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Japan Freight Transport Report Q2 2015

65 Pages BMI Research April 22, 2015 SKU: BMI5535951

Japan Freight Transport Report Q2 2015

BMI View: The improving performance of Japanese net exports has played a part in helping the widereconomy emerge from recession, providing a boost to the country's shipping industry over the short term.

However, that said, we do not expect the gains in net exports attributable to the weak yen to spill over into2015 to a large extent, as the real effective gains in the yen over the past few months, together with thecollapse in oil prices, should drive up imports relative to exports.

In 2015, growth across the freight modes in Japan is expected to be fairly muted with rail freight set to leadthe way in tonnage throughput handled annual gains. While rail freight will see 3.1% year-on-year (y-o-y)growth, air and road will not perform at this level with y-o-y increases of just 1.20% and 0.90% pencilledin.

Headline Industry Data

Air freight tonnage is forecast to grow by 1.20% y-o-y in 2015 to 3.06mn tonnes, comparable toestimated 2014 growth of 1.10%.

Road freight tonnes hauled in 2015 forecast to grow 0.90% to 4.47bn tonnes.

Rail freight tonnage will increase by 3.1% in 2015 to 46.27mn tonnes.

Port of Tokyo 2015 tonnage throughput forecast to grow 1.92% to 91.16mn tonnes.

Port of Nagoya 2015 tonnage throughput forecast to grow 2.85% to 226.83mn tonnes.

The real value of Japanese trade will grow by 3.83% in 2015. Exports will grow by 3.5%, behind imports,which will gain 4.2%.

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Japan Freight Transport Report Q2 2015

BMI Research
April 22, 2015

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