: The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the Country Economic Forecast. The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below. - Highlights and Key Issues - four/five paragraphs of analysis covering the main economic and political issues contained in the subsequent Economic Overview - Forecast Table showing % changes for the country - with 2 years of historical data and 4 years of forecast data for the following: - Domestic demand - Private consumption - Fixed investment - Stockbuilding (% of GDP) - Government consumption - Exports of goods and services - Imports of goods and services - Unemployment - Consumer prices - Current account balance (US$ and % of GDP) - Government budget (% of GDP) - Short-term interest rates (%) - Long-term interest rates (%) - Exchange rate (vs. US dollar) - Exchange rate (vs. euro) - Economic Overview - two pages of events-driven analysis highlighting the most recent economic activity and, where relevant, political developments of the country, detailing significant changes to Oxford Economics' forecasts - Charts and Tables - covering a full range of economic developments relevant to the time period covered. These could include such topics as: - Contributions to GDP growth - Monthly industrial output - Business and consumer confidence - Unemployment rate - Retail sales - Prices and earnings - Consumption and investment - Government balance and debt - GDP and industrial production - Monetary policy and bond yields - Background Information on the country - One or two pages of text covering the main historical political and economic factors that determine the country's current position - Key Facts on the country - Map of the country - Key political facts - Long-term economic and social development - changes since 1980 - Structure of GDP by output - latest year - Long-term sovereign credit ratings and outlook - Corruption perceptions index- latest year - Structural economic indicators - changes since 1990 - Destination of goods' exports -prior years - latest year - Composition of goods & services exports - latest year
The Dutch economy continues to show signs of a modest recovery, with activity spurred by cheap oil and exporters gaining from the precipitate decline in the value of the euro. GDP expanded in the last three quarters of 2014 and the latest EC economic sentiment indicator points to growth in Q1 broadly maintaining the 0.5% q/q pace of expansion seen in the last quarter of 2014. Meanwhile, although unemployment has plateaued of late at just over 7%, employment has risen and in combination with a renewed increase in real wages, this should lead to a gradual pick up in household spending over the next couple of years. Overall, GDP should rise by 1.4% in 2015 and a similar rate in 2016, following a 0.8% rise last year. However, this will be well short of the pre-financial crisis norm and headwinds such as high household debt and large amounts of existing spare capacity will constrain growth potential over the longer term.