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Iran Telecommunications Report Q3 2015

76 Pages BMI Research June 10, 2015 SKU: BMI5586507

Iran Telecommunications Report Q3 2015

BMI View: Iran's telecoms market is an underperformer in the Middle East as a result of political andeconomic risks, exacerbated by currency depreciation, which is limiting access to the latest devices.

However, the Iranian government is making headway in the process of lifting the sanctions and is addingupside to our outlook. BMI's Country Risk team has made a slight upward revision to our economic growthforecast for Iran, in anticipation of a deal with the West in July 2015, projecting real GDP growth to pickup from 0.6% in 2015, to 2.9% in 2016 and 3.6% in 2017. This is also likely to have a positive impact onthe mobile market and potentially attract more foreign investment. Although the mobile penetration in Iranis relatively high at 136.1%, BMI believes that there is further scope for growth. Data services, inparticular, will grow at an average rate of 36.2% CAGR over the next five years.

Key Data

We estimate that fixed-line connections increased by 3.0% in 2014 and we expect growth to slow downin the forecast period because of fixed-mobile substitution and a greater focus on mobile services fromfixed incumbent TCI.

We estimate that the country ended 2014 with over 111mn subscribers, boosted by MTN's performancein the latter part of the year after it launched 3G services.

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Iran Telecommunications Report Q3 2015

BMI Research
June 10, 2015

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