverage

Mott's North America: Las Fuentes Clamato Aguas Frescas

The Republic of Tea: The Republic of Tea Honeydew White Tea



APPENDIX: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY



Consumer Research

Sampling & Weighting

Presentation & Definition

Further Analysis

Trade Research

Informal trade research

Formal trade research

Desk & Internet Research

Sources

Definitions

Forecasts



APPENDIX: WHAT IS MINTEL?



Mintel Publications

Mintel Services

Product retrieval

Retail audits

Tailored research

Global New Products Database

Research Support/Consultancy/MIC

The Mintel Information Centre (MiC)

PR Research

Abstract

Estimated at $79 billion in 2004, the non-alcoholic beverage market is expected to have registered growth of 20% (6% at constant prices) from 1999-2004. Because the market includes so many diverse beverages, from carbonated soft drinks (CSDs) and milk to coffee and powdered drink mixes, the fortunes of the largest segments have tempered the gains of the overall market.

The three segments each accounting for 20% or higher share of the market in 2004-CSDs (29%), fruit juices and juice drinks (24%), and milk (20%)-are all expected to register gains smaller than that of the total market. Contributing to the slower growth of the CSD segment are health concerns such as increased incidence of obesity, as well as fierce competition from non-traditional carbonated products such as Hyper Cow, a carbonated dairy beverage, and carbonated juices.

The milk and fruit juice/juice drinks segments of the non-alcoholic market also experienced slower growth over the review period due to their maturity. The sale of orange juice is negatively impacted by the low-carb diet trend which is evident by the fact that orange juice (which represents 18-20% of all juice sold at FDM) suffered a 5% volume decline between 2002 and 2003.

Though the milk segment is seeing growth through interest in organic and soy products, these products are still closer to niche products than mainstream. Consequently both segments are making efforts to reach the consumer through innovations such as flavor extensions and convenient packaging.

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