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France Agribusiness Report Q3 2015

117 Pages BMI Research April 22, 2015 SKU: BMI5535940

France Agribusiness Report Q3 2015

BMI View: We forecast a decline in grains growth in 2015/16 in France, as yields will return to trend afterextremely favourable weather in the 2014/15 season. We forecast wheat production to grow over ourforecast period and expect production to reach 40.0mn tonnes by 2018/19. Milk production in the shortterm will not be fundamentally affected by the removal of the EU's production quota in April 2015 owing tolow farmgate prices, but production will expand strongly out to 2019. Cheese production will grow stronglyas international exports will be in high demand. Poultry output growth will outperform that of the broaderlivestock sector as soft economic growth will encourage consumption.

Key Forecasts

Wheat production growth 2013/14 to 2018/19: 2.7% to 40.0mn tonnes. We expect wheat to remainone of the most profitable crops in the country and the most in demand crop for domestic use and exports.

Poultry consumption growth to 2019: 4.9% to 1.7mn tonnes. We see stronger long-term demandgrowth for poultry than for pork or beef owing to poultry's general affordability and reputation for betterhealth benefits than red meat.

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France Agribusiness Report Q3 2015

BMI Research
April 22, 2015

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