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The Survey of Economists: Prospects for European Economic Recovery August 2009 Edition

Primary Research Group
August 1, 2009
SKU: PF2436224

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Countries covered: Europe

The Survey of Economists: Prospects for European Economic Recovery, presents the results of a survey of more than 100 economists from leading institutions who comment on a wide range of issues affecting Europe's recovery from the worst economic slump since the 1930's. Data is presented in the aggretage and then separately broken out by the political conviction, geographic origin and professional status of the participants.

Coverage includes fiscal policy advice for the major European states, views of the accuracy of EEC Commission economic forecasts, approaches to resolving the Euro-area banking crisis and the long term economic impact of this crisis, wisdom of the European Central Bank's asset purcchasing policies, sources of demand for future growth, likely exchange rate developments and many other issues affecting Europe's economic recovery.

LIST OF TABLES
SURVEY PARTICIPANTS
SUMMARY OF MAIN FINDINGS: Support for Expansionary European Central Bank Policies (ECB); Opinions of European Central Bank?s Policies on Purchasing Non-Traditional Assets; View Of The Financial Solvency Of The Financial Sector Of Germany; View of the Relative Role of the USA and Europe in the World Financial Crisis; View of Optimal Policies for European National Governments to Confront the Banking Crisis; Views on Increased EEC Assistance to EEC Countries Hit Particularly Hard by the Financial Crisis; Views on the Advisability of Increased Government Spending in a Range of European Countries; What is the Greater Danger to the EEC economy Over the Next Two Years: Deflation or Inflation?; Views on the Likely Path of the Dollar/Euro Exchange Rate; Views on the Reliability of EEC Commission Economic Forecasts; Views of Economic Prospects for Germany Over the Next Two Years
CHAPTER ONE: VIEW OF EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK (ECB) POLICIES
CHAPTER TWO: ECB POLICIES ON PURCHASING NON-TRADITIONAL ASSETS
CHAPTER THREE: VIEW OF ECB POLICY ON STERILIZING THE IMPACT ON THE MONETARY BASE OF NON-TRADITIONAL ASSET PURCHASES
CHAPTER FOUR: VIEW OF THE SOLVENCY OF GERMAN BANKS
CHAPTER FIVE: VIEW OF THE RELATIVE WEIGHT OF EUROPEAN AND AMERICAN BANKS IN THE WORLD FINANCIAL CRISIS
CHAPTER SIX: VIEW OF ADVISABILITY OF RE-CAPITALIZING THE EUROPEAN BANKING SYSTEM THROUGH STATE BORROWING
CHAPTER SEVEN: VIEW OF THE ADVISABILITY OF PROVIDING GREATER AID THROUGH THE EEC TO EUROPEAN COUNTRIES ESPECIALLY HARD HIT BY THE FINANCIAL CRISIS
CHAPTER EIGHT: VIEW OF THE EFFICACY OF AN EXPANSIONARY FISCAL POLICY FOR THE UK
CHAPTER NINE: VIEW OF THE EFFICACY OF AN EXPANSIONARY FISCAL POLICY FOR SPAIN
CHAPTER TEN: VIEW OF THE ROLE OF AN EXPANSIONARY FISCAL POLICY FOR FRANCE
CHAPTER ELEVEN: VIEW OF THE EFFICACY OF AN EXPANSIONARY FISCAL POLICY FOR IRELAND
CHAPTER TWELVE: VIEW OF THE EFFICACY OF AN EXPANSIONARY FISCAL POLICY FOR GERMANY
CHAPTER THIRTEEN: VIEW OF THE EFFICACY OF AN EXPANSIONARY FISCAL POLICY FOR ITALY
CHAPTER FOURTEEN: VIEW OF THE EFFICACY OF AN EXPANSIONARY FISCAL POLICY FOR POLAND
CHAPTER FIFTEEN: WHICH IS THE GREATER THREAT TO EEC ECONOMIES OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS, DEFLATION OR INFLATION?
CHAPTER SIXTEEN: PREDICTED ALTERATIONS IN THE EURO/DOLLAR/EURO EXCHANGE RATE
CHAPTER SEVENTEEN: PREDICTED DOLLAR/EURO EXCHANGE RATE JUNE 2010
CHAPTER EIGHTEEN: PREDICTED DOLLAR/EURO EXCHANGE RATE JUNE 2011
CHAPTER NINETEEN: VIEW OF THE RELIABILITY OF EEC COMMISSION ECONOMIC FORECASTS
CHAPTER TWENTY: VIEW OF THE PROSPECTS FOR GERMAN ECONOMIC RECOVERY OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS
LIST OF TABLES: TABLE 1.1: VIEW OF THE ECB?S POLICIES OVER THE PAST SIX MONTHS: ?; TABLE 1.2: VIEW OF THE ECB?S POLICIES OVER THE PAST SIX MONTHS: ... BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING; TABLE 1.3: VIEW OF THE ECB?S POLICIES OVER THE PAST SIX MONTHS: ... BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS; TABLE 1.4: VIEW OF THE ECB?S POLICIES OVER THE PAST SIX MONTHS: ... BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION; TABLE 2.1: VIEW OF THE ECB?S POLICIES TO PURCHASE NON-TRADITIONAL ASSETS: ...; TABLE 2.2: VIEW OF THE ECB?S POLICIES TO PURCHASE NON-TRADITIONAL ASSETS: ..., BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING; TABLE 2.3: VIEW OF THE ECB?S POLICIES TO PURCHASE NON-TRADITIONAL ASSETS: ..., BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS; TABLE 2.4: VIEW OF THE ECB?S POLICIES TO PURCHASE NON-TRADITIONAL ASSETS: ..., BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION; TABLE 3.1: WHAT DO YOU THINK OF THE ECB?S POLICY OF OFFSETTING OR STERILIZING THE IMPACT ON THE MONETARY BASE OF ITS PURCHASES OF NON-TRADITIONAL ASSETS?; TABLE 3.2: WHAT DO YOU THINK OF THE ECB?S POLICY OF OFFSETTING OR STERILIZING THE IMPACT ON THE MONETARY BASE OF ITS PURCHASES OF NON-TRADITIONAL ASSETS? BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING; TABLE 3.3: WHAT DO YOU THINK OF THE ECB?S POLICY OF OFFSETTING OR STERILIZING THE IMPACT ON THE MONETARY BASE OF ITS PURCHASES OF NON-TRADITIONAL ASSETS? BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS; TABLE 3.4: WHAT DO YOU THINK OF THE ECB?S POLICY OF OFFSETTING OR STERILIZING THE IMPACT ON THE MONETARY BASE OF ITS PURCHASES OF NON-TRADITIONAL ASSETS? BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION; TABLE 4.1: WHICH PHRASE BEST DESCRIBES YOUR VIEWS ON THE FINANCIAL SOLVENCY OF BANKS IN THE GERMANY?; TABLE 4.2: WHICH PHRASE BEST DESCRIBES YOUR VIEWS ON THE FINANCIAL SOLVENCY OF BANKS IN GERMANY? BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING; TABLE 4.3: WHICH PHRASE BEST DESCRIBES YOUR VIEWS ON THE FINANCIAL SOLVENCY OF BANKS IN GERMANY? BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS; TABLE 4.4: WHICH PHRASE BEST DESCRIBES YOUR VIEWS ON THE FINANCIAL SOLVENCY OF BANKS IN GERMANY? BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION; TABLE 5.1: YOUR VIEW OF THE RELATIVE AMERICAN AND EUROPEAN ROLES IN THE INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL CRISIS IS BEST DESCRIBED BY WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING PHRASES.; TABLE 5.2: YOUR VIEW OF THE RELATIVE AMERICAN AND EUROPEAN ROLES IN THE INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL CRISIS IS BEST DESCRIBED BY WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING PHRASES. BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING; TABLE 5.3: YOUR VIEW OF THE RELATIVE AMERICAN AND EUROPEAN ROLES IN THE INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL CRISIS IS BEST DESCRIBED BY WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING PHRASES. BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS; TABLE 5.4: YOUR VIEW OF THE RELATIVE AMERICAN AND EUROPEAN ROLES IN THE INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL CRISIS IS BEST DESCRIBED BY WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING PHRASES. BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION; TABLE 6.1: IN CONFRONTING THE PROBLEMS OF THE EUROPEAN BANKING SYSTEM, IN YOUR VIEW MAJOR EUROPEAN GOVERNMENTS IN COUNTRIES WITH BANKING INDUSTRIES THAT FACE VERY HIGH LOSSES SHOULD DO WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING: (CHOOSE THE ALTERNATIVE THAT BEST DESCRIBES YOUR POLICY POSITION); TABLE 6.2: IN CONFRONTING THE PROBLEMS OF THE EUROPEAN BANKING SYSTEM, IN YOUR VIEW MAJOR EUROPEAN GOVERNMENTS IN COUNTRIES WITH BANKING INDUSTRIES THAT FACE VERY HIGH LOSSES SHOULD DO WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING: (CHOOSE THE ALTERNATIVE THAT BEST DESCRIBES YOUR POLICY POSITION). BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING; TABLE 6.3: IN CONFRONTING THE PROBLEMS OF THE EUROPEAN BANKING SYSTEM, IN YOUR VIEW MAJOR EUROPEAN GOVERNMENTS IN COUNTRIES WITH BANKING INDUSTRIES THAT FACE VERY HIGH LOSSES SHOULD DO WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING: (CHOOSE THE ALTERNATIVE THAT BEST DESCRIBES YOUR POLICY POSITION). BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS; TABLE 6.4: IN CONFRONTING THE PROBLEMS OF THE EUROPEAN BANKING SYSTEM, IN YOUR VIEW MAJOR EUROPEAN GOVERNMENTS IN COUNTRIES WITH BANKING INDUSTRIES THAT FACE VERY HIGH LOSSES SHOULD DO WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING: (CHOOSE THE ALTERNATIVE THAT BEST DESCRIBES YOUR POLICY POSITION). BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION; TABLE 7.1: SHOULD THE EUROPEAN COMMISSIN BE DOING MUCH MORE TO HELP THOSE EEC COUNTRIES STRUCK MOST SEVERELY BY THE BANKING CRISIS SUCH AS SPAIN, BELGIUM, IRELAND AND GREECE?; TABLE 7.2: SHOULD THE EUROPEAN COMMISSIN BE DOING MUCH MORE TO HELP THOSE EEC COUNTRIES STRUCK MOST SEVERELY BY THE BANKING CRISIS SUCH AS SPAIN, BELGIUM, IRELAND AND GREECE? BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING; TABLE 7.3: SHOULD THE EUROPEAN COMMISSIN BE DOING MUCH MORE TO HELP THOSE EEC COUNTRIES STRUCK MOST SEVERELY BY THE BANKING CRISIS SUCH AS SPAIN, BELGIUM, IRELAND AND GREECE? BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS; TABLE 7.4: SHOULD THE EUROPEAN COMMISSIN BE DOING MUCH MORE TO HELP THOSE EEC COUNTRIES STRUCK MOST SEVERELY BY THE BANKING CRISIS SUCH AS SPAIN, BELGIUM, IRELAND AND GREECE? BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION; TABLE 8.1: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE THE UNITED KINGDOM TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT.; TABLE 8.2: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE THE UNITED KINGDOM TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT.NOTE BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING; TABLE 8.3: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE THE UNITED KINGDOM TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS; TABLE 8.4: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE THE UNITED KINGDOM TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT.NOTE BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION; TABLE 9.1: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE SPAIN TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT.; TABLE 9.2: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE SPAIN TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. NOTE BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING; TABLE 9.3: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE SPAIN TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS; TABLE 9.4: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE SPAIN TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. NOTE BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION; TABLE 10.1: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE FRANCE TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT.; TABLE 10.2: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE FRANCE TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. NOTE BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING; TABLE 10.3: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE FRANCE TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS; TABLE 10.4: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE FRANCE TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. NOTE BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION; TABLE 11.1: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE IRELAND TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT.; TABLE 11.2: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE IRELAND TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. NOTE BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING; TABLE 11.3: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE IRELAND TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS; TABLE 11.4: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE IRELAND TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. NOTE BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION; TABLE 12.1: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE GERMANY TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT.; TABLE 12.2: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE GERMANY TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. NOTE BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING; TABLE 12.3: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE GERMANY TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS; TABLE 12.4: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE GERMANY TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. NOTE BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION; TABLE 13.1: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE ITALY TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT.; TABLE 13.2: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE ITALY TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. NOTE BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING; TABLE 13.3: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE ITALY TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS; TABLE 13.4: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE ITALY TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT.NOTE BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION; TABLE 14.1: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE POLAND TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT.; TABLE 14.2: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE POLAND TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. NOTE BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING; TABLE 14.3: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE POLAND TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS; TABLE 14.4: ON A SCALE FROM 1-5 WITH 1 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL CONTRACTION ADVISED"" AND 5 SIGNIFYING ""SIGNIFICANT FISCAL EXPANSION HIGHLY ADVISED"" HOW WOULD YOU ADVISE POLAND TO EXPAND PUBLIC SPENDING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. NOTE BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION; TABLE 15.1: IN YOUR VIEW THE GREATER THREAT TO THE EEC ECONOMY OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS IS DEFLATION OR INFLATION?; TABLE 15.2: IN YOUR VIEW THE GREATER THREAT TO THE EEC ECONOMY OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS IS DEFLATION OR INFLATION? BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING; TABLE 15.3: IN YOUR VIEW THE GREATER THREAT TO THE EEC ECONOMY OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS IS DEFLATION OR INFLATION? BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS; TABLE 15.4: IN YOUR VIEW THE GREATER THREAT TO THE EEC ECONOMY OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS IS DEFLATION OR INFLATION? BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION; TABLE 16.1: OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS, THE EURO VIS A VIS THE DOLLAR WILL ?; TABLE 16.2: OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS, THE EURO VIS A VIS THE DOLLAR WILL ?, BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING; TABLE 16.3: OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS, THE EURO VIS A VIS THE DOLLAR WILL ?, BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS; TABLE 16.4: OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS, THE EURO VIS A VIS THE DOLLAR WILL ?, BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION; TABLE 17.1: APPROXIMATELY WHAT DO YOU GUESS WILL BE THE DOLLAR/EURO EXCHANGE RATE IN JUNE 2010?; TABLE 17.2: APPROXIMATELY WHAT DO YOU GUESS WILL BE THE DOLLAR/EURO EXCHANGE RATE IN JUNE 2010? BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING; TABLE 17.3: APPROXIMATELY WHAT DO YOU GUESS WILL BE THE DOLLAR/EURO EXCHANGE RATE IN JUNE 2010? BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS; TABLE 18.1: APPROXIMATELY WHAT DO YOU GUESS WILL BE THE DOLLAR/EURO EXCHANGE RATE IN JUNE 2011?; TABLE 18.2: APPROXIMATELY WHAT DO YOU GUESS WILL BE THE DOLLAR/EURO EXCHANGE RATE IN JUNE 2011? BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING; TABLE 18.3: APPROXIMATELY WHAT DO YOU GUESS WILL BE THE DOLLAR/EURO EXCHANGE RATE IN JUNE 2011? BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS; TABLE 18.4: APPROXIMATELY WHAT DO YOU GUESS WILL BE THE DOLLAR/EURO EXCHANGE RATE IN JUNE 2011? BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION; TABLE 20.1: AS A PERSONAL SUBJECTIVE ESTIMATE, HOW DO YOU FEEL ABOUT THE PROSPECTS FOR THE RECOVERY OF THE GERMAN ECONOMY OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS?; TABLE 20.2: AS A PERSONAL SUBJECTIVE ESTIMATE, HOW DO YOU FEEL ABOUT THE PROSPECTS FOR THE RECOVERY OF THE GERMAN ECONOMY OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS? BROKEN OUT BY COUNTRY OR COUNTRY GROUPING; TABLE 20.3: AS A PERSONAL SUBJECTIVE ESTIMATE, HOW DO YOU FEEL ABOUT THE PROSPECTS FOR THE RECOVERY OF THE GERMAN ECONOMY OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS? BROKEN OUT BY POLITICAL VIEWS; TABLE 20.4: AS A PERSONAL SUBJECTIVE ESTIMATE, HOW DO YOU FEEL ABOUT THE PROSPECTS FOR THE RECOVERY OF THE GERMAN ECONOMY OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS? BROKEN OUT BY PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATION

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The Survey of Economists: Prospects for European Economic Recovery August 2009 Edition

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