Iraq Telecommunications Report Q4 2014

Business Monitor International
October 29, 2014
89 Pages - SKU: BMI5365591
Countries covered: Iraq

Iraq Telecommunications Report Q4 2014

BMI View: Iraq's mobile market recorded strong growth throughout 2013 and H114, in line with our viewof continued subscriptions growth over our five-year forecast period to 2018. While we expect strongcompetition and a penetration rate still below 100% to underpin healthy subscriptions growth, theworsening security situation in the country poses important downside risks for the telecoms market. Mostnotably, we expect the current security situation to delay the allocation of 3G spectrum and curtailoperators' willingness to invest in rolling out next-generation mobile data networks in the country. Thispostpones one of the greatest growth opportunities in Iraq's telecoms market and could potentially result inmore rapid decline in ARPUs as operators have little means of offsetting the impact of price competition inthe voice market.

Key Data

The mobile market grew by 3.8% quarter-on-quarter (q-o-q) in Q214, picking up on quarterly growth of1.5% in Q114.

As in FY13, Zain Iraq and Asiacell's ARPUs continued to fall in H114. We expect the ongoing conflictin the country to weigh on consumer spending power and drag ARPUs down further during H214.

Iraq has one of the lowest fixed-line and broadband penetration rates in the region, at 5.6% and 0.5%respectively at the end of 2013 and we do not expect the situation to improve significantly through to2018.



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