The Billion-Dollar Question: Which Emerging Agents Have Blockbuster Potential

Decision Resources
December 18, 2006
19 Pages - SKU: DECR1399790
License type:
Countries covered: Global


Introduction

In 2005, more than half of the $405 billion worldwide pharmaceutical market was generated from sales of more than 100 blockbuster products. From the beginning of 2006 through mid 2008, however, 19 of these agents (20% of blockbuster sales) will face patent expiry. The potential generic threat from these expiries poses a challenge for both the companies that manufacture them and the industry at large.

Questions Answered in This Spectrum Report

Almost 20% of the market value for pharmaceuticals in 2005 (from about 16 products) faces generic competition by mid 2008. What are the top blockbuster drugs facing challenges from patent expiries? What agents are manufacturers developing in an effort to fi ll this void?

We forecast that eight new blockbuster products will launch between the end of 2006 and mid 2008. What approaches will these new drugs take in addressing their respective indications? How successful will these emerging agents be in these indications?

The new crop of blockbusters slated to debut in the next few years will bring new players to the list of blockbuster-producing companies. Which companies will become new members of the blockbuster club? How will their approaches in creating and sustaining these drugs differ from those taken by other companies that have created blockbusters?

Scope
  • Blockbusters introduction: current state of the $1 billion+ drug category.
  • Metabolic indications covered: type 2 diabetes, metabolic syndrome, and obesity.
  • Psychiatric indications covered: schizophrenia, bipolar mania, and major depression.
  • Other indications: Alzheimer's disease, atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease, postmyocardial infarction, rheumatoid arthritis, Crohn's disease, psoriasis, smoking cessation, and vasomotor symptoms associated with menopause.
  • Market outlook: Short-term impact of the departure and arrival of patented blockbusters on select indications.
Please note, the PDF e-mail from publisher version of this report is for a global site license.



Additional Information

Companies Mentioned in This Spectrum Report
  • Abbott Laboratories
  • Amgen
  • Amylin
  • AstraZeneca
  • AtheroGenics
  • Banyu
  • Centocor
  • Eisai
  • Eli Lilly
  • GlaxoSmithKline
  • Janssen
  • Johnson & Johnson
  • Merck
  • Neurochem
  • Neurocrine Biosciences
  • Novartis
  • Pfi zer
  • Sanofi -Aventis
  • Schering-Plough
  • Takeda
  • Tanabe
  • UCB
  • Wyeth

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