Slovakia Food and Drink Report Q4 2014

BMI Research
October 22, 2014
111 Pages - SKU: BMI5361563
Countries covered: Slovakia

Slovakia Food and Drink Report Q4 2014

Though household consumption has recovered slightly over recent quarters, we remain fairly cautious inrelation to Slovakia's near-term discretionary spending in the food and drink sector. We forecastunemployment to fall to 12.5% in 2014, the first time the rate has fallen below 14% since 2010. We expectthe recovery in household spending to gain traction, and hold our forecast for private consumptiongrowth in 2014 at 2.0%, up from -0.6% and 0.2 the last two years. This implies a significant one percentagepoint contribution to headline growth, which has relied solely on external demand since the economic crisishit. We forecast this increase in private consumption to translate to a 3.1% increase in total foodconsumption through 2014.

Headline Industry Data (local currency)

2014 per capita food consumption growth = +3.05% year-on-year (y-o-y); forecast compound annualgrowth rate (CAGR) to 2018 = +3.73%

2014 alcoholic drinks sales growth = +2.53% y-o-y; forecast CAGR to 2018 = +5.06%

2014 soft drinks sales growth = +2.01% y-o-y; forecast CAGR to 2018 = +3.54%

2014 mass grocery retail growth = +3.14% y-o-y; forecast CAGR to 2018 = +4.88%



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