Caribbean Tourism Report Q2 2015

BMI Research
March 18, 2015
65 Pages - SKU: BMI5496815
Countries covered: Caribbean

Caribbean Tourism Report Q2 2015

BMI View: More robust economic growth in the US will increase tourist arrivals to the East Caribbean Currency Union countries in 2015. However, weak real GDP growth in key tourism source markets in the eurozone and throughout the Caribbean will constrain growth in total arrivals. Beyond the Eastern Caribbean, we see particular value in Cuba, where the market is poised for expansion.

With economic recoveries in a number of developed markets set to continue, we anticipate a further rise in Caribbean tourist arrivals and receipts in 2015. We forecast total arrivals will rise by an average of 3.1% per year between 2015 and 2016, with international tourism receipts to grow by an annual average of 4.2% during that period. However, the gains will not be equally shared. Caribbean economies heavily dependent on tourists from the US will largely fare better than those that rely on European arrivals, in line with our more sanguine economic outlook on the US. We forecast solid, if unspectacular, arrivals growth in major Caribbean tourism markets, such as Jamaica and Puerto Rico, which rely heavily on US tourists. In contrast, those countries with significant shares of European arrivals, such as Antigua and Barbuda, Grenada, Bonaire, Curacao and Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, are poised to see weaker growth.



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