Australia Freight Transport Report Q2 2015

BMI Research
February 18, 2015
75 Pages - SKU: BMI5470758
Countries covered: Australia

Australia Freight Transport Report Q2 2015

Australia's current account picture is gradually improving despite deteriorating terms of trade, the result ofhigher export volumes and lower income outflows, the former providing welcome news for the Australiafreight industry. Going forward we maintain that a current account surplus is likely as the Australian dollardepreciates, but this will increasingly be driven by lower imports, to the detriment of the domestic economy.

Australia's current account position continues to gradually improve, and we maintain our view that a currentaccount surplus within the next few years (we are forecasting a broad balance by 2017). There have beentwo dynamics in play that have been contributing to the improvement in Australia's current account deficitover recent years. Firstly, the trade balance has gradually improved as commodity shipments have surged involume terms, while import growth has been subdued owing to the weaker Australian dollar and slowerinvestment growth. We expect these trends to continue to lead to an improvement in the trade account, evenas export values struggle with the impact of lower iron ore and coal prices.



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