US MOBILE BACKHAUL Continued Expansion 2009 and the Needs of the Middle Network
Visant Strategies, Inc.
November 8, 2008 66 Pages - SKU: VSNT2022072
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Countries covered: United States
This late 2008 study analyzes the size and nature of mobile backhaul services and the
technologies that provide them in the United States through 2014. In doing so it assesses
and quantifies the cost of existing backhaul services both in overall and at the critical
edge of the network applications. The report examines the roles of wireless, fiber optic,
and traditional copper backhaul solutions in the US backhaul market through 2014.
Included in the analysis are the drivers for higher capacity backhaul, such as 3.5G and 4G technologies being deployed, and the backhaul methods used to deliver such throughputs
profitably.
Specific backhaul drivers that are considered and quantified include base station
deployments, tower construction, capital spending, network evolution to 3.5G and 4G
platforms (HSPA, WiMAX, EV-DO, and LTE), subscribers, voice minutes and ARPU,
among other tangibles.
Similarly, trends helping with the backhaul crunch, including additional cell splitting and use of femtocells, are also considered.
In addition, backhaul lines in the United States are quantified by key metrics such as
capacity per base station, type of service, such as Ethernet or TDM/mixed, and whether
backhaul is achieved via wireless or wireline means. Total towers in use and capacity per
tower are also quantified as are deployments of 3.5/4G base stations and MSC and
BSC/RNC sites.
Topics
- Value of backhaul services (radio access component)
- Cost of total backhaul services (total and edge of network (RAN))
- Mobile network operating expenses
- Mobile network capital expenditures
- Wireless backhaul links employed
- Backhaul links by capacity
- Backhaul links by access technology (wireless or wireline)
- Backhaul lines by transport mode (TDM/mixed vs. Ethernet)
- Base station sites
- Sites by total capacity employed
- Mobile base stations deployed
- Mobile subscribers and 3.5/4G subscribers
- Voice minutes used on average per mobile subscriber
- Voice, data and total ARPU
- Base stations with access to fiber
- Network upgrade trends
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- 1.0 Overview of Findings
- 2.0 The US Backhaul Market Today and Through 2014
- 2.1 The Role of Wireless Technologies in the US Backhaul Market
- 2.2 Mobile Backhaul Expenditures vs. All Network Expenditures
- 2.3 Backhaul Capacity Today per Base Station and Future Capacity Needs
- 2.3.1 Copper Backhaul Cannot Meet These Needs
- 2.4 Tower Consolidation and Divestment
- 2.5 A Shift to IP
- 2.6 Increase in SDR use in PTP Microwave Products and Desire for Scalability
- 2.7 There is a Second Chance for Millimeter Spectrum Holders
- 2.8 Cost Cutting Pressures Remain in Competitive US Backhaul Market
- 3.0 The Competitive Standing of Backhaul Technologies Today and Tomorrow
- 3.1 The Licensed Millimeter Microwave Market Share
- 3.1.1 Unlicensed and Lightly Licensed Millimeter bands.
- 3.1.2 Millimeter Advantages Help Growth
- 3.1.3 Millimeter Attractive Today Due to New Link Demands of 3G and 4G
- 3.2. Cell Splitting In the USA
- 3.3 Many Offerings Today on Unlicensed Spectrum
- 3.3.1 Free and Not Always Easy - Unlicensed Spectrum Liabilities
- 3.4 Using WiMAX and other Point-to-Multipoint Technologies for Backhaul
- 3.5 Hello Old Friend - Free Space Optics and its Role Today
- 3.6 Fiber Optic Backhaul - Back to the Future?
- 3.7 Still Reliable and Holder of the Championship Belt - Legacy T1
- 3.8 Technologies That May Work but Aren’t Employed Yet
- 4.0 Market Drivers for More and More Mobile Backhaul
- 4.1 Mobile Subscribers
- 4.2 US Base Station Deployments
- 4.2.1 700 MHz and the Advanced Wireless Services Spectrum Means Backhaul
- 4.2.2 Extensive Collocation of Base Stations Increase Tower Link Demands
- 4.3 Can’t Stop Talking - the Average Consumption of Voice Minutes
- 4.3.1 Home Sweet Home - The Femtocell will Absorb Some Traffic
- 4.4 Mobile Data and Video and Music and all The Good Stuff is Moving
- 4.5 Carrier Competition Drives Network Upgrades
- 4.5.1 The Flatter Network Non-Effect
- 4.6 Service Providers Becoming more Prevalent
- 4.7 Summaries and Figures
- 4.7.1 US Mobile Subscribers, Carriers and the Future
- 4.7.2 US Mobile Subscribers, 3.5G and 4G Growth and its Impact on Backhaul
- 4.7.3 Deployed Base Stations and Average Number of Subscribers per Base Station
- 4.7.4 Deployments and Shipments of Base Stations by Technology (2/2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/4G)
- 4.7.5 Deployments and Shipments of MSCs and BSCs/RNCs
- 4.7.6 Cell Site Deployments and Average Number of Base Stations per Site
- 4.7.7 Base Stations with Access to Fiber Will Still Be Low
- 4.7.8 Average Voice Minutes per user and the Effect on Backhaul
- 4.7.9 Data and Voice ARPU and How Data use is Growing
- 4.7.10 Today and Tomorrow: Wireless Capital Expenditures
- 4.7.11 Base Stations by Backhaul Capacity- Low Rates Today; Better Tomorrow
- 4.7.12 Base Station Sites by Total Backhaul Capacity Today and in the Next Six Years
- 4.7.13 Better BSC/RNC and Collector Point Backhaul Capacity
- 4.7.14 Wired vs. Wireless Backhaul Links to the MSC, BSC/RNC and Collector Points
- 4.7.15 Ethernet vs. TDM/Mixed-Services Backhaul Links
- 4.7.16 Total Operating Expenses for the US Operator
- 4.7.17 Network Operating Expenses for the US Operator
- 4.7.18 Overall Backhaul Expenses to the US Operator and its Share of Overall Costs
- 4.7.19 Edge of Network Backhaul Expenses for the US Operator
- FORECASTS AND FIGURES
- Table 1
- Mobile Subscribers
- All Technologies
- United States
- 2006-2014
- Table 1A
- Mobile Subscribers
- Documented vs. Undocumented Residents
- United States
- 2006-2014
- Table 2
- 3.5G and 4G Mobile Subscribers vs. All Mobile Subscribers
- United States
- 2007-2014
- Table 3
- Mobile Base Station Shipments and Deployments
- All Technologies
- United States 2007-2014
- Table 3A
- Subscribers per Base Station
- All Technologies
- United States 2007-2014
- Table 4
- Base Stations Deployed by Technology
- 2G/2.5G, 3G and 3.5/4G
- United States 2007-2014
- Table 5
- Mobile Switching Center (MSC)
- and Base Station Controller (BSC) Deployments
- United States 2007-2014
- Table 6
- Base Station Sites
- Mobile and Next Generation Wireless Base Stations
- United States 2007-2014
- Table 7
- Average Number of Base Stations per Site
- United States 2007-2014
- Table 8
- Mobile Base Stations Connected by Fiber
- All Technologies
- United States 2007-2014
- Table 9
- Average Voice Minutes Used
- Daily per Mobile Subscriber
- United States 2007-2014
- Table 10
- Monthly Average Revenue per Unit (ARPU)
- Voice ARPU vs. Data ARPU
- All Technologies
- United States 2007-2014
- Table 10A
- Monthly Data ARPU as percentage of all ARPU
- All Technologies
- United States 2007-2014
- Table 11
- Annual Wireless Network Operator Capital Expenditures
- All Technologies
- United States 2007-2014
- Table 12
- Backhaul Links in use by Capacity
- > 24 Mbps; 18 Mbps to < 24 Mbps; 12 Mbps to < 18 Mbps; 6 Mbps to < 12 Mbps; and <
- 6 Mbps
- United States 2007
- Table 13
- Backhaul Links in Use by Capacity
- > 24 Mbps; 18 Mbps to < 24 Mbps; 12 Mbps to < 18 Mbps; 6 Mbps to < 12 Mbps; and <
- 6 Mbps
- United States 2014
- Table 14
- Base Station Deployments by Backhaul Capacity
- > 24 Mbps; 18 Mbps to < 24 Mbps; 12 Mbps to < 18 Mbps; 6 Mbps to < 12 Mbps and <
- 6 Mbps
- United States 2007-2014
- Table 15
- Base Station Sites by Backhaul Capacity
- > 155 Mbps; 45 Mbps to < 155 Mbps; 10 Mbps to < 45 Mbps; and < 10 Mbps
- United States 2007
- Table 16
- Base Station Sites by Backhaul Capacity
- > 155 Mbps; 45 Mbps to < 155 Mbps; 10 Mbps to < 45 Mbps; and < 10 Mbps
- United States 2014
- Table 17
- Base Station Sites by Backhaul Capacity
- United States 2007-2014
- Table 18
- Network Elements Deployed by Backhaul Capacity
- BSC/RNC, MSC/core network and Collector Points
- > 1000 Mbps; 622 Mbps to < 1000 Mbps; 155 Mbps to < 622 Mbps; and < 155 Mbps
- United States 2007
- Table 19
- Network Elements Deployed by Backhaul Capacity
- BSC/RNC, MSC/core network and Collector Points
- > 1000 Mbps; 622 Mbps to < 1000 Mbps; 155 Mbps to < 622 Mbps; and < 155 Mbps
- United States 2014
- Table 20
- Network Elements Deployed by Backhaul Capacity
- BSC/RNC, MSC/core network and Collector Points
- > 1000 Mbps; 622 Mbps to < 1000 Mbps; 155 Mbps to < 622 Mbps; and < 155 Mbps
- United States 2007 - 2014
- Table 21
- Backhaul Links in Use
- Wireline vs. Wireless
- United States 2007
- Table 22
- Backhaul Links in Use
- Wireline vs. Wireless
- United States 2014
- Table 23
- Backhaul Links in Use
- Wireline vs. Wireless
- United States 2007-2014
- Table 24
- Backhaul Links by Access Technology
- Ethernet vs. TDM/Mixed Services
- United States 2007
- Table 25
- Backhaul Lines by Access Technology
- Ethernet vs. TDM/Mixed Services
- United States 2014
- Table 26
- Backhaul Links by Access Technology
- Ethernet vs. TDM/Mixed Services
- United States 2007-2014
- Table 27
- Annual Mobile Network Operating Expenditures
- Total Expenditures and Expenditures per Subscriber
- United States 2007-2014
- Table 28
- Annual Mobile Network Operating Expenditures
- Total Expenditures and Network Operating Expenditures
- US Market 2007-2014
- Table 29
- Backhaul Expenses
- US Market 2007-2014
- Table 30
- Backhaul Service Expenses
- and Average Monthly Backhaul Expense per Base Station
- All Carriers
- United States 2007-2014
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