Intellinews - Albania Country Report - February 2012


March 20, 2012
SKU: ISI3816731
License type:
Countries covered: Albania

The IntelliNews Albania Country Report is a monthly report, covering the major macroeconomic indicators and trends in Albania, as well as important political developments. Prepared by local analysts, it provides the most accurate data, updated regularly according to the data changes noted by the whole range of statistics sources. It will save the time you would need to track the figures and sources independently and will provide you with thorough analysis.


Additional Information

Albania’s economy expanded by 2.6% y/y and by 1.8% on a quarterly basis in the third quarter of 2011. The growth speeded up from 0.9% y/y in the second quarter. The Albanian government targets a real GDP growth of 4.3% for 2012.

Rating agency Moody’s said an upgrade of Albania’s credit ratings would require a successful implementation of institutional reforms in the country, including improvement of judicial efficiency and success in the tackling of corruption. Consumer price inflation in the country eased for the fourth straight month in February with prices increasing by 0.6% y/y, slower than January’s rise of 1.6% y/y. Food prices remained the main growth driver.

Producer prices grew by an annual 2.1% in Q4 2011, decelerating for a second quarter in a row.

The manufacturing sector, which has the greatest weight of 57.4% in the producer price index (PPI), contributed the most to the overall growth. The unemployment rate remained flat on the quarter at 13.3% in Q4 2011. The number of unemployed Albanians edged down by 0.1% y/y to 142,950, while the country’s labour force rose by 1.5% y/y to 1.075mn, helped by increased hiring at private companies.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
REAL SECTOR
1. GDP
GDP growth speeds up to 2.6% y/y in Q3.
Moody’s says Albania needs institutional reforms for credit ratings upgrade.
World Bank sees lack of progress in Albania’s property reform.
2. Inflation
Consumer price growth eases to 0.6% y/y in February
PPI rises 2.1% y/y in Q4 2011
3. Labour Market
Albania’s unemployment rate remains unchanged q/q at 13.3% in Q4 2011.
FISCAL SECTOR
Albania’s general budget posts EUR 11mn surplus in January..
FINANCIAL SECTOR
Bank assets grow 12.3% y/y in January 2012.
Banks’ credit growth slows down to 11.7% y/y in January 2012.
Aggregate profit of 13 Albanian banks rises 25.9% in 2011.
Insurers’ premiums shrink 31.8% y/y in Jan 2012..
EXTERNAL SECTOR
Jan foreign trade gap widens 13.6% y/y..

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