Vietnam Telecommunications Report Q1 2015

BMI Research
January 7, 2015
110 Pages - SKU: BMI5432618
Countries covered: Vietnam

Vietnam Telecommunications Report Q1 2015

BMI View: Owing to the rising popularity of smartphones in Vietnam, demand for rapid datacommunication has been growing strongly in the country. However, the pace of 3G adoption rate has beenlukewarm, and we believe that this has mainly been due to poor network infrastructure in the country. Thatsaid, we have recently raised our outlook slightly for the country's broadband market, as telecom operatorViettel has made plans to roll out high speed internet service nationwide in 2014. This will help to increaseVietnam's broadband penetration from 5.6% in 2013 to 8.1% over the next five years.

Key Data:

We are forecasting 126.8mn mobile subscribers by end-2018, a 132.5% penetration rate. However, wehighlight the figure is distorted by inactive prepaid subscriptions and multiple SIM ownership.

Vietnam's fixed-line industry is rapidly contracting; we are forecasting the penetration rate to declinefrom an estimated 14.3% in 2013 to 11.5% in 2018.

We forecast total broadband subscriptions to grow to 7.8mn in 2018, with delay in rural internetexpansion posing the biggest downside risk.



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