Russia Food and Drink Report Q1 2015

BMI Research
January 21, 2015
99 Pages - SKU: BMI5446499
Countries covered: Russia

Russia Food and Drink Report Q1 2015

BMI View: Most food & drink companies will suffer from an uncertain political and economic environmentin the coming months in Russia. We are quite cautious about the outlook for private consumption in thecountry on the back of the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine over the former Soviet power'sinfluence on its neighbour. The recent sanctions adopted by the US and EU will only exaggerate alreadyharsh credit conditions, which will potentially limit consumer purchasing power further. As a result, wehave lowered our growth forecast for real private consumption to 0.8% in 2014 from 2.8% previously andto -5.0% in 2015.This follows average growth of more than 6% between 2010 and 2013.

Headline Industry Data

2014 per capita food consumption (local currency) = +9.4%; forecast compound annual growth rate(CAGR), 2013 to 2018 = +8.6%.

2014 beer volume sales = 2.0%; forecast CAGR to 2018 = 2.0%.

2014 fruit juice volume sales = +4.6%; forecast CAGR to 2018 = +5.0%.

2014 mass grocery retail sales (local currency) = +16.1%; forecast CAGR to 2018 = +16.4%.



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