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United States Agribusiness Report Q2 2015

106 Pages BMI Research April 08, 2015 SKU: BMI5525756

United States Agribusiness Report Q2 2015

BMI View: Production growth in corn was excellent in 2013/14 owing to record yields. However, farmincomes will be significantly lower given decreases in prices. Livestock will see some mild improvement inproduction growth in 2014/15, mainly owing to the poultry and pork sectors. The dairy sector is likely tosee some improvement, but a record drought in California (the largest producing state) leads to strongdownside production risks. Over the long term, the poultry sub-sector will remain the outperformer in thelivestock complex and we see the strongest production growth potential for soybeans among the grainscomplex. We believe grains production overall will stagnate due to a lower planted area on the back oflower prices.

Key Trends

Beef production growth to 2018/19: 5.1% to 11.9mn tonnes. We have again revised our beefproduction forecasts lower due to herd rebuilding in 2013, which is likely to lead to fewer cows availablefor slaughter. The length of the cattle cycle means we expect production to stagnate until the end of ourforecast period.

Poultry production growth to 2018/19: 13.6% to 22.9mn tonnes. The US is the world's second largestpoultry exporter behind Brazil. As such, increased global demand for poultry, particularly from emergingmarkets, is likely to serve as a powerful production incentive.

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United States Agribusiness Report Q2 2015

BMI Research
April 08, 2015

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