Intellinews Albania Country Report - January 2012


February 20, 2012
10 Pages - SKU: ISI6823659
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
REAL SECTOR
1. GDP
World Bank keeps Albania’s 2012 GDP forecast at 2%.
Raiffeisen cuts Albania’s 2012 GDP forecast to 2.5%.
EBRD improves Albania’s 2012 GDP growth forecast to 1.2%.
Albania’s government confirms its 2012 GDP forecast of 4.3%
Albania’s economic sentiment deteriorates in Q4 2011
2. Inflation
Albania’s January CPI slows down to 1.6%
3. Industry and Trade
Albania’s industrial sales grow 11.5% y/y in Q3 2011.
Albania’s retail sales fall 5.6% y/y in Q3 2011.
4. Labour Market
Albania’s Q3 unemployment remains flat q/q at 13.3%.
FISCAL SECTOR
Albania public debt at 58.9% of GDP at end-2011 - finance minister.
Albania’s consolidated budget deficit rises to 3.4% of GDP in 2011.
FINANCIAL SECTOR
Albania’s insurance market grows by 2.3% y/y in 2011.
Albanian banks tighten lending rules for businesses in Q4 2011.
EXTERNAL SECTOR
Albania’s foreign trade gap widens to 26.1% of GDP in 2011.
Tables
Table 1 Raiffeisen Bank projections for 2012 (%)
Table 2 Confidence indicators by sectors
Table 3 Consumer prices, % y/y
Table 4 Labour force survey
Table 5 Insurance premiums, 2011, ALL ‘000
Table 6 Foreign trade in 2011, ALL mn
Figure 1 Consumer Price Index
Figure 2 Industrial sales % y/y
Figure 3 Retail trade, volume index
Figure 4 Foreign trade
 
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