Future of Emission Trade - Price Volatility will be a Key Characteristic of the CommoditySummary
The price of carbon as a commodity is difficult to forecast accurately because it is driven by complex and subjective issues, and experts’ future projections often differ significantly. Geo-climate and energy policies, geopolitics, global economic growth, crude oil price, coal price and demand, and the supply of tradable carbon are some of the factors driving and shaping the carbon market.
The current European sovereign debt crisis has drastically reduced carbon demand and hence its price in the trading market. The failure of the international community to agree on a common goal in a post-2012 Kyoto framework has also damaged the confidence of the private sector and played a role in lowering the price of carbon.
GlobalData used a mix of approaches to forecast future prices, categorized as short-term, mid-term and long-term. The short-term price forecast is based on combination of expert opinion, historical trends and recent policy development in the sector. The mid-term and long-term forecasts are based on expert opinion, recent policy developments and likelihood of future policy developments.Scope
The scope of the report includes -
Reasons to buy
- Nature of Carbon Price
- Short-term Price Forecast
- Mid-term (2013–2015) and Long-term (2015 Onwards) Price Forecast
- Development of Regional and National Carbon Markets
- The report gives the forecast on market trading prices of carbon in short and medium to long term.
- The forecast exclusively focus on the market participants and consider their view on future carbon prices.
- It also covers the national and regional development in the carbon market.
- The forecasted price will help investors to take informed strategic decisions.
- The may also help policy planner to take corrective decisions if required.
- The analysis provide the view of all key active stake-holder on carbon market at a single place
- Very useful for the companies involved in carbon business.