Indian Automobile Sector Analysis
RNCOS
June 1, 2009 140 Pages - SKU: CICQ2290176
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Countries covered: India
De-licensing in 1991 put the Indian automobile industry on a new growth trajectory, which attracted foreign auto giants to set up their production facilities in the country to take advantage of various benefits it offers. Large middle class population, growing earning power and strong technological capability have been boosting automobile demand for past few years. Despite economic slowdown, the Indian automobile sector is expected to see high growth in coming years, especially in passenger cars segment, said our new research report, ""Indian Automobile Sector Analysis”.
The passenger vehicle market, which constitutes around 80% of automobile sales, has immense growth potential as passenger car stock stood at around 11 per 1,000 people in 2008. Anticipating the future market potential, the production of passenger vehicle is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of around 10% from 2009-10 to 2012-13.
The recent launch of Tata Nano has brought about a new revolution in the country’s small car segment. Seeing the good initial response from consumers, many other players in the industry are chalking out their plans to launch cars in this segment in the next few years. Our research foresees a CAGR growth of around 14.5% in domestic volume sales of passenger vehicles during the forecast period. Other segments, such as two-wheelers, multi-purpose vehicle and light commercial vehicle, are also expected to witness fast growth in coming years.
The report covers various aspects of the Indian automobile market and gives detailed analysis of its various segments such as passenger vehicle, commercial vehicle, utility vehicles, multi-purpose, two wheelers and three wheelers. Each section succinctly explains the current and future market trends, and developments in the Indian automobile market. There are immense opportunities for various industry players including automobile manufacturers and players of automobile components.
Besides, we have also comprehensively analyzed the auto component industry and its future outlook. The study has evaluated growth avenues available for the automobile market, which include automotive design market, non-conventional vehicle market, domestic tyre industry, India as global manufacturing hub, green car market etc.
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- 1. Analyst View
- 2. India’s Rank in Global Automobile Industry
- 3. RNCOS’ View on Indian Automobile Industry
- 3.1 Supporting Environment
- 3.1.1 Economic Factors
- 3.1.2 Demographic and Psychographic Factors
- 3.1.3 Environmental Factors
- 3.1.4 Political Environment
- 3.1.5 Legal Environment
- 3.1.6 Incentives
- 3.1.7 Technological Environment
- 3.2 Roadblocks for the Industry
- 3.2.1 Increasing Running Cost
- 3.2.2 Strong Indian Rupee
- 3.2.3 Expensive Auto Finance
- 4. Automobile Industry Overview
- 4.1 Production
- 4.2 Installed Capacity
- 4.3 Automotive Plants
- 4.4 Competitive Landscape
- 4.5 Sales
- 4.6 Export
- 5. Automobile Industry Analysis
- 5.1 Passenger Vehicle
- 5.1.1 Production
- 5.1.2 Sales
- 5.1.3 Export
- 5.1.4 Future Outlook till 2012-13
- 5.1.4.1 Production
- 5.1.4.2 Sales
- 5.1.4.3 Export
- 5.2 Utility Vehicles
- 5.2.1 Production
- 5.2.2 Sales
- 5.2.3 Export
- 5.2.4 Future Outlook till 2012-13
- 5.2.4.1 Production
- 5.2.4.2 Sales
- 5.2.4.3 Export
- 5.3 Multi-purpose Vehicles
- 5.3.1 Production
- 5.3.2 Sales
- 5.3.3 Export
- 5.3.4 Future Outlook till 2012-13
- 5.3.4.1 Production and Sales
- 5.4 Commercial Vehicles
- 5.4.1 Passenger Carriers
- 5.4.2 Goods Carriers
- 5.4.3 Future Outlook till 2012-13
- 5.4.3.1 Production
- 5.4.3.2 Sales
- 5.4.3.3 Export
- 5.5 Two Wheelers
- 5.5.1 Scooter/Scooterettee
- 5.5.2 Motorcycles
- 5.5.3 Electric Two Wheelers and Mopeds
- 5.5.4 Future Outlook till 2012-13
- 5.5.4.1 Scooter/Scooterettee
- 5.5.4.2 Motorcycles
- 5.6 Three Wheelers
- 5.6.1 Passenger Carriers
- 5.6.2 Goods Carriers
- 6. Auto Component Industry
- 6.1 Industry Structure
- 6.2 Production
- 6.3 Sales
- 6.4 Export
- 6.5 Import
- 6.6 Competitive Landscape
- 6.6.1 Players
- 6.6.2 Production by Type
- 6.6.3 Mergers & Acquisitions
- 6.6.4 Investment
- 6.7 Future Outlook till Fiscal 2012-13
- 6.7.1 Production
- 6.7.2 Sales
- 6.7.3 Export
- 7. Growth Avenues
- 7.1 Automotive Design Market
- 7.2 Non-conventional Vehicle Market
- 7.3 Domestic Tyre Industry
- 7.4 Automotive Steel
- 7.5 Auto Insurance and Financing Market
- 7.6 GPS Navigation Market
- 7.7 Power Industry
- 7.8 India as a Manufacturing Hub
- 7.9 Green Car Market
- 7.10 E-Scooter Market
- List of Figures:
- Figure 2-1: Comparison of Passenger Car Ownership with Other Asia-Pacific Countries (Units per 1000 Population), 2008
- Figure 2-2: Growth Rate of Top Automobile Producing Countries (%), 2007
- Figure 2-3: Comparison of Car Sales with Other Countries (Million Units), 2008
- Figure 3-1: Nominal GDP vs Passenger Car Ownership (2005-2008)
- Figure 3-2: Per Head Personal Disposable Income (US$), 2004-2008
- Figure 3-3: Comparison of Engineering Designer Wage with Other Countries (US$/Annum)
- Figure 3-4: FDI in Automobile Industry (Million US$), 2004-05 to 2008-09
- Figure 3-5: Young Population (%), 2006-2011
- Figure 3-6: Expenditure on Transportation and Communication (Billion US$), 2008-2012
- Figure 3-7: Asset-backed Securitization Market (Billion Rs), 2005-06 to 2008-09
- Figure 3-8: Finished Steel Production and Apparent Real Consumption (Million Metric Tons), 2007-08 & 2008-09
- Figure 3-9: Gasoline Production and Consumption (Million Metric Tons), 2007-08 & 2008-09
- Figure 3-10: High Speed Diesel Production & Consumption (Million Metric Tons), 2007-08 & 2008-09
- Figure 3-11: Growth in HR and CR Coil Prices in Metros (%), Jan 2008 to Jan 2009
- Figure 3-12: Automobile Industry Capacity Utilization (%), 2006-07
- Figure 3-13: Growth in Retail Petrol Prices in Major Cities (%), April 2002 to Jan 2009
- Figure 3-14: Growth in Retail Diesel Prices in Major Cities (%), April 2002 to Jan 2009
- Figure 3-15: Forecast for Average Exchange Rate per US$ (INR), 2009-2012
- Figure 3-16: Auto Financing Interest Rate (%), 2001-02 to YTD 2008-09
- Figure 4-1: Automobile Production (Million Units), 2002-03 to 2008-09
- Figure 4-2: Automobile Production by Segment (‘000 Units), 2008-09
- Figure 4-3: Automotive Installation Capacity (Million Units), 2005-06 & 2006-07
- Figure 4-4: Automobile Industry Input Cost (%)
- Figure 4-5: Automobile Sales (Million Units), 2002-03 to 2008-09
- Figure 4-6: Automobile Sales by Segment (%), 2008-09
- Figure 4-7: Automobile Export (Million Units), 2002-03 to 2008-09
- Figure 4-8: Automobile Export by Segment (%), 2008-09
- Figure 5-1: Passenger Vehicles Sales by Segment (%), 2008-09
- Figure 5-2: Passenger Vehicle Production (‘000 Units), 2004-05 to 2008-09
- Figure 5-3: Passenger Car Production (‘000 Units), 2007-08 & 2008-09
- Figure 5-4: Passenger Car Production by Segment (%), 2008-09
- Figure 5-5: Passenger Vehicle Sales (‘000 Units), 2004-05 to 2008-09
- Figure 5-6: Passenger Car Sales (‘000 Units), 2007-08 & 2008-09
- Figure 5-7: Passenger Car Sales by Segment (%), 2008-09
- Figure 5-8: Passenger Vehicle Export (‘000 Units), 2004-05 to 2008-09
- Figure 5-9: Passenger Car Export (‘000 Units), 2007-08 & 2008-09
- Figure 5-10: Passenger Car Export by Segment (%), 2008-09
- Figure 5-11: Forecast for Passenger Vehicle Production (Million Units), 2009-10 to 2012-13
- Figure 5-12: Forecast for Passenger Cars Production (Million Units), 2009-10 to 2012-13
- Figure 5-13: Forecast for Passenger Vehicle Sales (Million Units), 2009-10 to 2012-13
- Figure 5-14: Forecast for Passenger Cars Sales (Million Units), 2009-10 to 2012-13
- Figure 5-15: Forecast for Passenger Vehicle Export (Million Units), 2009-10 to 2012-13
- Figure 5-16: Forecast for Passenger Cars Export (Million Units), 2009-10 to 2012-13
- Figure 5-17: Utility Vehicle Production (‘000 Units), 2007-08 & 2008-09
- Figure 5-18: Utility Vehicle Production by Segment (%), 2008-09
- Figure 5-19: Utility Vehicle Sales (‘000 Units), 2007-08 & 2008-09
- Figure 5-20: Utility Vehicle Sales by Segment (%), 2008-09
- Figure 5-21: Utility Vehicle Export (Units), 2007-08 & 2008-09
- Figure 5-22: Utility Vehicle Export by Segment (%), 2008-09
- Figure 5-23: Forecast for Utility Vehicle Production (‘000 Units), 2009-10 to 2012-13
- Figure 5-24: Forecast for Utility Vehicle Sales (‘000 Units), 2009-10 to 2012-13
- Figure 5-25: Forecast for Utility Vehicle Export (‘000 Units), 2009-10 to 2012-13
- Figure 5-26: Multi-purpose Vehicle Production (‘000 Units), 2007-08 & 2008-09
- Figure 5-27: Multi-purpose Vehicle Production by Manufacturer (%), 2008-09
- Figure 5-28: Multi-purpose Vehicle Sales (‘000 Units), 2007-08 & 2008-09
- Figure 5-29: Multi-purpose Vehicle Export (Units), 2007-08 & 2008-09
- Figure 5-30: Forecast for Multi-purpose Vehicle Production and Sales (‘000 Units), 2009-10 to 2012-13
- Figure 5-31: Commercial Passenger Carrier Production (‘000 Units), 2007-08 & 2008-09
- Figure 5-32: Commercial Passenger Carrier Sales (‘000 Units), 2007-08 & 2008-09
- Figure 5-33: Commercial Passenger Carrier Sales by Segment (%), 2008-09
- Figure 5-34: Commercial Passenger Carrier Export (‘000 Units), 2007-08 & 2008-09
- Figure 5-35: Commercial Goods Carrier Production (‘000 Units), 2007-08 & 2008-09
- Figure 5-36: Commercial Goods Carrier Production by Segment (%), 2008-09
- Figure 5-37: Commercial Goods Carrier Sales (‘000 Units), 2007-08 & 2008-09
- Figure 5-38: Commercial Goods Carrier Sales by Segment (%), 2008-09
- Figure 5-39: Commercial Goods Carrier Export (‘000 Units), 2007-08 & 2008-09
- Figure 5-40: Commercial Goods Carrier Export by Segment (%), 2008-09
- Figure 5-41: Forecast for Commercial Vehicle Production by Segment (‘000 Units), 2009-10 to 2012-13
- Figure 5-42: Forecast for Commercial Vehicle Sales by Segment (‘000 Units), 2009-10 to 2012-13
- Figure 5-43: Forecast for Commercial Vehicle Export by Segment (‘000 Units), 2009-10 to 2012-13
- Figure 5-44: Two Wheeler Production by Segment (%), 2008-09
- Figure 5-45: Two Wheeler Sales by Segment (%), 2008-09
- Figure 5-46: Two Wheeler Export by Segment (%), 2008-09
- Figure 5-47: Scooter/Scooterettee Production (‘000 Units), 2007-08 & 2008-09
- Figure 5-48: Scooter/Scooterettee Sales (‘000 Units), 2007-08 & 2008-09
- Figure 5-49: Scooter/Scooterettee Export (Units), 2007-08 & 2008-09
- Figure 5-50: Scooter/Scooterettee Sales by Engine Capacity (%), 2008-09
- Figure 5-51: Scooter/Scooterettee Export by Engine Capacity (%), 2008-09
- Figure 5-52: Motorcycles/Step-throughs Production (Million Units), 2007-08 & 2008-09
- Figure 5-53: Motorcycles/Step-throughs Sales (Million Units), 2007-08 & 2008-09
- Figure 5-54: Motorcycles/Step-throughs Export (‘000 Units), 2007-08 & 2008-09
- Figure 5-55: Motorcycles/Step-throughs Production by Engine Capacity (%), 2008-09
- Figure 5-56: Motorcycles/Step-throughs Export by Engine Capacity (%), 2008-09
- Figure 5-57: Electric Two Wheeler Production and Sales (‘000 Units), 2007-08 & 2008-09
- Figure 5-58: Mopeds Production, Sales and Export (‘000 Units), 2007-08 & 2008-09
- Figure 5-59: Forecast for Scooter/Scooterettee Production (‘000 Units), 2009-10 to 2012-13
- Figure 5-60: Forecast for Scooter/Scooterettee Sales (‘000 Units), 2009-10 to 2012-13
- Figure 5-61: Forecast for Motorcycle/Step-throughs Production (Million Units), 2009-10 to 2012-13
- Figure 5-62: Forecast for Motorcycle/Step-throughs Sales (Million Units), 2009-10 to 2012-13
- Figure 5-63: Forecast for Motorcycle/Step-throughs Export (‘000 Units), 2009-10 to 2012-13
- Figure 5-64: Three Wheeler Passenger Carrier Production, Sales and Export (‘000 Units), 2007-08 & 2008-09
- Figure 5-65: Three Wheeler Passenger Carrier Production, Sales and Export by Seating Capacity (%), 2008-09
- Figure 5-66: Three Wheeler Goods Carrier Production, Sales and Export (‘000 Units), 2007-08 & 2008-09
- Figure 5-67: Three Wheeler Goods Carrier Production, Sales and Export by Carrying Capacity (%), 2008-09
- Figure 6-1: Auto Component Industry Structure (%)
- Figure 6-2: Auto Component Production (Billion US$), 2002-03 to 2008-09
- Figure 6-3: Auto Component Sales (Billion US$), 2002-03 to 2008-09
- Figure 6-4: Auto Component by End Market (%)
- Figure 6-5: Vehicle Category Contribution in Auto Component Market (%)
- Figure 6-6: Auto Component Export (Billion US$), 2002-03 to 2008-09
- Figure 6-7: Auto Component Export by Region (%), 2007-08
- Figure 6-8: Auto Component Export by Industry Type (%), 1990 & 2007
- Figure 6-9: Auto Component Import (Billion US$), 2003-04 to 2008-09
- Figure 6-10: Regional Presence of Auto Component Players (%), 2007-08
- Figure 6-11: Auto Component Industry by Product (%), 2007-08
- Figure 6-12: Investment in Auto Component Industry (Billion US$), 2003-04 to 2008-09
- Figure 6-13: Forecast for Auto Component Industry (Billion US$), 2009-10 & 2015-16
- Figure 6-14: Forecast for Auto Component Production (Billion US$), 2009-10 to 2012-13
- Figure 6-15: Forecast for Auto Component Sales (Billion US$), 2009-10 to 2012-13
- Figure 6-16: Forecast for Auto Component Export (Billion US$), 2009-10 to 2012-13
- Figure 7-1: Potential Market for Flex-fuel Cars (‘000 Units), 2008-09 to 2012-13
- Figure 7-2: Tyre Production (‘000 Metric Tons), 2008-09 to 2011-12
- Figure 7-3: Steel Requirement in Automobile Industry (Million Tons), 2007-08 to 2011-12
- Figure 7-4: Forecast for Steel Requirement by Type in Automobile Industry (%), 2011-12
- Figure 7-5: Passenger Car Insurance Premium (Million US$), 2008-09 to 2011-12
- Figure 7-6: Forecast for Two Wheeler Finance Market Structure (%), 2009-10
- Figure 7-7: Power Requirement for Auto Component Industry (MW), 2007-08 to 2015-16
- List of Tables:
- Table 3-1: Manufacturing Labor Cost Comparison with Other Countries (US$/Hr), 2007-2010
- Table 4-1: Distribution of Number of Automotive Plants in Leading States by District
- Table 4-2: Top OEMs
- Table 5-1: Top Passenger Car Manufacturers (Units), 2008-09
- Table 5-2: Top Passenger Car Sellers (Units), 2008-09
- Table 5-3: Future Small Car Models
- Table 5-4: Utility Vehicle Manufacturers (Units), 2008-09
- Table 5-5: Utility Vehicle Sales by Manufacturer (Units), 2008-09
- Table 5-6: Utility Vehicle Export by Manufacturer (Units), 2008-09
- Table 6-1: Top Players in Auto Component Industry
- Table 6-2: Top Auto Component Industry Players in North/Central Region
- Table 6-3: Top Auto Component Industry Players in Western Region
- Table 6-4: Top Auto Component Industry Players in Southern Region
- Table 6-5: Top Auto Component Industry Players in Eastern Region
- Table 6-6: Mergers & Acquisitions in Auto Component Industry (2007 & 2008)
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