United States Food and Drink Report Q2 2014

Business Monitor International
April 9, 2014
121 Pages - SKU: BMI5232837
Countries covered: United States

United States Food and Drink Report Q2 2014

The US economy picked up steam in the second half of last year, in line with our view that the economicrecovery would find firm footing in 2013 and accelerate into 2014. The broad trends supporting strongerreal personal consumption expenditure (PCE) growth remain in place, and as such we expect real PCEgrowth to continue to accelerate in 2014. Consumer deleveraging is also continuing, meaning that a futureupswing in credit will also accelerate private consumption. All these will benefit food & drink consumptiongrowth, but we are not yet convinced that the industry will see growth recovering to levels seen before thecrisis. This will favour growth in lower value segments of the food and drink sector (canned and beer) aswell as convenience and discount stores over normal retail stores in 2014.

Headline Industry Forecasts (local currency)

2014 per capita food consumption = +2.0%; five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) to 2018 = +2.6%.

2014 alcoholic drinks value sales = +3.6%; CAGR to 2018 = +3.4%.

2014 soft drink value sales = +3.1%; CAGR to 2018 = +2.9%.

2014 mass grocery retail sales = +2.9%; CAGR to 2018 = +2.8 %.



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