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LTE Mobile Broadband Strategies - Consumer & Enterprise Markets; Devices & Chipsets 2009-2014

Juniper Research Limited
June 1, 2009
140 Pages - SKU: JUN2291256

Abstract Table of Contents Search inside this report Related Reports

This LTE report provides over 50 pages of forecasts including enterprise and consumer subscriber numbers split by 8 key regions, and enterprise and consumer device forecasts for smart phones, laptops, portable games consoles, netbooks, and consumer devices such as cameras and MP3 players.

As well as LTE service revenues based on regional ARPUs, this report also looks at LTE network access method (SIM cards, USB modem dongle, plug-in cards, embedded chipsets) and forecasts when the embedded LTE chipset market will take off.

This new study provides the most detailed assessment of the opportunity for device and component vendors, mobile network operators, consultants, financial analysts and application, content and service providers to maximise revenues in this emerging sector.

Key Questions answered by this report:

How much service revenue and ARPU will LTE generate by region?
How many LTE mobile broadband subscribers will there be each year from 2009-2014?
What will be the split between enterprise and consumer LTE subscribers?
Which will be the prime regions for LTE deployments?
What are the trends, drivers and constraints affecting the development of the LTE market?
How many and what types of devices will be connected to LTE networks in 2014?

Glossary
Executive Summary
Introduction
The Big Picture: Mobile Subscriber Forecasts: Figure ES.1: Global Mobile Subscriber Forecast (m) by Region All Technologies, 2008 - 2014
Mobile Broadband Subscriber Forecasts: Figure ES.2: Global Mobile Subscriber Forecasts (m) by Technology (2G/2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/3.9G) 2009-2014; Table ES.1: Global Mobile Subscriber Forecast (m) by Technology (2G/2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/ 3.9G) 2009 - 2014
LTE Mobile Subscriber Forecast: Table ES.2: Global LTE, HSPA, EVDO Revs A & B and WiMAX Mobile Subscriber Forecast (m) 2009 - 2014; Figure ES.3: Global LTE, HSPA, EVDO Revs A & B and WiMAX Mobile Subscriber Forecast (m) 2009 - 2014; Figure ES.4: Global LTE Mobile Subscriber Forecast by Region (m) 2009 - 2014; Table ES.3: Global LTE Mobile Subscriber Forecast by Region (m) 2009 - 2014
LTE Service Revenues Forecast: Figure ES.5: Global LTE Enterprise & Consumer Service Revenue Forecast ($m) 2009 - 2014; Figure ES.6: Global LTE Service Revenue Forecast by Region ($m) 2009 - 2014
LTE Network Access Forecast: Figure ES.7: LTE Network Access: SIMs, Dongles, Cards & Embedded Chipsets - Enterprise & Consumer Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014
LTE Devices Forecast: Figure ES.8: LTE Enabled Enterprise and Consumer Devices Forecast by Type (Subscribers m) 2009 - 2014; Table ES.4: LTE Enabled Devices Forecast by Type (Subscribers m) 2009 - 2014
LTE Chipset Annual Shipment Forecast: Table ES.5: LTE Chipset Shipment Forecast by Device Type (m. pa) 2009 - 2014; Figure ES.9: LTE Chipset Revenue Forecast by Device Type ($m. pa) 2009 - 2014
Recommendations
Service Providers
Vendors
Mobile Broadband Market Drivers: 1.1 Personal Connectivity: "Always On"; Figure 1.1: Broadband Connectivity Demand Cycle; 1.2 Economic Growth; Figure 1.2: OECD Broadband Penetration and GDP per Capita; 1.3 Emerging Mobile Youth Generation; Figure 1.3: Youth Mobile Requirements Survey Feedback; Figure 1.4: Youth Mobile - Next Generation Phones Survey Feedback; 1.4 New Applications and Services; Figure 1.5: Evolution of Mobile Applications over Time; Figure 1.6: Voice vs. Data ARPU 2008 by Country; Figure 1.7: UK Text Messaging Growth - SMS/MMS per quarter (m); Figure 1.8: Global Mobile & Basic 3G Subscribers (m) in 2008 by Region; Figure 1.9: Bank of America Mobile Banking Screens; Figure 1.10: mPoria Mobile Web Shopping Portal; Figure 1.11 Mobile Internet Users by Region (m) 2009 & 2011; Figure 1.12: Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast

1.5 The Need for Mobility

Figure 1.13: Development of Worldwide Connectivity - Fixed, Mobile, PCs & Internet 1997-2007

Figure 1.14: Microsoft My Phone Screenshot

Figure 1.15: Orb Service on a Classic Mobile Browser Interface

1.6 LTE Specific Drivers & Inhibitors

1.7 LTE Open Issues

1.7.1 Devices

i Device Types; Figure 1.16: LTE Device Introduction Timeline; ii Device Convergence; Figure 1.17: Garmin nüvifone G60; Figure 1.18 Acer Tempo DX900 Smart Phone; Figure 1.19: Data Traffic and Network Profitability Timeline; Figure 1.20: LTE Potential Spectrum Bands
Mobile Subscriber Market Forecast: 2.1 Subscriber Forecasting Technique; Figure 2.1: LTE Market Forecast Methodology; 2.2 Global Mobile Subscriber Forecast; Figure 2.2: Global Mobile Subscribers (m) by 8 Key Regions All Technologies, 2008 - 2014; Table 2.1: Global Mobile Subscribers (m) by 8 Key Regions All Technologies, 2008 - 2014; Figure 2.3: Global Mobile Subscriber Base, Market Share (%) by 8 Key Regions 2008-2014; 2.3 3G and Mobile Broadband Subscriber Forecast
3 LTE Market Status: 3.1 TeliaSonera; 3.2 NTT DoCoMo; Figure 3.1: NTT DoCoMo Super 3G (LTE) Timeplan; Figure 3.2: NTT DoCoMo Super 3G (LTE) Downlink Performance; 3.3 Verizon, Vodafone & China Mobile; 3.4 Telstra; 3.5 KDDI; 3.6 Softbank; 3.7 T-Mobile; 3.8 China Telecom; 3.9 SK Telecom; 3.10 Korea Telecom & KTF; Figure 3.3: KTF Network Evolution; 3.11 Bell Canada & Telus; 3.12 SmarTone-Vodafone; 3.13 AT&T Mobility; 3.14 Further MNOs and Other Network Operators; 3.15 Conclusion; Table 3.1: LTE Development Scorecard by MNO - Trial Dates, Commercial Service Dates & Vendors Selected; Figure 3.4: Global LTE Development Assessment by MNO
4 LTE Market Forecasts: Subscribers and Revenues: 4.1 LTE Subscriber Forecast; 4.1.1 MNO Strategies; 4.1.2 Guidance: Impact of the Downturn; 4.1.3 North America; Figure 4.1: North America LTE, HSPA, EVDO Revs A & B and WiMAX Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014; Table 4.1: North America LTE, HSPA, EVDO Revs A & B and WiMAX Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014; Figure 4.2: North America LTE Enterprise & Consumer Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014; Table 4.2: North America LTE Enterprise & Consumer Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014; 4.1.4 Western Europe; Figure 4.3: Western Europe LTE, HSPA and WiMAX Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014; Table 4.3: Western Europe LTE, HSPA and WiMAX Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014; Figure 4.4: Western Europe LTE Enterprise & Consumer Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014; Table 4.4: Western Europe LTE Enterprise & Consumer Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014; 4.1.5 Far East & China; Figure 4.5: Far East & China LTE, HSPA, EVDO Revs A & B and WiMAX Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014; Table 4.5: Far East & China LTE, HSPA, EVDO Revs A & B and WiMAX Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014; Figure 4.6: Far East & China LTE Enterprise & Consumer Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014; Table 4.6: Far East & China LTE Enterprise & Consumer Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014; 4.1.6 Rest of Asia Pacific; Figure 4.7: Rest of Asia Pacific LTE, HSPA, EVDO Revs A & B and WiMAX Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014; Table 4.7: Rest of Asia Pacific LTE, HSPA, EVDO Revs A & B and WiMAX Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014; Figure 4.8: Rest of Asia Pacific LTE Enterprise & Consumer Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014; Table 4.8: Rest of Asia Pacific LTE Enterprise & Consumer Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014; 4.1.7 Global; Figure 4.9: Global LTE, HSPA, EVDO Revs A & B and WiMAX Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014; Table 4.9: Global LTE, HSPA, EVDO Revs A & B and WiMAX Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014; Figure 4.10: Global LTE Mobile Subscribers by Region (m) 2009 - 2014; Table 4.10: Global LTE Mobile Subscribers by 8 Key Regions (m) 2009 - 2014; Figure 4.11: Global LTE Enterprise & Consumer Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014; Table 4.11: Global LTE Enterprise & Consumer Mobile Subscribers (m) 2009 - 2014; 4.2 LTE Service Revenues Forecast; 4.2.1 ARPU Forecasts; Figure 4.12 Enterprise Operator-Billed ARPU by 8 Key Regions ($) 2009 - 2014; Table 4.12: Enterprise Operator-Billed ARPU by 8 Key Regions ($) 2009 - 2014; Figure 4.13 Consumer Operator-Billed ARPU by 8 Key Regions ($) 2009 - 2014; Table 4.13: Consumer Operator-Billed ARPU by 8 Key Regions ($) 2009 - 2014; 4.2.2 North America; Figure 4.14: North America LTE Enterprise & Consumer Service Revenues ($m) 2009 - 2014; Table 4.14: North America LTE Enterprise & Consumer Service Revenues ($m) 2009 - 2014; 4.2.3 Western Europe; Figure 4.15: Western Europe LTE Enterprise & Consumer Service Revenues ($m) 2009 - 2014; Table 4.15: Western Europe LTE Enterprise & Consumer Service Revenues ($m) 2009 - 2014; 4.2.4 Far East & China; Figure 4.16: Far East & China LTE Enterprise & Consumer Service Revenues ($m) 2009 - 2014; Table 4.16: Far East & China LTE Enterprise & Consumer Service Revenues ($m) 2009 - 2014; 4.2.5 Rest of Asia Pacific; Figure 4.17: Rest of Asia Pacific LTE Enterprise & Consumer Service Revenues ($m) 2009 - 2014; Table 4.17: Rest of Asia Pacific LTE Enterprise & Consumer Service Revenues ($m) 2009 - 2014; 4.2.6 Global; Figure 4.18: Global LTE Enterprise & Consumer Service Revenues ($m) 2009 - 2014; Table 4.18: Global LTE Enterprise & Consumer Service Revenues ($m) 2009 - 2014; Figure 4.19: Global LTE Service Revenues ($m) by 8 Key Regions 2009 - 2014; Table 4.19: Global LTE Service Revenues ($m) by 8 Key Regions 2009 - 2014
5 LTE Market Forecasts: Network Access, Devices & Chipsets: 5.1 LTE Network Access Forecast; 5.1.1 LTE Network Access Forecast: Enterprise Subscribers; Figure 5.1: LTE Enterprise Subscribers (m), by Means of Network Access: SIMs, Dongles, Cards & Embedded Chipsets 2009 - 2014; Table 5.1: LTE Enterprise Subscribers (m), by Means of Network Access: SIMs, Dongles, Cards & Embedded Chipsets 2009 - 2014; Figure 5.2: LTE Enterprise Subscribers (%) by Means of Network Access: SIMs, Dongles, Cards & Embedded Chipsets - Market Segmentation Mix - 2010 - 2014; 5.1.2 LTE Network Access Forecast: Consumer Subscribers; Figure 5.3: LTE Consumer Subscribers (m) by Means of Network Access: SIMs, Dongles, Cards & Embedded Chipsets 2009 - 2014; Table 5.2: LTE Consumer Subscribers (m) by Means of Network Access: SIMs, Dongles, Cards & Embedded Chipsets 2009 - 2014; Figure 5.4: LTE Consumer Subscribers (%) by Means of Network Access: SIMs, Dongles, Cards & Embedded Chipsets - Market Segmentation Mix 2010 - 2014; 5.1.3 LTE Network Access Forecast: Enterprise & Consumer Subscribers; Figure 5.5: LTE Enterprise & Consumer Subscribers (m) by Means of Network Access: SIMs, Dongles, Cards & Embedded Chipsets 2009 - 2014; Table 5.3: LTE Enterprise & Consumer Subscribers (m) by Means of Network Access: SIMs, Dongles, Cards & Embedded Chipsets 2009 - 2014; Figure 5.6: LTE Enterprise & Consumer Subscribers (%) by Means of Network Access: SIMs, Dongles, Cards & Embedded Chipsets Market Segmentation Mix 2010 - 2014; 5.2 LTE Devices Forecast; Figure 5.7: LTE Device Introduction Timeline0; Figure 5.8: Global LTE Handsets Forecast (m) 2009 - 20141; Table 5.4: Global LTE Handsets Forecast (m) 2009 - 20141; Figure 5.9: Global LTE Laptops and Netbooks (m) 2009 - 20141; Table 5.5: Global LTE Laptops and Netbooks (m) 2009 - 20142; Figure 5.10: LTE Enabled Portable Games Consoles (Subscribers m) 2009 - 20142; Table 5.6: LTE Enabled Portable Games Consoles (Subscribers m) 2009 - 20143; 5.3 LTE Chipsets Forecast9
6 LTE Network Vendor Strategies: 6.1 Alcatel Lucent3; 6.2 Ericsson4; Figure 6.1: Ericsson Evo RAN5; Figure 6.2: Ericsson LTE Time Plans5; 6.3 Fujitsu6; 6.4 Huawei7; 6.5 Motorola7; 6.6 NEC8; 6.7 Nokia Siemens Networks8; Figure 6.3 Nokia Siemens Networks LTE Solution - BTS & MME9; Figure 6.4 Nokia Siemens Networks LTE Solution - SAE Gateway & Management0; 6.8 Nortel Networks1; 6.9 ZTE1; Figure 6.5 ZTE OneNetwork Solution2; 6.10 LSTI2
7 Mobile Broadband -Technologies Primer: 7.1 WiMAX4; 7.2 Fixed WiMAX (802.16d-2004)5; 7.3 Mobile WiMAX (802.16e-2005)5; Figure 7.2: Difference between OFDM and OFDMA6; Table 7.1: Scalable OFDM: Sub Carrier Permutations7; 7.4 Mobile WiMAX (802.16m)7; Figure 7.3: Mobile WiMAX Timeline8; 7.5 Flash OFDM9; Figure 7.4: Network Layer Architecture for Flash OFDM9; 7.6 UMTS-TDD0; 7.7 HSPA (High Speed Packet Access)1; 7.8 3G LTE (Long Term Evolution)3; 7.9 CDMA 1X EVDO & UMB5; 7.10 Duplexing Techniques6; 7.11 LTE Technology Comparison7; Table 7.2: Key Mobile Broadband Technology Parameter Comparisons8

LTE Mobile Broadband Strategies - Consumer & Enterprise Markets; Devices & Chipsets 2009-2014

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