This report will attempt to answer these questions, in the broader context of the overall competitive environment of U.S. telephony today. In addition to the “super-competitors,” we feel that the following are the major issues in today’s competitive structure in telecommunications:
- Telcos become wireless, rather than wireline companies;
- The Advanced Access Architecture deployments being undertaken by the major RBOCs and many smaller telcos;
- Overbuilding by major telcos;
- The emergence of the “super-competitors.”
This report will address each of these areas and provide forecasts as to our expectations for each. Because of the overriding importance of the state of the U.S. (and world) economy, we will begin with a review of our forecasts for the nation’s economy as well as its impact on telephony. That portion of the report will also provide our forecast for capital spending over the next five years. The report will then continue with a review of the current telecom market structure; with that background, we will then address each of the above-listed issues.
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- Table of Contents
- Table of Figures
- The Lightwave Network Series of Reports
- The Lightwave Network
- The Lightwave Series of Reports
- General Reports on the Network
- General Market Reports
- Specific Systems Reports
- Introduction
- The Telco Business Transformation and Next Generation Network Series of Reports
- Google and the RBOCs
- How do you compete with “Free?”
- This Report
- US Telecommunications Economic Forecast
- General Economic Background
- Telecom Economic Background
- Possible Positives for Telecom in 2009
- Telecommunications Capital Forecast
- Telecommunications Economic Forecasts Summary
- Telecommunications Economic Forecasts - 2009
- The Face of Network Competition - Market Structure Today
- RBOCs’ Multidimensional Competitive Struggle
- Post-merger Competition
- RBOC Purchase of IXCs
- RBOCs vs. Cable Companies
- Advanced Access Architecture Plans
- AAA Deployment Forecast Summary
- AT&T
- Verizon
- Qwest
- Forecast Size of Deployments
- Forecast of Homes Passed
- Penetration Rates
- RBOCs Are Becoming Wireless Access Companies
- RBOC Loss of Main Lines
- It’s a Wireless Access Industry!
- The Wireless Access Landscape
- Forecast for Wireline to Wireless
- The Super Competitors
- Google Attacks - Google Voice
- Forecast for Google Voice
- Forecast for Google Voice
- Overbuild
- Overbuild - How?
- Overbuild - Significance
- A New Type of Competition
- Summary of Overbuild Forecasts
- Summary of Forecasts
- General Economic Forecasts
- Telecommunications Economic Forecasts - 2009
- Advanced Access Architectures
- AT&T
- Verizon
- Qwest
- Wireline to Wireless
- Google Voice/Google Forecast
- Overbuilding
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- Table of Figures
- Figure 1, Lightwave Network
- Figure 2, Telecommunication Capital Expenditures Actual and Forecast
- Figure 3, Telecommunications Economic Forecasts
- Figure 4: Summary of Competitive Position
- Figure 5: Revised Competitive Structure Due to IXC Purchases
- Figure 6: RBOCs Subsume IXCs and CLECs
- Figure 7: RBOCs vs. Cable Companies
- Figure 8, Telcos vs. Cable Companies - 2009
- Figure 9: Forecast Homes Passed Cumulative — All Technologies
- Figure 10: Forecast Homes Passed Annually — By Company — All Technologies
- Figure 11: FTTX vs. High-speed Accesses vs. US Households
- Figure 12, Verizon Wireline vs. Data Revenues
- Figure 13, Verizon Loss of Main Lines vs. Data Revenue
- Figure 14, Wireless Competition
- Figure 15, Forecast for Wireline to Wireless Migration
- Figure 16, The Super Competitors
- Figure 17, Google as a Serious Threat
- Figure 18, Forecast for Google Voice
- Figure 19, Verizon's NOOF Arrangement
- Figure 20, Forecasted Overbuild Strategic Outcome
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- Business Transformation Planning
- The Telecommunications
- Market Today
- Next Generation Carrier's Network - Architectures, Economics and Forecasts
- Next Generation
- Carrier's Network:
- Planning for Business Transformation
- Is Google Going to Capture Telephony?
- Active Optical Cables 2009 Live Charts
- Active Optical Cables
- Market Report 2009
- Advanced Access Architectures 2008: AT&T, Verizon and Qwest Plans and Forecasts
- Advanced Access Architectures 2008: AT&T, Verizon and Qwest Plans and Forecasts
- FTTP/ FTTN: The RBOCs' Advanced Access Architectures - Equipment and Fiber Requirements
- Cost Analysis of RBOC’s Advanced Access Architectures: FTTP, FTTN, FTTC
- Bandwidth Needs Analysis of the RBOCs' Advanced Access Architectures: FTTP and FTTN
- WiMAX: The Broadband Wireless MAN
- The 4G Era: 802.16e
- Market and Technology Assessment
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