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Worldwide Nanotechnology Electric Vehicle (EV) Market Shares, Strategies, and Forecasts, 2009 to 2015

Wintergreen Research
February 18, 2009
452 Pages - SKU: WGR2108009

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Countries covered: Global

Breakthrough technology in electric vehicles brings advancements that provide customers with personal transportation choices never before available.

Electric vehicles are real. They come in a variety of styles and capabilities. The BMW features driving control and style. The Chinese BYD hybrid backed by Warren Buffet’s company has features that enable plug-in hybrid power train flexibility. It has a full battery-powered electric mode. The series-hybrid mode has an engine which drives a generator to recharge the batteries, acting as a rangeextender. There is a parallel hybrid mode, in which the engine and motor both provide propulsive power.

Electric vehicles represent a quantum shift in transportation. The design trajectories are varied; the opportunities are significant as a quantum shift occurs in what the vehicle basic functions are and how the vehicle works. The car companies that leverage the market opportunity to shift to a new paradyne are likely to succeed. There are others who merely try to migrate existing styles and designs to electric vehicles. Buggy whips come to mind.

The ability to plug a car into a hardened backyard set of batteries charged from a solar panel provides relief from gasoline spending. To have a second car, powered by a battery pack promises to provide growth of a new industry. The banks can loan against the car and the solar panel. Solar panels are evolving modular capability where they can be quickly installed and provide electricity for the car.

Investment in electric vehicle infrastructure is a priority. With countries seeking to invest in infrastructure that will provide economic growth, it is clear that special infrastructure for electric vehicles will stimulate growth from the private sector. Electric vehicle market segment is positioned for growth for vehicles used for local driving.

Worldwide nanotechnology thin film lithium-ion batteries are poised to achieve significant growth as units become more able to achieve deliver of power to electric vehicles efficiently. Less expensive lithium-ion batteries allow leveraging economies of scale and proliferation of devices into a wide range of applications. According to Susan Eustis, lead author of the study, “Economies of scale leverage the lithium-ion battery nanotechnology advances needed to make lithium-ion batteries competitive. Nanotechnology provided by lithium-ion research solves the issues poised by the need to store renewable energy. Lithium-ion batteries switch price reductions are poised to drive market adoption by making units affordable.”

Nanotechnology results obtained in the laboratory are being translated into commercial products. The processes of translating the nanotechnology science into thin film lithium ion batteries are anticipated to be ongoing. The breakthroughs of science in the laboratory have only begun to be translated into life outside the lab, with a long way to go in improving the functioning of the lithium-ion batteries.

Unlike any other battery technology, thin film solid-state batteries show very high cycle life. Using very thin cathodes (0.05ìm) batteries have been cycled in excess of 45,000 cycles with very limited loss in capacity. After 45,000 cycles, 95% of the original capacity remained.

Markets for electric vehicles at 685 units in 2008 are anticipated to reach 32.7 million autos shipped by 2015, growing in response to demand for a renewable energy powered vehicle that lowers the total cost of ownership by a significant amount. Lithium-ion batteries used in cell phones and PCs, and in cordless power tools are proving the technology to power electric vehicles. Early electric vehicles are being used as city cars, proving the feasibility of electric cars. Think in Norway has a viable manufacturing operation and 1,000 cars on the road. The large emerging markets are for hybrid and electric vehicles powered by renewable energy systems.

Figure ES-1: Aptera Pre-Production Model 2e; Figure ES-2; REVA Electric Car; Table ES-3; Electric Vehicle Market Driving Forces; Table ES-3 (Continued); Electric Vehicle Market Driving Forces; Figure ES-4; Worldwide Electric Vehicles; On The Road Market Shares, Units, 2009; Figure ES-5; Worldwide Electric Vehicle Penetration of; Automotive and Light Truck Market Forecasts, Percent,; 2009-2015; Figure ES-6; Worldwide Electric Vehicle Retail Forecasts, Dollars,; 2009-2015; Table ES-7; Reasons For Aggressive Forecast For Electric Vehicle Markets; Table ES-7 (Continued); Reasons For Aggressive Forecast For Electric Vehicle Markets; Table ES-8; New Infrastructure, New Driving Modalities Brought By; Electric Vehicles
1. ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET DESCRIPTION AND MARKET DYNAMICS: 1.1 Auto Industry; 1.2 Electric Vehicle EVs; 1.3 Lithium-Ion Battery Target Markets; 1.4 Lithium-Ion Battery Technologies Transportation Industry Target Market; 1.5 Energy Storage For Grid Stabilization; 1.6 Applications Require On-Printed Circuit Board Battery Power; 1.7 Smart Buildings; 1.8 Battery Safety / Potential Hazards; 1.9 Thin Film Solid-State Battery Construction; 1.10 Battery Is Electrochemical Device; 1.11 Battery Depends On Chemical Energy
2. ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET SHARES AND MARKET FORECASTS: 2.1 Electric Vehicle Economic Market Driving Forces; 2.2 Electric Vehicle Market Shares; 2.3 Electric Vehicles Market Forecasts; 2.4 Electric Vehicle Battery Recharging; 2.5 2008 / 2009 Auto Sales Overview; 2.6 Electric Vehicles As A Very Fancy Golf Cart; 2.7 Worldwide Nanotechnology Thin Film Lithium-Ion Battery Market Driving Forces; 2.8 Lithium-Ion Battery Market Shares; 2.9 Lithium-Ion Battery Market Forecasts; 2.10 Electric Vehicle and Hybrid Vehicle Lithium-Ion Battery Market Shares; 2.11 Electric and Hybrid Vehicle Lithium-Ion Battery Market Forecasts
3. ELECTRIC VEHICLE PRODUCT DESCRIPTION: 3.1 BMW; 3.2 BYD / MidAmerican Energy Holdings; 3.3 Tesla Motors; 3.4 Daimler AG; 3.5 Think; 3.6 General Motors; 3.7 Miles XS500 Electric Car; 3.8 Mitsubishi i MiEV Electric Car to be Sold 1 Year Ahead of Schedule in Japan; 3.9 Fuji Heavy Industries / Subaru R1e Electric Car Source: Subaru.; 3.10 Electric Supercar by Hybrid Technologies; 3.11 Electric Mini by PML; 3.12 Electric Car by Nissan (2010-2012); 3.13 REVA Electric Car; 3.14 Zenn Low Speed Electric Car; 3.15 Commuter Cars Tango Electric Car; 3.16 Eliica Electric Car by KEIO University; 3.17 Wrightspeed X1 Electric Car; 3.18 Saturn SP1 Electric Car Conversion by Students of Napoleon High School; 3.19 Toyota Hybrid Prius; 3.20 Ford; 3.21 Chrysler; 3.22 Phoenix; 3.23 Shelby Supercars; 3.24 Aptera
4. ELECTRIC VEHICLE TECHNOLOGY: 4.1 Phoenix Motorcars Altairnano Lithium Titanate Battery Technology; 4.2 Globalization Model For Electric Cars; 4.3 EFOY Pro Fuel Cell Electric Vehicle Charging Kit; 4.4 Vendor Lithium-ion Battery Strategy; 4.5 Challenges in Battery Design; 4.6 Vendor Lithium-Ion Battery Positioning; 4.7 Applications Of Lithium-Ion Batteries; 4.8 Mobile Phone Industry; 4.9 Advantages of Lithium-Ion Batteries; 4.10 Lithium Cell Chemistry Variants; 4.11 Operating Performance Of The Cell Can Be Tuned; 4.12 Lithium Metal Polymer; 4.13 ExxonMobil affiliate, Tonen Chemical Polyethylene-Based, Porous Film; 4.14 Cymbet Alternate Manufacturing; 4.15 Thin-Film Batteries Packaging; 4.16 ITN Energy Systems Fibrous Substrates, PowerFiber; 4.17 Cell Construction; 4.18 Impact Of Nanotechnology; 4.19 Thin Film Batteries; 4.20 Comparison Of Rechargeable Battery Performance; 4.21 Polymer Film Substrate; 4.22 Micro Battery Solid Electrolyte; 5. ELECTRIC VEHICLE COMPANY PROFILES; 5.1 A123 Systems; 5.2 Aperta; 5.3 Better Place Model; 5.4 BMW; 5.5 BYD; 5.6 E-One Moli Energy Group; 5.7 Ener1; 5.8 Ford; 5.9 Fuji Heavy Industries / Subaru; 5.10 General Motors; 5.11 Miles Electric Vehicles; 5.12 Johnson Controls-Saft; 5.13 LG Petrochemical; 5.14 Mitsubishi; 5.15 NEC / Nissan Low-Cost Lithium-Manganese Batteries; 5.16 Panasonic / Sanyo; 5.17 Phoenix Motorcars; 5.18 REVA; 5.19 Saft; 5.20 Samsung; 5.21 Shelby SuperCars; 5.22 Tesla Motors; 5.23 Think; 5.24 Toyota; 5.25 ZENN Motor Company
List of Tables and Figures: Figure ES-1; Aptera Pre-Production Model 2e; Figure ES-2; REVA Electric Car; Table ES-3; Electric Vehicle Market Driving Forces; Table ES-3 (Continued); Electric Vehicle Market Driving Forces; Figure ES-4; Worldwide Electric Vehicles; On The Road Market Shares, Units, 2009; Figure ES-5; Worldwide Electric Vehicle Penetration of; Automotive and Light Truck Market Forecasts, Percent,; 2009-2015; Figure ES-6; Worldwide Electric Vehicle Retail Forecasts, Dollars,; 2009-2015; Table ES-7; Reasons For Aggressive Forecast For Electric Vehicle Markets; Table ES-7 (Continued); Reasons For Aggressive Forecast For Electric Vehicle Markets; Table ES-8; New Infrastructure, New Driving Modalities Brought By; Electric Vehicles; Table 1-1; Principal Features Used To Compare Rechargeable Batteries; Figure 1-2; BMW’s Mini E Electric Car Powered By A Rechargeable; Lithium-Ion Battery; Table 1-3; Examples of Hybrid Electric Vehicles; Figure 1-4; Typical Structure Of A Thin Film Solid State Battery; Table 1-5; Characteristics Of Battery Cells; Table 2-1; Lithium-Ion Battery Market Driving Forces; Table 2-2; Energy Advantages Of Thin-Film Batteries; Figure 2-3; Aptera Pre-Production Model 2e; Table 2-4; Electric Vehicle Market Driving Forces; Table 2-4 (Continued); Electric Vehicle Market Driving Forces; Figure 2-5; Worldwide Electric Vehicles; On The Road Market Shares, Units, 2009; Table 2-6; Worldwide Electric Vehicle Shipments Market Shares,; Units On the Road; 2009 11; Figure 2-7; i MiEV Electric Car by Mitsubishi - Red; Figure 2-8; REVA Electric Car; Figure 2-9; Worldwide Electric Vehicle Penetration of Automotive; and Light Truck Market Forecasts, Percent,; 2009-2015; Table 2-10; Worldwide Electric Vehicle (EV) Unit Shipments; and Automotive Market Retail Forecasts and; Penetration Analysis, 2009-2015; Figure 2-11; Worldwide Electric Vehicle Retail Forecasts, Dollars,; 2009-2015; Table 2-12; Worldwide Electric Vehicle (EV) Unit Shipments; and Automotive Market Retail Forecasts and; Penetration Analysis, 2009-2015; Table 2-13; Worldwide Electric Vehicle (EV) Unit Shipments; and Automotive Market Retail Forecasts, Penetration Analysis,; 2009-2015; Table 2-14; Worldwide Automotive and Light Truck Small; Size Electric Vehicle (EV) Market Forecasts, Dollars, 2009-2015; Table 2-15; Worldwide Small Electric Vehicle (EV) Market; Forecasts, Units, 2009-2015; Table 2-16; Worldwide Small Car and Small Light Truck Electric; Vehicle (EV) Automotive Market Retail Forecasts,; Units and Dollars, 2009-2015; Table 2-17; Worldwide Sedan Size Automotive and Light Truck; Electric Vehicle (EV) Retail Market Forecasts, Dollars, 2009-2015; Table 2-18; Worldwide Sedan Size Automotive and Light Truck; Electric Vehicle (EV) Shipments Retail Market Forecasts, Units,; 2009-2015; Table 2-19; Worldwide Sedan Size Car and Light Truck Electric; Vehicle (EV) Unit Shipments and Automotive Market; Retail Forecasts, Units and Dollars, 2009-201; Table 2-20; Reasons For Aggressive Forecast For Electric Vehicle Markets; Table 2-21; New Infrastructure, New Driving Modalities Brought By; Electric Vehicles; Table 2-22; Lithium-Ion Battery Market Driving Forces; Table 2-23; Energy Advantages Of Thin-Film Batteries; Figure 2-24; Worldwide Lithium-Ion Thin Film Advanced Battery; Shipments, Market Shares, Dollars, 2008; Table 2-25; Worldwide Lithium-Ion Thin Film Advanced Battery; Shipments, Market Shares, Dollars, 2008; Figure 2-26; Worldwide Lithium-Ion Thin Film Advanced Battery; Shipments, Market Shares, Dollars, 2009-2015; Figure 2-27; Worldwide Lithium-Ion and Advanced Lithium-ion; Battery Market Forecasts, Automotive, Power Tools,; Electric Grid, and PC Card, Dollars, 2009-2015; Figure 2-28; Worldwide Lithium-Ion Thin Film Automotive Advanced Battery; Shipments, Market Shares, Dollars, 2008; Figure 2-29; Worldwide Lithium-Ion Thin Film Automotive Advanced Battery; Shipments, Market Shares, Dollars, 2008; Figure 2-30; Worldwide Lithium-Ion Thin Film Advanced Battery; Shipments, Market Shares, Dollars, 2009-2015; Figure 2-31; Worldwide Lithium-Ion Thin Film Advanced Battery; Shipments, Market Shares, Units, 2009-2015; Figure 2-32; Worldwide Lithium-Ion Thin Film Advanced Battery; Shipments, Market Shares, Units and Dollars, 2009-2015; Table 2-33; Commercialization Challenges Of The Automotive,; Truck, and Bus Thin Film Battery Industry; Table 2-34; Integrated Thin Film Battery Personal Transport Power Systems; Figure 3-1; BMW’S Mini E Electric Car Powered By A Rechargeable; Lithium-Ion Battery; Figure 3-2; BYD E6 Electric Car; Figure 3-3; BYD F3DM Front View; Figure 3-4; BYD F3DM Rear View; Figure 3-5; BYD F3 Moon Roof; Table 3-6; BYD Plug-in Hybrid Powertrain Flexibility; Figure 3-7; BYD E6 Electric Car; Figure 3-8; BYD F6; Figure 3-9; Tesla Motors Roadster; Figure 3-10; Tesla Motors Roadster Torque and Power Graph; Figure 3-11; Model S by Tesla Motors; Figure 3-12; Daimler AG Smart car; Figure 3-13; Daimler Smart Car; Figure 3-14; Daimler Electric Mercedes; Figure 3-15; Prince Albert of Monaco Driving TH!NK city; Figure 3-16; Driving TH!NK city; Figure 3-17; Think Driver Console; Figure 3-18; Think Open; Figure 3-19; Think OX; Figure 3-20; Think City Electric Vehicle; Table 3-21; TH!NK City Specifications; Table 3-22; Think City Standard Equipment:; Table 3-22 (Continued); Think City Standard Equipment:; Table 3-23; TH!NK City Features; Figure 3-24; Think Lineup of Electric Cars; Figure 3-25; General Motors Chevrolet Volt - Front View; Figure 3-26; General Motors Chevrolet Volt - Angle View; Figure 3-27; General Motors Chevrolet Volt - Rear View; Figure 3-28; General Motors Chevrolet Volt; Figure 3-29; GM Cadillac Electric Vehicle; Figure 3-30; General Motors EV1 Electric Car; Figure 3-31; XS500 Electric Car by Miles; Figure 3-32; i MiEV Electric Car by Mitsubishi - In Traffic; Figure 3-33; i MiEV Electric Car by Mitsubishi - Battery Packaging; Figure 3-34; i MiEV Electric Car by Mitsubishi - Red; Figure 3-35; i MiEV Electric Car by Mitsubishi - Gray; Figure 3-36; i MiEV Electric Car by Mitsubishi - Interior; Figure 3-37; i MiEV Electric Car by Mitsubishi - Features; Figure 3-38; Mitsubishi I Miev Electric Car; Figure 3-39; Mitsubishi I Miev Electric Car Interior Engine and; Drive Train Layout; Figure 3-40; Fuji Heavy Industries / Subaru R1e Electric Car; Figure 3-41; Subaru R1e Electric Car Plug Station; Figure 3-42; Subaru G4e Electric Car; Figure 3-43; Hybrid Technologies Electric Supercar; Figure 3-44; Electric Mini by PML; Figure 3-45; Test Electric Car by Nissan; Figure 3-46; REVA Electric Car; Figure 3-47; Zenn Auto; Figure 3-48; Zenn Electric Auto Close-up; Figure 3-49; Zenn Auto Parked in Street; Figure 3-50; Zenn Electric Auto - Gray with Sun Roof; Figure 3-51; Commuter Cars Tango Electric Car; Figure 3-52; Commuter Cars Tango in Washington DC; Figure 3-53; Eliica Electric Car; Figure 3-54; Wrightspeed X1 Electric Car; Figure 3-55; Saturn SP1 Electric Car Conversion; Figure 3-56; Toyota Hybrid Prius; Figure 3-57; Toyota FT-EV Battery Electric Vehicle; Figure 3-58; Toyota Electric Car; Table 3-59; Chrysler ENVI Electric Minivan Features; Figure 3-60; Interior of The Concept Car, The Chrysler 200C EV; Table 3-61; Chrysler Electric Vehicle Positioning; Table 3-62; Chrysler Electric Vehicle EV; Figure 3-63; Chrysler Electric Vehicles; Figure 3-64; Dodge Circuit EV; Table 3-65; Dodge Circuit EV Features; Figure 3-66; Chrysler Jeep® Wrangler Unlimited EV; Figure 3-67; Jeep® Wrangler Unlimited EV Features; Figure 3-68; Phoenix Motorcars SUT Truck; Figure 3-69; Phoenix Motorcars SUV Vehicle; Figure 3-70; Shelby Supercars; Figure 3-71; Shelby Supercars - Doors Raised; Figure 3-72; Aptera Pre-Production Model 2e; Figure 3-73; Aptera 2e Pre-Production Models; Figure 3-74; Aperta Three Wheel Vehicle; Figure 3-75; Aperta Three Wheel Vehicle - Rear View; Figure 4-1; Altairnano Battery Performance:; Figure 4-2; EFOY Pro Fuel Cell Kit For Electric Vehicles; Figure 4-3; Electrica City Car - Red; Figure 4-4; Electrica City Car - Yellow; Figure 4-5; Electrica City Car - Open; Figure 4-6; Electrica City Car - Dashboard; Figure 4-7; Smart Fuel Cells (SFC) Supply The StartLab Open With Power; Table 4-8; Challenges in Lithium-ion Battery Design; Table 4-9; Advantages of Lithium-Ion Batteries; Source: ITN.; Table 4-10; Thin Film Battery Unique Properties; Table 4-11; Comparison of battery performances; Table 4-12; Comparison Of Battery Performances; Table 4-13; Thin Films For Advanced Batteries; Table 4-14; Thin Film Batteries Technology; Table 4-15; Thin Film Battery / Lithium Air Batteries Applications; Figure 4-16; Polymer Film Substrate Thin Flexible Battery Profiles; Figure 4-17; Design Alternatives of Thin Film Rechargable Batteries; Table 5-1; A123 Systems Batteries Benefits; Table 5-2; A123 Systems Competitive Positioning; Table 5-2 (Continued); A123 Systems Competitive Positioning; Table 5-2 (Continued); A123 Systems Competitive Positioning; Figure 5-3; Aptera Vehicle Early Drawings; Figure 5-4; Assembly Facility: Vista, CA; Figure 5-5; Aperta Composite Facility: Carlsbad, CA; Figure 5-6; EnerDel Operations; Figure 5-7; EnerDel Lithium Power Systems; Figure 5-8; EnerDel Lithium Power USABC Contracts; Figure 5-9; EnerDel Lithium Power Think Projct; Table 5-10; Ford Key Government Energy Actions Recommendations; Figure 5-11; Sanyo Battery Targets 2020; Figure 5-12; REVA Electric Car; Figure 5-13; Saft Revenue H1 2008; Figure 5-14; Shelby Supercars; Figure 5-15; Think Auto Production Facility; Figure 5-16; TH!NK North America; Figure 5-17; Toyota Consolidated Vehicle Sales; Figure 5-18; Toyota Strategy; Figure 5-19; Toyota Car

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