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Additional Information
Albania’s economy expanded by 2.6% y/y and by 1.8% on a quarterly basis in the third quarter of 2011. The growth speeded up from 0.9% y/y in the second quarter. The Albanian government targets a real GDP growth of 4.3% for 2012.Rating agency Moody’s said an upgrade of Albania’s credit ratings would require a successful implementation of institutional reforms in the country, including improvement of judicial efficiency and success in the tackling of corruption. Consumer price inflation in the country eased for the fourth straight month in February with prices increasing by 0.6% y/y, slower than January’s rise of 1.6% y/y. Food prices remained the main growth driver.
Producer prices grew by an annual 2.1% in Q4 2011, decelerating for a second quarter in a row.
The manufacturing sector, which has the greatest weight of 57.4% in the producer price index (PPI), contributed the most to the overall growth. The unemployment rate remained flat on the quarter at 13.3% in Q4 2011. The number of unemployed Albanians edged down by 0.1% y/y to 142,950, while the country’s labour force rose by 1.5% y/y to 1.075mn, helped by increased hiring at private companies.
- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
- REAL SECTOR
- 1. GDP
- GDP growth speeds up to 2.6% y/y in Q3.
- Moody’s says Albania needs institutional reforms for credit ratings upgrade.
- World Bank sees lack of progress in Albania’s property reform.
- 2. Inflation
- Consumer price growth eases to 0.6% y/y in February
- PPI rises 2.1% y/y in Q4 2011
- 3. Labour Market
- Albania’s unemployment rate remains unchanged q/q at 13.3% in Q4 2011.
- FISCAL SECTOR
- Albania’s general budget posts EUR 11mn surplus in January..
- FINANCIAL SECTOR
- Bank assets grow 12.3% y/y in January 2012.
- Banks’ credit growth slows down to 11.7% y/y in January 2012.
- Aggregate profit of 13 Albanian banks rises 25.9% in 2011.
- Insurers’ premiums shrink 31.8% y/y in Jan 2012..
- EXTERNAL SECTOR
- Jan foreign trade gap widens 13.6% y/y..
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