New Zealand Agribusiness Report - Q4 2014

Business Monitor International
September 10, 2014
78 Pages - SKU: BMI5325648
Countries covered: New Zealand

New Zealand Agribusiness Report - Q4 2014

BMI View: We believe that increased access to international markets, particularly Taiwan and China, willprove to be the prime growth driver for the agribusiness sector in New Zealand over the medium- to longterm. This will be supportive for both the dairy and the livestock segments. The dairy sector in particularwill benefit from export demand growth, as many other countries in Asia are facing growing domesticdemand and relatively limited production capacity. However, the outlook for the sector is weak for 2014/15.

We forecast milk production to grow by a weak 1.8% year-on-year (y-o-y) to 21.4mn tonnes, compared withthe 4.0% growth recorded in 2013/14 and the five-year growth average of 4.3%.

Key Trends

Milk production growth to 2017/18: 12.7% to 22.8mn tonnes. Given the small domestic consumptionbase and the high productivity of the sector, long-term expansion will mainly come from exportopportunities, particularly to Asia and the Middle East, which are forecast to enjoy significant dairyconsumption growth over our forecast period.



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