Qatar Business Forecast Report Q1 2015

BMI Research
December 12, 2014
47 Pages - SKU: BMI5432373
Countries covered: Qatar

Qatar Business Forecast Report Q1 2015

Core Views

Qatar's short-term political risk profile remains among the moststable in the region. Despite enjoying little in the way of democraticfreedom, Qataris benefit from massive hydrocarbon wealth which isspread generously across the country's native population and enjoythe highest per capita GDP in the world. A small population – andone without much inclination to protest against the government –will keep the country insulated from large-scale public unrest in theimmediate term.

The Qatari economy will continue to expand at a rapid pace over thenext few years, supported by accommodative fiscal policy – notablyinfrastructure spending – and strong population increases. The nonhydrocarbonseconomy will propel growth, with construction activityand the services sector set to remain the dominant performers.

We forecast real headline growth of 6.6% and 6.1% in 2015 and 2016respectively. Lower hydrocarbon prices present no immediate threatto Qatar's infrastructure investments and economic performance.

The new Barzan gas development, which is scheduled to comeon-stream in 2015, will shore up growth in the hydrocarbon sectorthroughout the coming quarters.



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