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North American Military and Commercial Flight Simulation and Training MarketsPublished by: Frost & Sullivan Published: Jul. 19, 2004 Table of Contents1. Executive Summary 1. Market Overview 1. Introduction 2. Market Drivers a. Increasingly Crowded Skies Require Pilots to be More Experienced and Better Trained to Face Any Eventuality b. Cost-efficiency and Accuracy Make Simulator-based Training an Important Part of Military Readiness c. New Aircraft Program and Upgrades to Existing Aircraft Likely to Continue to Support Demand for New Simulators d. UAVs Create a New Demand for Flight Training e. Simulator Training Allows Drastic Cost-cutting for Airlines and Air Services (such as Flight Schools) of All Sizes f. New Technologies Allow for More Flexibility and Higher Quality Training for the Same Budget g. A Visible Turn-around in the Economy and Renewed Confidence After 9/11 is Raising Demand for Commercial Air Travel h. Distributed Mission Training (DMT) Requirements are a Priority for the Services i. Safety is Also a Concern for Insurance Companies, and Higher Requirements Support Demand for Simulator-based Training j. Next-generation Aircraft Increase Demand for New, More-complex Simulators 3. Market Restraints a. FFS Over-capacity Likely to Hinder Growth b. New Technology Costs are Prohibitive c. Airline Industry's Slow Recovery, Decreased Budgets, and Over-supply in Simulators Limits Growth in the Short and Medium Terms d. The Flight Simulator Installed Base Shows High Saturation Levels of FFS and FTD e. Lower Prices, While Helping in the Long Run, are Likely to Mean Less Revenues in the Short Term f. FTDs' Lower Cost and Improved Capabilities Hinder FFSs' Demand Growth 4. Challenges and Market Engineering Measurements a. Interoperability, Adaptability, and Diversity are Key to Touching a Larger Part of the Market b. Adapting to a Shifting Military Doctrine is Key to Market Success c. Leading in the Technology Area is Key to Long-term Success d. Interoperability and Adaptability are Technological Requirements That Define the Future of Military Flight Simulation e. Predicting the Evolution of the Market after the Recent Downturn is a Challenge Affecting More Than the Airlines Themselves f. From Standardization to Innovation: Strengthening the Market 2. Forecasts and Trends 1. Revenue Forecast 2. Market and Technology Trends 3. Demand and Competitive Analysis 3. Frost & Sullivan Awards 1. 2004 Technology Innovation Award 2. 2004 Market Penetration and Technology Leadership Award 3. 2004 Product Innovation Award 4. 2004 Customer Service Innovation Award 5. 2004 Growth Strategy Leadership Award 4. Decision Support Databases (DSDs) 1. DSD I 2. DSD II 3. DSD III 4. DSD IV 2. Commercial Flight Simulation Market 1. Market Overview 1. Introduction 2. Market Drivers a. Increasingly Crowded Skies Require Pilots to be More Experienced and Better Trained to Face Any Eventuality b. Simulator Training Allows Drastic Cost-cutting for Airlines and Air Services (such as Flight Schools) of All Sizes c. A Visible Turn-around in the Economy and Renewed Confidence After 9/11 is Raising Demand for Commercial Air Travel d. Safety is Also a Concern for Insurance Companies, and Higher Requirements Support Demand for Simulator-based Training e. Next-generation Aircraft Increase Demand for New, More-complex Simulators 3. Market Restraints a. FFS Over-capacity Likely to Hinder Growth b. Airline Industry's Slow Recovery, Decreased Budgets, and Over-supply in Simulators Limits Growth in the Short and Medium Terms c. The Flight Simulator Installed Base Shows High Saturation Levels of FFS and FTD d. FTDs' Lower Cost and Improved Capabilities Hinder FFSs' Demand Growth 4. Challenges and Market Engineering Measurements a. Interoperability, Adaptability, and Diversity are Key to Touching a Larger Part of the Market b. Predicting the Evolution of the Market after the Recent Downturn is a Challenge Affecting More Than the Airlines Themselves c. From Standardization to Innovation: Strengthening the Market 2. Forecasts and Trends 1. Revenue Forecast and Demand Analysis 2. Market and Technology Trends 3. Pricing Trends and Market Share Analysis 3. Military Flight Simulation Market 1. Market Overview 1. Introduction 2. Market Drivers a. New Aircraft Program and Upgrades to Existing Aircraft Likely to Continue to Support Demand for New Simulators b. Cost-efficiency and Accuracy Make Simulator-based Training an Important Part of Military Readiness c. UAVs Create a New Demand for Flight Training d. New Technologies Allow for More Flexibility and Higher-Quality Training in the Same Budget e. Distributed Mission Training (DMT) Requirements are a Priority for the Services 3. Market Restraints a. New Technology Costs are Prohibitive b. Lower Prices, While Helping in the Long Run, are Likely to Mean Less Revenues in the Short Term 4. Challenges and Market Engineering Measurements a. Adapting to a Shifting Military Doctrine is Key to Market Success b. Leading in the Technology Area is Key to Long-term Success c. Interoperability and Adaptability are Technological Requirements That are Likely to Define the Future of Military Flight Simulation d. Market Engineering Measurement Analysis 2. Forecasts and Trends 1. Revenue and Demand Analysis 2. Pricing Trends and Market Share Analysis 3. Company Profiles List Of Figures Chapter 1 Commercial and Military Flight Simulation Market: Market Drivers Ranked in Order of Impact (North America), 2004-2010 Commercial and Military Flight Simulation Market: Market Restraints Ranked in Order of Impact (North America), 2004-2010 Commercial and Military Flight Simulation Market: Impact of Top Industry Challenges (North America), 2004-2010 Commercial and Military Flight Simulation Market: Revenue Forecasts (North America), 2001-2010 Commercial and Military Flight Simulation Market: Commercial and Military Revenues as Percentage of the Total Market (North America), 2001-2010 Commercial Flight Simulation Market: Competitive Structure (North America), 2003 Commercial and Military Flight Simulation Market: Market Engineering Measurements (North America), 2003 Chapter 2 Commercial Flight Simulation Market: Market Drivers Ranked in Order of Impact (North America), 2004-2010 Commercial Flight Simulation Market: Market Restraints Ranked in Order of Impact (North America), 2004-2010 Commercial Flight Simulation Market: Impact of Top Industry Challenges (North America), 2004-2010 Total Commercial Flight Simulation Market: Revenue Forecasts (North America), 2001-2010 Commercial Full Flight Simulators Market: Revenue Forecasts (North America), 2001-2010 Commercial Flight Training Devices Market: Revenue Forecasts (North America), 2001-2010 Commercial Flight Training Services Market: Revenue Forecasts (North America), 2001-2010 Commercial Flight Simulation Market: Competitive Structure (North America), 2003 Commercial Flight Simulation Market: Market Share by Revenues and Trends of Major Market Participants (North America), 2003 Commercial Flight Simulation Market: Commercial FFS Acquisition by Category and Total FAA Qualified Aircraft Simulators as of Q2 2004, by category (North America), 2000-2003 Commercial Flight Simulation Market: Market Engineering Measurements (North America), 2003 Chapter 3 Military Flight Simulation Market: Market Drivers Ranked in Order of Impact (North America), 2004-2010 Military Flight Simulation Market: Market Restraints Ranked in Order of Impact (North America), 2004-2010 Military Flight Simulation Market: Impact of Top Industry Challenges (North America), 2004-2010 Military Flight Simulation Market: Revenue Forecasts (North America), 2001-2010 Military Flight Simulation Market: Flight Simulation Associated Programs for Procurement (U.S.) in US $ million, 2002-2009 Military Flight Simulation Market: Flight Simulation Associated Programs for Research and Development (U.S.) in US $ million, 2002-2009 Military Flight Simulation Market: Flight Simulation Associated Programs for Operations and Maintenance (U.S.) in US $ million, 2002-2005 Military Flight Simulation Market: Department of National Defense Flight Simulation Programs-Procurement and O&M (Canada) in US $ million, 2002-2009 Military Flight Simulation Market: Competitive Structure (North America), 2003 Military Flight Simulation Market: Market Share by Revenues and Trends of Major Market Participants (North America), 2003 Military Flight Simulation Market: Market Engineering Measurements (North America), 2003 AbstractOutsourced Simulated Training Set to be the Preferred Training Method for Commercial and Military UsersWorking on stricter budgets in a move to cut back on expenses, major commercial airlines are seeking economical flight training solutions. Flight simulation technology offers the perfect solution to these cash-strapped companies. This alternative proves to be safer and cheaper than actual flight, is Federal Aviation Administration (FAA)-approved, and time saving. Moreover, flight simulators can be bought, leased, or shared. Independent training facilities are proving to be highly successful and recent trends indicate that these facilities are set to be a dominating market factor. The military sector - also turning to simulators - is likely to lease these private training centers. This research offers a candid assessment of the North American flight simulation market and helps participants plan effective strategies for growth and outsourcing. Revenue forecasts separately provided for the military and commercial markets are likely to help manufacturers target the best market for their needs. The detailed study of market trends helps market participants identify new potential sectors and opportunities. Safety-Conscious Federal Agencies Drive Flight Simulation Industry Despite the slowdown in the airlines industry, an increasing number of assorted aircrafts are taking to the skies, resulting in a massive network of intercrossing flight routes. Apprehensive about air safety, especially in densely populated areas, the FAA in the United States and the Department of Transport in Canada are strictly enforcing safety measures and training programs. "Increasingly crowded skies require pilots to be more experienced and better trained to face any eventuality, and simulation is the most cost-effective way to train them," says the analyst. It offers familiarity with probable emergencies and helps develop the right level of situation awareness. By recognizing the importance of simulator training and encouraging it, these agencies are strengthening the commercial simulator sector and helping its market growth. As for the defense sector, highly complex procedures of simulation-based training allow military pilots to participate in networked, real-time sorties making it a vital part of their crisis readiness training. Simulated mission rehearsals and joint exercises are much safer and can decrease the risk of friendly fire incidents while improving the chances for successful operations. Simulation is also an effective method of training pilots for unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV) that have become indispensable to the military and intelligence community. Innovations from the Gaming Industry Set Simulator Advancement on Fast Track The gaming sector has come up with some remarkable developments in simulation graphics while reducing development and production costs. By incorporating these innovations into their systems, commercial and military flight simulators can deliver increasingly realistic and technologically advanced experiences. These devices can also be operated as stand-alone units or in conjunction with others in the vicinity or remotely situated. The flight simulator industry is interconnected with the aircraft manufacturing industry and simulator manufacturers have been working with specific aircraft manufacturers, and operating systems or component providers. "However, being too specialized can hamper market growth and manufacturers that can provide interoperable and adaptable devices can succeed and expand market share," concludes the analyst.
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