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- Overview
- Catalyst
- Summary
- Background
- Afghanistan
- Were it not for war, Afghanistan would be a major energy market thanks to its plentiful resources and competent energy ministry
- Investment is arriving in drips and drabs, but war continues to obstruct the priority regions
- Afghanistan’s Ministry of Water and Power formulated an energy roadmap in 2002; how well has it fared now that 2010 has been reached?
- Afghanistan has very little generation capacity, although this is not a priority whilst it imports so much power from Uzbekistan
- Uzbekistan
- Regional co-operation has helped Uzbekistan to become an invaluable asset to its neighbors
- Uzbekistan has formulated an effective plan for improving its energy efficiency record
- Uzbekistan has been a net exporter for years. It has chosen wisely to upgrade infrastructure so that its exports remain reliable
- Turkmenistan
- Turkmenistan has exploited the global demand for natural gas by signing huge contracts with Russia and China
- Turkmenistan is struggling to adapt to a market without Russia, but for a secure portfolio of buyers it needs to look to its neighbors
- Turkmenistan needs more generation capacity. It intends to almost double capacity but this has come worryingly late in its development
- Tajikistan
- Tajikistan is one of the least developed energy system in Central Asia and needs help to ensure its future energy security
- Neighboring governments are playing power politics at a time when Tajikistan simply cannot compete
- Tajikistan has the clear intention of improving its hydro capacity. This is wise since it allows the country to avoid import dependency
- Kazakhstan
- Kazakhstan is a land of contrasts: it boasts some of the largest resource fields yet some of the least developed towns in Central Asia
- Foreign policy lies at the heart of its politics. It is also the volatile foundation of its economy
- Kyrgyzstan
- Kyrgyzstan is the least developed energy market in central Asia, but a new leader could bring a new outlook
- China
- China’s demand is a poisoned chalice. It is invaluable to much of the region but a thorn in the side for the rest of the region
- Pakistan
- Pakistan has been crippled by floods, war and a power crisis. Recovery will be slow and hugely dependant on foreign aid
- Investment from abroad has already begun to arrive. However, Pakistan has far to go to be energy independent
- India
- India is desperate for more energy sources in its northern territories. TAPI would be the solution
- Faced with serious energy crises, India, Pakistan and Bangladesh need to build an energy network to help each other
- TAPI
- TAPI: a pipeline that will give momentum to Central Asia’s economy and improve relations between neighbors
- REGIONAL MAPS AND ANALYSIS
- The supply/demand balance in Central Asia is clearly defined. Afghanistan stands as a warring obstacle to co-operation
- Central Asia has a wealth of resources yet lack of co-operation has allowed the region to suffer from major energy shortages
- Natural resources flow away from Central Asia with fuel-hungry nations severely ignored by existing trade routes
- Central Asia has too few internal pipelines to maximize its resources, while Afghanistan’s inaccessibility creates a real barrier
- Infrastructure is the main obstacle to Central Asia’s energy network. When the war in Afghanistan subsides, trade will flourish
- APPENDIX
- Ask the analyst
- Datamonitor consulting
- Disclaimer
- TABLE OF FIGURES
- Figure 1: Map of Central and South Asian region
- Figure 2: Afghanistan Power Generation Facilities
- Figure 3: Profile of Uzbekistan’s annual oil balance (Total annual production - total annual demand)
- Figure 4: Profile of Uzbekistan’s annual gas balance (Total annual production - total annual demand)
- Figure 5: Uxbekistan Power Generation Facilities
- Figure 6: Profile of Turkmenistan’s annual oil balance (Total annual production - total annual demand)
- Figure 7: Profile of Turkmenistan’s annual gas balance (Total annual production - total annual demand)
- Figure 8: Turkmenistan Power Generation Facilities
- Figure 9: Tajikistan Power Generation Facilities
- Figure 10: Profile of Kazakhstan’s annual oil balance (Total annual production - total annual demand)
- Figure 11: Profile of Kazakhstan’s annual gas balance (Total annual production - total annual demand)
- Figure 12: Pakistan Power Generation Facilities
- Figure 13: Central Asias Supply/Demand Balance
- Figure 14: Central Asian Resource Balance
- Figure 15: Central Asian Trade Movements
- Figure 16: Central Asian Internal Energy Flows
- Figure 17: Central Asian Limiting Factors
- TABLE OF TABLES
- Table 1: Ministry of Water and Power - Energy Roadmap (with Datamonitor commentary)
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