The 2003 World Forecasts of Manufactured Goods Export Supplies

Icon Group International, Inc.
August 20, 2002
194 Pages - Pub ID: ICN885986

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Countries covered: Global

The 2003 World Forecasts of Manufactured Goods Export Supplies

This report is authored by Professor Philip M. Parker, Ph.D., Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation, Business and Society at INSEAD (Singapore and Fontainebleau, France); he has also taught courses at MIT, UCLA, Stanford University, Harvard University and the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and export managers whose primary concern is the world market for manufactured goods. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics that appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for manufactured goods for those firms serving the world via exports and foreign direct investment. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.

Excerpt: In what follows, this report begins by summarizing the world market for manufactured goods exports. The total level of exports on a worldwide basis is based on a model that aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market. These shares lead to a volume of export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each supplier and the destinations (countries served by the supplier country). From these figures, world rankings are calculated. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information for strategic planning purposes. Of the 150 countries considered, if a country is not reported here it is therefore estimated to have only a negligible level of trade in manufactured goods (i.e. their market shares are close or equal to zero percent). "Manufactured Goods" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "manufactured goods" is 6.

1   METHODOLOGY & EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
1.1   Our Approach
1.2   The World Market: Manufactured Goods Export Supplies in 2003
1.3   The World Market: Manufactured Goods by Destination in 2003
2   AFRICA: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF MANUFACTURED GOODS
2.1   Executive Summary
2.2   Algeria
2.3   Angola
2.4   Benin
2.5   Burkina Faso
2.6   Burundi
2.7   Cameroon
2.8   Central African Republic
2.9   Chad
2.10   Comoros
2.11   Congo (Zaire)
2.12   Djibouti
2.13   Egypt
2.14   Equatorial Guinea
2.15   Ethiopia
2.16   Gabon
2.17   Ghana
2.18   Guinea
2.19   Guinea-Bissau
2.20   Ivory coast
2.21   Kenya
2.22   Liberia
2.23   Libya
2.24   Madagascar
2.25   Malawi
2.26   Mali
2.27   Mauritania
2.28   Mauritius
2.29   Morocco
2.30   Niger
2.31   Nigeria
2.32   Republic of Congo
2.33   Reunion
2.34   Rwanda
2.35   Senegal
2.36   Sierra Leone
2.37   Somalia
2.38   South Africa
2.39   St. Helena
2.40   Sudan
2.41   Tanzania
2.42   The Gambia
2.43   Togo
2.44   Tunisia
2.45   Uganda
2.46   Western Sahara
2.47   Zambia
2.48   Zimbabwe
3   ASIA: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF MANUFACTURED GOODS
3.1   Executive Summary
3.2   Bangladesh
3.3   Bhutan
3.4   Brunei
3.5   Burma
3.6   Cambodia
3.7   China
3.8   Hong Kong
3.9   India
3.10   Indonesia
3.11   Japan
3.12   Laos
3.13   Malaysia
3.14   Maldives
3.15   Mongolia
3.16   Nepal
3.17   North Korea
3.18   Papua New Guinea
3.19   Philippines
3.20   Seychelles
3.21   Singapore
3.22   South Korea
3.23   Sri Lanka
3.24   Taiwan
3.25   Thailand
3.26   Vietnam
4   EUROPE: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF MANUFACTURED GOODS
4.1   Executive Summary
4.2   Albania
4.3   Austria
4.4   Belgium
4.5   Bulgaria
4.6   Cyprus
4.7   Czech Republic
4.8   Denmark
4.9   Finland
4.10   France
4.11   Germany
4.12   Gibraltar
4.13   Greece
4.14   Hungary
4.15   Iceland
4.16   Ireland
4.17   Italy
4.18   Malta
4.19   Netherlands
4.20   Norway
4.21   Poland
4.22   Portugal
4.23   Romania
4.24   Russia
4.25   Serbia & Montenegro
4.26   Spain
4.27   Sweden
4.28   Switzerland
4.29   United Kingdom
5   LATIN AMERICA: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF MANUFACTURED GOODS
5.1   Executive Summary
5.2   Argentina
5.3   Belize
5.4   Bolivia
5.5   Brazil
5.6   Chile
5.7   Colombia
5.8   Costa Rica
5.9   Ecuador
5.10   El Salvador
5.11   Falkland Islands
5.12   Guatemala
5.13   Guyana
5.14   Honduras
5.15   Mexico
5.16   Nicaragua
5.17   Panama
5.18   Paraguay
5.19   Peru
5.20   Suriname
5.21   Uruguay
5.22   Venezuela
6   N. AMERICA & CARIBBEAN: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF MANUFACTURED GOODS
6.1   Executive Summary
6.2   Bahamas
6.3   Barbados
6.4   Bermuda
6.5   Canada
6.6   Cayman Islands
6.7   Cuba
6.8   Dominica
6.9   Greenland
6.10   Haiti
6.11   Jamaica
6.12   Netherlands Antilles
6.13   St Pierre and Miquelon
6.14   St. Kitts and Nevis
6.15   Trinidad and Tobago
6.16   Turks and Caicos Islands
6.17   United States
7   OCEANA: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF MANUFACTURED GOODS
7.1   Executive Summary
7.2   Australia
7.3   Fiji
7.4   Kiribati
7.5   New Caledonia
7.6   New Zealand
7.7   Solomon Islands
8   THE MIDDLE EAST: EXPORT SUPPLIES OF MANUFACTURED GOODS
8.1   Executive Summary
8.2   Afghanistan
8.3   Bahrain
8.4   Iran
8.5   Iraq
8.6   Israel
8.7   Jordan
8.8   Kuwait
8.9   Lebanon
8.10   Oman
8.11   Pakistan
8.12   Qatar
8.13   Saudi Arabia
8.14   Syrian Arab Republic
8.15   Turkey
8.16   United Arab Emirates
8.17   Yemen
9   DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS
9.1   Disclaimers & Safe Harbor
9.2   ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions

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