Yemen Infrastructure Report Q4 2010

Business Intelligence
September 23, 2010
80 Pages - SKU: BTAI2831142
License type:
Countries covered: Yemen

Despite a wave of aid commitments in recent months and greater attention from multilateral institutions, Yemen’s construction industry saw little movement in the latest quarter outside of the power sector. Nonetheless, a combination of multilateral support to bolster and modernise Yemen’s economy, as well as funds funnelled directly into projects, and revenue from LNG exports (the Balhaf plant is expected to bring in US$700mn annually) will help offset the country’s declining oil production and the lingering effects of weak oil prices. BMI expects to see the construction sector grow by just 1.12% in 2010 to YER344bn (US$1.54bn). Recent developments:

The country secured a YER243.5mn (US$370mn) Extended Credit Facility Arrangement from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in July 2010, which is designed to not only encourage and support Yemen’s fiscal restructuring but also to develop infrastructure. The IMF will expect the government to invest in infrastructure that will see the country diversify away from oil. The government is expected to step up and reform its tax regime in order to generate funds for infrastructure development going forward. It is hoped that the upshot of the fiscal reforms will be an improvement in Yemen’s poor business environment over the coming years.

Security concerns continue to threaten the country’s business environment even after apparent successes in negotiations with rebels. Energy infrastructure bore the brunt of tribal unrest in May 2010 as an oil pipeline suffered two bombings and electricity pylons were damaged, resulting in a power cut in Ma’rib. Tribal militants have threatened further action in the central-west governorate while security in northern Yemen also appears to be tenuous, despite a ceasefire between the government and militants some months ago. The vast majority of those who fled northern Yemen amid violence between pro-government groups and Shi’ite rebels, or Houthis, have yet to return to the region.

Earlier in the month, Yemen agreed with South Korea to suspend dual taxation of Korean construction firms in order to entice the latter into the Yemeni construction market. Meanwhile, the Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) made its first visit to Yemen in late-May 2010 to sign a MoU with the Federation of Yemen Chamber of Commerce and Industries and to identify opportunities; Yemen’s energy and infrastructure are among the sectors that the CII expects to participate in. Beyond 2010, BMI expects of a modest y-o-y growth rate from 2011 to 2014 within the 2% mark. Real growth will decelerate only fractionally y-o-y until the sector grows by 2.08% in 2014 to YER543.1bn (US$2bn), when the industry will make up 4.93% of GDP.


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