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Nigeria Infrastructure Report Q2 2015

91 Pages BMI Research February 11, 2015 SKU: BMI5466959

Nigeria Infrastructure Report Q2 2015

BMI View: While we have downgraded our growth forecasts for 2015 and 2016 on account of the electionsand lower oil prices, in our view Nigeria represents a long-term high reward market. We now forecast realgrowth of 11.04% and 9.80% in the construction sector for 2015 and 2016 respectively, with growthaveraging 10.6% over our 10-year forecast period. Improving power supply and transport links will be adriver of growth, but the infrastructure sector is more exposed to the numerous risks in Nigeria's businessenvironment.

This quarter we are highlighting the elevated risks in the Nigerian market. Elections in February are likelyto be contentious, violent and drawn out. A fall in oil prices and its affect of government revenues and thenaira will stymie investment. Militant group Boko Haram have also been increasingly active and criticismof the government for failing to deal with the issue has sharpened.

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Nigeria Infrastructure Report Q2 2015

BMI Research
February 11, 2015

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