Central America Infrastructure Report Q1 2015

Business Monitor International
December 31, 2014
94 Pages - SKU: BMI5432497
Countries covered: Central America

Central America Infrastructure Report Q1 2015

BMI View: We currently forecast an average of 3.43.3% real growth in Central America's constructionindustry value for 20145 (excluding Panama) which is considerably higher than our regional averageestimate for 2014 at 0.2% (excluding Panama). We expect Nicaragua's construction industry to return topositive in 2015 while Panama's will contract, as the completion of the Canal expansion nears its end.We see high risks, small scale and limited growth opportunities across the region as a whole. A crucialfactor underpinning our forecasts for infrastructure investments in future years is political and security risk.

This is a particular concern in El Salvador, Honduras, and Guatemala where high levels of crime, homicide,violence, and insecurity exacerbate operational risks for companies willing to invest in those countries. Assuch, we believe that local and regional companies (especially Mexican and Brazilian), as well as Chineseplayers which have a stronger appetite for risk, are best placed to benefit from the opportunities on offer inthe region. In this context, we also highlight Spanish companies which have an established presence in theregion.



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