Zambia Business Forecast Report Q4 2014

Business Monitor International
September 19, 2014
42 Pages - SKU: BMI5332307
Countries covered: Zambia

Zambia Business Forecast Report Q4 2014

Core Views

The threat posed to the Zambian economy by currency weakness has subsided over recent months and we maintain our 2014 and 2015 real GDP growth forecasts at 6.7% and 7.0% respectively. Domestic demand is set to be the main engine of this expansion. Zambia’s monetary authorities will reverse some of the extraordinary tightening measures introduced to support the currency in H114 amid signs that the kwacha has stabilised. However, the benchmark policy rate will be held at 12.00% for 2014 and 2015 owing to lingering price and currency pressures.

Zambia’s current account will fall into deficit in 2014 and remain in the red over the remainder of our forecast period to 2023 thanks to falling copper prices and subdued copper production growth. A balance of payments crisis will be prevented by foreign direct inflows.

Major Forecast Changes

No major forecast changes.



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