UK Mortgages 2011

This report focuses on the UK mortgage market. It covers market size, lending forecasts, and competitive dynamics. It also examines specific areas such as buy-to-let and high value loans.

Introduction

The downturn continues to have an adverse effect on the UK mortgage market. The ability of providers to significantly expand lending remains constrained, and poor consumer confidence has restricted demand. Nevertheless, some sectors, such as buy-to-let and high value loans, are set to outperform the market over the next few years.

Scope

• Combines all Datamonitor’s mortgage research conducted in 2011 into one document.
• Provides market sizing data, market shares, key trends, and detailed analysis of the buy-to-let and high value loans sectors.
• Includes detailed qualitative opinion and quantitative forecasts of the UK mortgage market for the next five years.

Highlights

Gross advances across the market will decline in 2012 to £127bn before recovering to £182bn by 2015.

Buy-to-let gross advances grew by 22% in 2010 to reach £10.4bn, and are forecast to reach £22.0bn by 2015, exhibiting a much faster rate of growth than the mortgage market as whole. Buy-to-let’s share of lending rose from a low of 5.4% in 2009 Q3 to 10.4% in 2011 Q2, and will rise further in response to growing consumer demand.

Lloyds Banking Group saw the largest decrease in its share of gross lending while Barclays Group saw the largest increase, helped by its purchase of Standard Life's mortgage arm. Yorkshire Building Society also saw a large increase in its gross lending, driven by some competitive offers.

Reasons to Purchase

• What issues are going to hold back the mortgage market in coming years?
• Why have some lenders been markedly more successful at growing their mortgage business than others?
• What factors will drive the expansion in buy-to-let and high value lending over the next few years?

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