United States Agribusiness Report Q1 2015

BMI Research
January 7, 2015
105 Pages - SKU: BMI5432615
Countries covered: United States

United States Agribusiness Report Q1 2015

BMI View: Production growth in the corn will be excellent in 2013/14 owing to record yields. However,farm incomes will be significantly lower given decreases in prices. Livestock will see some mildimprovement in production growth in 2014/15, mainly owing to the poultry and pork sectors. The dairysector is likely to see some improvement, but a record drought in California (the largest producing state)leads to strong downside production risks. Over the long term, the poultry sub-sector will remain theoutperformer in the livestock complex, and we see the strongest production growth potential for soybeansamong the grains complex. We believe grains production overall will stagnate due to a lower planted areaon the back of lower prices.

Key Trends

Beef production growth to 2017/18: 4.1% to 11.8mn tonnes. We have again revised our beefproduction forecasts lower due to herd rebuilding in 2013, which is likely to lead to fewer cows availablefor slaughter. The length of the cattle cycle means we expect production to stagnate until the end of ourforecast period.



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