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Kenya Freight Transport Report 2015

58 Pages BMI Research January 14, 2015 SKU: BMI5441079

Kenya Freight Transport Report 2015

Although Kenya's real GDP grew 5.8% year-on-year (y-o-y) in Q2 2014, according to data released by theKenya National Bureau of Statistics and reported by Reuters, the country's freight industry will neverthelessface headwinds in the form of the poor performance of Kenya's key export sectors over the coming years.

Kenya's key export sectors will continue to post relatively weak growth over the medium term, exerting adrag on the country's trade balance, as well as the freight industry. We predict that the deficit - and thewider current account deficit - will gradually narrow towards the end of our 2014 to 2018 forecast perioddue to slower import growth.

Figures from the Central Bank of Kenya (CBK) indicate that export revenues were, in local currency terms,3.3% lower in the first six months of 2014 than in the same period in 2013. The falling value of the Kenyanshilling means that shipments fell by 5.0% in US dollar terms (see 'Further Depreciation Ahead', August20).

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Kenya Freight Transport Report 2015

BMI Research
January 14, 2015

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