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DOCSIS 3.0 — Cable's Migration to Broadband IP Services: Global Market Trends & Forecast—2010

Multimedia Research Group, Inc.
July 1, 2010
81 Pages - SKU: BFAQ2750493

Abstract Table of Contents Related Reports

Countries covered: Global

Cable Multi-system Operators (or MSOs) all over the world are deploying DOCSIS 3.0[1] and Euro-DOCSIS 3.0 technology and related architectures in order to serve the growing demand for higher speed Internet service and eventually evolve to an all IP network that also carries video services. There are a number of issues that are causing the solution to not be very clear cut: the economy, existing infrastructure, operational expenses and different approaches to DOCSIS 3.0 upgrades. There is also a deeper issue on how the MSOs intend to free up channels to be upgraded to DOCSIS 3.0, given that there isn’t usually excess bandwidth in their systems today.

This report aims to clarify this picture both for the MSOs and suppliers on a global basis. It also helps other carriers (Satellite, Telco) to better understand the competitive challenge they will be facing in 2010-2014. DOCSIS 3.0 products and architectures are examined with attention to the pros and cons for each of them. In some cases, an MSO uses a step-by-step migration strategy, while in other cases, it will be easier to quickly move to the final destination of being a converged IP network, the stated long-term goal of many of the major MSOs.

Tables and Charts are used to show regional and total Cable Broadband subscribers, DOCSIS 3.0 (and Euro-DOCSIS 3.0) subscribers, service types (by region and Operator) and service pricing, as shown here.

While the DOCSIS architecture has performed well for Operators in the past, it is still not seen as the ultimate goal. A new architecure has emerged as a candidate for the latest NGAA (Next Generation Access Architecture) called the CMAP (Converged Multiservice Access Platform) architecture, proposed primarily by Comcast, but having industry-wide support. CMAP’s technology goals are aimed at enabling lower costs, greater flexibility and incorporating a wide range of headend components. Will CMAP delay the roll-out of DOCSIS 3.0 and Euro-DOCSIS 3.0, or simply strengthen Cable's market position?

ARRIS, Cisco, Motorola, Alcatel-Lucent, Juniper Networks, Virgin Media, Kabel BW, LG Powercom, Harmonic, UPC Austria, SK Telecom, and others make up over 50 key companies described in this report.

[1] Data-Over-Cable Service Interface Specification

Additional Information

Index of Companies

Apple Inc. (iTouch) Microsoft
Archos Midcontinent Communications
Armstrong Utilities
(Armstrong Cable Services) Motorola (Terayon Corporation)
ARRIS Netflix, Inc.
AT&T Netgear
Atlantic Broadband Numéricable
Aurora Networks ONO
Avista Captial Partners Point Topic
BelAir Networks Portugal Telecom Group
BigBand Networks Providence Equity Partners
Bresnan Communications PT Multimedia
Bright House Networks Quadrangle
Broadband TS RCN Corporation
BroadBit RGB Networks
Cable Europe Labs Rogers Cable
Cablecom Rogers Communications
CableLabs Sanoma Entertainment
Cablevision Sanoma Television Oy/Welho
Cabovisão SARFT
CAIW Shaw Cablesystems G.P.
Canal Digital Norway Shaw Communications Inc.
Candover SK Broadband
(Hanaro Telecom)
Casa Systems SK Telekom
Cequel Communications Holdings StarHub
Charter Communications Suddenlink Communications
Cinven TDC A/S
Cisco Systems Technicolor
(Thomson)
Cogeco Cable Telenet
Com Hem Telenor
Comcast The Carlyle Group
Cox Communications Time Warner Cable
Dataxis Intelligence TiVo Inc.
D-Link Ubee Interactive
(Ambit Microsystems)
Get Unity Media
GoBackTV UPC Austria
Goldman Sachs UPC Czech Republic (UPC Czech)
Harmonic UPC Hungary
Incognito Software UPC Iceland
Insight Communicaitons Company UPC Netherlands
Japan Cablenet UPC Poland
Juniper Networks UPC Romania
Jupiter Communications (J:COM) Vecima Networks
Kabel BW Verivue
Kabel Deutschland Verizon
Keirsey Research Virgin Media
(ntl, Telewest, Virgin Mobile, Virgin.net)
Knology Holdings Virgin Media Television (VMtv)
LG Powercom
(LG Dacom, LG Telecom) Warburg Pincus
Liberty Global WideOpenWest Networks (WOW!)
LiquidxStream Systems YouSee A/S
Magyar Telekom Ziggo
(Essent Kabelcom, Multikabel)
Mediacom Communications Corporation ZON Multimedia

1 Executive Summary — Moving To A Converged IP Network
2 Introduction and Background: 2.1 Basic DOCSIS Overview; 2.2 DOCSIS 3.0/EuroDOCSIS 3.0 Comparison; 2.3 Business Overview; 2.4 Market Drivers for DOCSIS 3.0; 2.5 Issues for DOCSIS 3.0
3 Architectures for DOCSIS 3.0 — Pros and Cons: 3.1 Initial System Review; 3.2 Switched Digital Video; 3.3 Integrated vs. Modular DOCSIS 3.0 Architectures; 3.4 Bypass Architecture; 3.5 DOCSIS Through the CMTS; 3.6 Residential Gateway Approach
4 Financial and Business Considerations: 4.1 Switched Digital Video; 4.2 DOCSIS 3.0 Costs & Control of Costs; 4.3 Reclaiming Bandwidth; 4.4 Residential Gateway Approach; 4.5 DOCSIS Global Service Plan Comparisons
5 DOCSIS 3.0 Forecasts: 5.1 Global; 5.2 U.S.; 5.3 Europe; 5.4 Asia
6 Recommendations and Conclusions for MSOs: 6.1 Continue with Price Reductions; 6.2 Accelerate "IPTV"; 6.3 Recognize SDV as a Long-Term Architecture; 6.4 Free Up More Bandwidth
7 Vendor Profiles: 7.1 Vendor Matrix; 7.2 ARRIS; 7.3 Aurora Networks; 7.4 BelAir Networks (Wireless); 7.5 BigBand Networks; 7.6 Casa Systems; 7.7 Cisco; 7.8 D-Link; 7.9 Harmonic; 7.10 Incognito Software; 7.11 Juniper Networks; 7.12 LiquidXStreams; 7.13 Motorola; 7.14 Netgear; 7.15 RGB Networks; 7.16 Technicolor (Thomson); 7.17 Ubee Interactive (Ambit Microsystems); 7.18 Vecima Networks; 7.19 Verivue
8 Service Provider Profiles: 8.1 Asia-Pacific; 8.2 Europe; 8.3 North America; 8.4 Summary - Global CMTS and DOCSIS 3.0 Subscribers
9 Appendix 1: DOCSIS/EuroDOCSIS Standards Overview
10 Appendix 2: CMAP Overview: 10.1 Why is there the need for CMAP?; 10.2 CMAP Objectives; 10.3 The Key Functional Goals for CMAP
11 Appendix 3: Glossary of Terms
12 Index of Companies
Table of Figures: Figure 2-1: Simple DOCSIS Network Diagram; Figure 2-2: European RF Spectrum for HFC Networks; Figure 3-1: Cisco's SDV Architecture; Figure 3-2: Before and After SDV; Figure 3-3: RGB Networks' Next Gen SDV Architecture; Figure 3-4: DOCSIS IP Video Bypass Diagram; Figure 3-5: GoBackTV's CMTS Bypass System; Figure 3-6: Cisco Architecture for DOCSIS 3.0 Network; Figure 5-1: Top Ten Countries By Broadband Lines in 2014; Figure 5-2: Global Cable Broadband Forecast 2009-2014 (Million); Figure 5-3: Broadband Line Growth Forecast By Market; Figure 5-4: U.S. Breakdown of Internet Connection Types; Figure 5-5: Willingness to Pay for Very High-Speed Service; Figure 5-6: European Cable Broadband Internet Subscribers By Country - 2010 (Thousands); Figure 5-7: Asian Cable Broadband Internet Subs By Country - 2010 (Thousands); Figure 8-1: Virgin Media Cable Broadband Net Adds; Figure 10-1: CMAP Downstream Port Assignments; Figure 10-2: Modular CMAP Architecture; Figure 10-3: CMAP RF Port Configuration; Figure 10-4: Possible CMAP Chassis
Table of Tables: Table 2-1: DOCSIS vs. EuroDOCSIS — Usable Bandwidth; Table 4-1: Global Comparison of DOCSIS 3.0 Service (US$); Table 5-1: Percentage of U.S. Consumers Likely to Subscribe to Very High-Speed Internet; Table 5-2: Consumer Usage of High-Speed Internet (more than 50 Mbps); Table 7-1: Vendor Matrix; Table 8-1: Asia-Pacific D3 Service Pricing (US$) — 2010; Table 8-2: Europe ED3 Service Pricing (US$) — 2010; Table 8-3: North America D3 Service Pricing (US$) — 2010; Table 8-4: Estimated DOCSIS 3.0 (Very High-Speed) Cable Broadband Subscribers Worldwide

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DOCSIS 3.0 — Cable's Migration to Broadband IP Services: Global Market Trends & Forecast—2010

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