South Africa Freight Transport: Report Q3 2014

Business Monitor International
July 30, 2014
96 Pages - SKU: BMI5305330
Countries covered: South Africa

South Africa Freight Transport: Report Q3 2014

BMI maintains a cautiously optimistic stance with regards to South Africa's freight transport sector in 2014.

Although there are risks to the mining sector from a potential hard landing in China, our Mining teambelieves that growth will continue, which bodes well for the rail and port sectors in particular. However,imports of containerised goods could struggle to maintain volumes as the central bank embarks on a ratehiking cycle. We have moderately downgraded most of our forecasts for the country following the releaseof full-year 2013 data.

Headline Industry Data

Rail freight growth will be 3.0% in 2014, and will average 3.3% to 2018.

Richards Bay Port's tonnage throughput in 2014 is forecast to increase by 4.2%. Over the medium-termwe project a 4.8% average annual increase.

2014 total trade growth is forecast at 3.8%, and to average 4.4% over the medium term.

Road freight volumes are set to expand by 6.5% in 2014, and to average 6.8% over our forecast period.



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