Vietnam Telecommunications: Report Q3 2014

Business Monitor International
July 30, 2014
111 Pages - SKU: BMI5305357
Countries covered: Vietnam

Vietnam Telecommunications: Report Q3 2014

BMI View: Delays to the launch of 4G mean that, for the short term, operators will concentrate onmigrating subscribers to 3G services. The broadband market also shows strong growth, although thegeographical challenges of Vietnam's landscape mean there are physical limitations to infrastructureexpansion. The fixed-line sector continues to post declines. In 2014, the key development in Vietnamesemobile market is the mobile sector restructuring, such as Viettel's acquisition of EVN Telecom in January2012, the MIC revoking mobile concessions provided to S-Fone in March 2014 and the privatisation ofMobiFone from VNPT. BMI believes this would increase sector competition and force the largestoperators to make significant investments in their network infrastructure, improving the market outlook for3G subscribers.

Key Data:

We are forecasting 138.0mn mobile subscribers by end-2018, a 144% penetration rate. However, wehighlight the figure is distorted by inactive prepaid subscriptions and multiple SIM ownership.

Vietnam's fixed-line industry is rapidly contracting; we are forecasting the penetration rate to declinefrom an estimated 17.2% in 2012 to 14.1% in 2018.



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