Southern Africa Power Report Q4 2012

Business Monitor International
September 12, 2012
132 Pages - SKU: BMI4875816
Countries covered: Africa

BMI View: Our latest Angola Power Report, which from this quarter excludes a breakdown of energygenerated from non-hydro renewable sources, reveals that Angola’s government plans to rely uponhydroelectric power to meet the vast majority of its energy requirements. With several new projects in thepipeline over the course of our forecast period, many of which are being funded or constructed byinternational firms, BMI questions whether Angola’s distribution and transmission infrastructure willkeep pace with development and if the government will meet its goal to reach ‘power stability’ by 2016.

In August 2012, Angolans will vote in the country’s third parliamentary elections since the end of the civilwar. While we expect that President Dos Santos will continue in power – where he has remained for thepast 30 years – we do believe that issues such as high unemployment, a frustrated young population andAngola’s impoverished war veterans will dominate the electoral scene, with potential for civil unrest.

In our revised quarterly power report, which now excludes a breakdown of energy generated by nonhydrorenewable projects, BMI forecasts that Angola's overall power generation will increase by anannual average of 8.9% between 2011 and 2016 to reach 5.82 terawatt hours (TWh). A 9.2% annualaverage increase in hydropower will spur this growth and hydroelectric power will dominate the energymix during the forecast period. We envisage Angola's net power consumption increasing from 3.41TWhin 2011 to 5.29TWh by 2016. A steady increase in GDP will support growth; following real GDP growthof 5.2% in 2011, BMI forecasts average annual growth of 7.8% between 2011 and 2021.

We expect improvements to Angola's national electricity grid to result in a gradual decline in thepercentage of transmission and distribution (T&D) losses, falling from around 10.0% in 2011. Thepresence of oil and gas majors in the country will incentivise the government to improve its electricityinfrastructure to meet the industry’s requirements, but access to electricity remains limited withconsiderable room for improvement.

Key developments in Angola’s power sector this quarter include:

Expansion work on the Kambambe Dam is expected to be completed by the end of July 2012,according to the Ministry of Energy and Water, increasing capacity to 700MW.

In May 2012, the Mabubas hydroelectric power plant was reopened, following a two-yearrehabilitation project funded by China’s Kanazuri Electric. Costing US$21.7mn, the plant has26.8MW electricity generating capacity.

In July 2012, the National Electricity Company (ENE) announced that two 10MW thermalpower plants are under construction in Namibe, along with 34km of transmission lines and 18transformers. They are scheduled to begin operations in late 2012.Botswana



More Africa Electricity Transmission & Smart Grids reports

EMEA Utilities Industry Quarterly Update: January-March 2014 by IDC
EMEA Utilities Industry Quarterly Update: January-March 2014This IDC Energy Insights Perspective provides a quick one-stop-shopping overview of the EMEA utilities industry in 1Q14, covering:Mergers and ...
MoEK/MoWEE - Ethiopia-Kenya Power Transmission Line - Wolayita - Construction Project Profile by World Market Intelligence
SynopsisThe MoEK/MoWEE - Ethiopia-Kenya Power Transmission Line - Wolayita - Construction Project Profile contains information on the scope of the project including project overview and ...
Power Transmission and Distribution (T&D) Scenario in Brazil, Russia, India, Indonesia, China and South Africa (BRIICS) - Infrastructure, Investment and Regulations Analysis to 2020 by GlobalData
Power Transmission and Distribution (T&D) Scenario in Brazil, Russia, India, Indonesia, China and South Africa (BRIICS) - Infrastructure, Investment and Regulations Analysis to 2020Summary ...
Nigeria Power Market Outlook to 2030: Business Propensity Indicator (BPI), Market Trends, Regulations and Competitive Landscape by GlobalData
Nigeria Power Market Outlook to 2030: Business Propensity Indicator (BPI), Market Trends, Regulations and Competitive LandscapeSummaryThis report examines the country’s power market structure and provides ...
See all reports like this >>

More Africa reports

D&B Country Report: Cote d'Ivoire by Dun & Bradstreet Inc.
D&B Country Report. Comprehensive information for evaluating risks and opportunities when trading or investing in this country. Providing critical information and analysis on ...
D&B Country Report: Libya by Dun & Bradstreet Inc.
D&B Country Report. Comprehensive information for evaluating risks and opportunities when trading or investing in this country. Providing critical information and analysis on ...
D&B Country Report: Malawi by Dun & Bradstreet Inc.
D&B Country Report. Comprehensive information for evaluating risks and opportunities when trading or investing in this country. Providing critical information and analysis on ...
D&B Country Report: Ghana by Dun & Bradstreet Inc.
D&B Country Report. Comprehensive information for evaluating risks and opportunities when trading or investing in this country. Providing critical information and analysis on ...
See all reports like this >>

 

SELECT A LICENSE

    Report with 3 quarterly updates  USD 1,175  
 
US: 800.298.5699
Int'l: +1.240.747.3093
 

Share this report


    Other tasks

     
     
    Join Alert Me now!
    Receive bi-weekly email alerts on new market research

    Sign up today!