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LTE - Strategies for MNOs

IDATE
December 1, 2011
SKU: IDT6744128

Abstract Table of Contents Related Reports

This report provides an overview of the latest trends in the fast growing LTE market and the reasons driving MNOs' migration to LTE. It also analyses operators' roll-out strategies, LTE networks, technical hurdles, the regulatory environment and LTE spectrum issues, in addition to spotlighting the key players' different strategies and what will change with LTE.

Key questions

LTE ecosystem is growing fast - TD-LTE is now available commercially. Will it complement LTE FDD? LTE Advanced will arrive sooner than expected - what impact will this have on MNOs' strategies?
More than 14 frequency bands are already in use for LTE around the World. How will operators manage LTE spectrum?
What mobile CAPEX and strategies can we expect the different operators?
How are MNOs making the switch to LTE and how will their LTE strategies differ?
Who are the main LTE

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1 Executive Summary: 1.1 The LTE wholesale model: high-speed dumb-pipes?; 1.2 LTE spectrum: already too much fragmentation; 1.3 LTE network strategies and technical hurdles; 1.4 Capex strategies; 1.5 Service strategies for LTE; 1.6 Conclusions on LTE strategies
2 Methodology
3 Introduction
4 The LTE wholesale model: high speed dumb-pipes?: 4.1 LightSquared (USA); 4.2 Clearwire (USA); 4.3 Dish (USA); 4.4 Yota (Russia); 4.5 Aero2 (Poland); 4.6 Kenya; 4.7 Net4Mobility (Sweden); 4.8 NBN (Australia); 4.9 Summary: Interest is growing in LTE wholesale model
5 LTE spectrum: too much fragmentation?: 5.1 LTE spectrum: fragmentation increasing worldwide; 5.2 Digital dividend: “golden spectrum” for LTE; 5.3 Refarming - Why is LTE 1800 attracting such strong interest?; 5.4 Various strategies regarding spectrum for LTE
6 Network strategy and technical hurdles: 6.1 Technology aspects: towards more complementarity between LTE-FDD and TD-LTE; 6.2 LTE-Advanced: time table and early tests; 6.3 Interworking with 2G and 3G networks; 6.4 Voice and SMS over LTE
7 Capex strategies: 7.1 The access revolution: small cells and femtocells; 7.2 Investments by major players; 7.3 Network sharing, outsourcing and wholesale; 7.3.1 Network outsourcing; 7.3.2 Network sharing; 7.4 Backhauling needs and implications - LTE is driving need to upgrade backhaul; 7.5 Migration costs; 7.6 LTE costs: Capex + opex per MB of data
8 Service strategies: 8.1 Traffic forecasts - When do MNOs need to implement LTE?; 8.2 LTE pricing; 8.3 North America; 8.4 Asia; 8.5 Europe; 8.6 LTE Service differentiation and strategies
9 Cases studies: 9.1 AT&T; 9.2 DOCOMO; 9.3 China Mobile; 9.4 Clearwire; 9.5 LightSquared: a new comer with a wholesale model; 9.6 Orange; 9.7 Telefonica; 9.8 TeliaSonera; 9.10 Verizon Wireless; 9.11 Vodafone; 9.12 Other players: Net4Mobility, MetroPCS
10 Conclusions for MNOs: 10.1 Total number of LTE subscriptions - 2011-2015; 10.2 The LTE migration drivers; 10.3 Future trends
11 Glossary
12 Annex: LTE wholesale model: 12.1 Presentation of LTE deployment model; 12.2 What is the cost of LTE deployment?
Tables: Table 1: Main LTE frequency bands by geographical area; Table 2: LTE commercial networks; Table 3: LightSquared and GPS frequency bands; Table 4: Pre-launch agreements reached by LightSquared; Table 5: Agreements reached by new Clearwire; Table 6: LTE wholesale and sharing agreements; Table 7: Main LTE frequency bands by geographical area; Table 8: Early LTE launches (September 2011); Table 9: Main characteristics of frequency bands for LTE; Table 10: Availability dates of LTE spectrum; Table 11: Most likely bands for LTE international roaming; Table 12: Use of frequency bands by LTE device type; Table 13: Digital dividend timetable in Europe; Table 14: Digital dividend timetable outside Europe; Table 15: State of LTE 1800 deployments and trials (as of September 2011); Table 16: Technical aspects associated to LTE 1800; Table 17: Main TDD and FDD bands; Table 18: TDD and FDD mode advantages and drawbacks; Table 19: TD-LTE adoption; Table 20: Mobile WiMAX to TD-LTE migration plans; Table 21: LTE-Advanced performances; Table 22: LTE fallback schemes; Table 23: Base station shipments estimates; Table 24: Potential gains and risks of network outsourcing; Table 25: Benefits and risks of passive mobile sharing; Table 26: Benefits and risks of active mobile sharing; Table 27: Elements of potential savings to reduce network costs for a LTE network; Table 28: Network capacity units; Table 29: Verizon Wireless rates; Table 30: AT&T rates; Table 31: Clear rates; Table 32: Rover rates; Table 33: Sprint 4G device portfolio; Table 34: NTT DOCOMO Xi rates; Table 35: UQ Communications rates; Table 36: Current major data rates; Table 37: LG U+ LTE plans; Table 38: SK Telecom LTE plans; Table 39: CSL LTE data plans; Table 40: Telia rates; Table 41: Telenor LTE rates; Table 42: Sonera rates - Finland; Table 43: TeliaSonera rates - Denmark; Table 44: AT&T data-only rates; Table 45: AT&T smartphone data rates; Table 46: NTT DOCOMO Xi rates; Table 47: Clear rates; Table 48: Rover rates; Table 49: Telia rates; Table 50: Telenor LTE rates; Table 51: Sonera rates - Finland; Table 52: TeliaSonera rates - Denmark; Table 53: Verizon Wireless rates; Table 54: MetroPCS rates; Table 55: ‘National’ LTE drivers; Table 56: Area, population and density of base case scenario; Table 57: Sensitivity analysis
Figures: Figure 1: LTE wholesale players; Figure 2: Mobile voice and data traffic 2010-2020; Figure 3: LTE subscribers' forecasts; Figure 4: Main LTE commercial networks; Figure 5: LTE wholesale players; Figure 6: Timetable for LTE spectrum in Western Europe; Figure 7: CSL spectrum holdings in Hong Kong; Figure 8: The 1800 MHz frequency band; Figure 9: Site coverage in suburban areas; Figure 10: Selected operator spectrum strategies; Figure 11: Migration paths to TD-LTE; Figure 12: LTE-Advanced experiment; Figure 13: New features in LTE-Advanced; Figure 14: LTE deployment scenario of NTT DOCOMO; Figure 15: Moving multimode User Equipment (UE) in the network; Figure 16: LG U+ core network evolution; Figure 17: CS Fallback architecture; Figure 18: Voice over IMS; Figure 19: The Alcatel-Lucent LightRadio; Figure 20: NTT DOCOMO RAN architecture evolution with Remote Radio Head; Figure 21: Femtocells operator commitments and deployments; Figure 22: Comparative power consumption of the NEC 3G and LTE base stations; Figure 23: Comparison of cost between SingleRAN and non SingleRAN; Figure 24: MNOs capex in value and in growth rate, 2006-2010; Figure 25: Hybrid Terrestrial /satellite wireless network; Figure 26: Capital expenditure phasing; Figure 27: Evolving trends in TeliaSonera capex 2006-2010; Figure 28: NTT DOCOMO LTE capex plan, 2010-2015; Figure 29: Verizon rapid national rollout; Figure 30: Comparative network outsourcing scope; Figure 31: Passive sharing; Figure 32: Active sharing; Figure 33: Theoretical backhaul capacity and radio capacity requirements; Figure 34: LTE capex lower than current mobile capex; Figure 35: Potential costs savings for a typical MNO in developed markets (brownfield case); Figure 36: Comparison of performance and cost for today and LTE networks; Figure 37: LTE increases capacity while lowering cost per MB; Figure 38: Capex and opex per MB, eurocents (EUR), 2010-2015; Figure 39: Mobile traffic usage is getting close to DSL; Figure 40: Average mobile monthly traffic consumption per user observed in 2010; Figure 41: Mobile voice and data traffic 2010-2020; Figure 42: Mobile traffic enablers and rating trends; Figure 43: NTT DOCOMO Xi rates (commercial launch); Figure 44: Number of bands used for each RAN technology in FDD mode; Figure 45: Comparison between LTE network deployments in frequency bands and devices available; Figure 46: LTE WLAN router and LTE modem for Vodafone LTE Zuhause service; Figure 47: My Ford Mobile App presented at the CTIA Wireless 2011; Figure 48: SK Telecom plans for future LTE services; Figure 49: T-Mobile’s LTE devices; Figure 50: Vodafone Germany LTE Zuhause devices; Figure 51: Net4mobility deployment plans; Figure 52: MetroPCS initial LTE coverage; Figure 53: LTE subscriber forecasts; Figure 54: LTE drivers for MNOs; Figure 55: Selected operators strategic positioning; Figure 56: Basic requirements for mass market adoption of LTE; Figure 57: Network cost model calculation of RAN elements needed for LTE coverage; Figure 58: Cumulated population and area in selected European countries; Figure 59: Subscribers with LTE-enabled handset; Figure 60: LTE population coverage over time; Figure 61: LTE CapEx for base case scenario; Figure 62: LTE investment breakdown for base case scenario; Figure 63: Base case economics; Figure 64 : Economics with 70% backhaul to RAN Capex ratio; Figure 65: Economics with 50% RAN sharing

LTE - Strategies for MNOs

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