Japan Agribusiness Report Q4 2014

Business Monitor International
October 22, 2014
94 Pages - SKU: BMI5361530
Countries covered: Japan

Japan Agribusiness Report Q4 2014

BMI View: Despite the government's acknowledgement that the country's agricultural sector is in need ofreform and transformation, we believe that the piecemeal policies adopted and the lack of compromise ininternational free trade talks points to the gap between rhetoric and action. Indeed, Japan's uncompromisingstance in maintaining tariffs on imported rice, wheat, beef, pork, dairy and sugar - the country's sacred farmproducts list - might prove costly in the long run. With an ageing farmer population (the average age of aJapanese farmer is close to 70 years old) coupled with highly inefficient farming methods - usuallyconstrained by the small plots of family run farms - the Japanese agriculture industry faces a bleak future ifit does not reinvent itself. There are however, green shoots in the midst of this, as illustrated by the rise ofmore public-private joint ventures in the agriculture space such as the new subsidiary of Sojitz Corp andToyo Reizo Co (an affiliate with Mitsubishi Corp) which will have large-scale cultivation of greenhousevegetables and blue fin tuna respectively in cooperation with agricultural cooperatives.

Key Forecasts

Rice production growth to 2017/2018: 3.4% on the 2013 level to 9.0mn tonnes. Supply will continue tofall with subsidies still in place.

Beef consumption growth to 2017/18: 4.2% on the 2013 level to 1.3mn tonnes. Marginal growth isexpected especially in the nearer term as higher consumption taxes curb spending.



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