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2007/2008 China Sugar Market Review & Outlook

Beijing Orient Agribusiness Consultant Ltd.
March 1, 2008
57 Pages - SKU: BOAC1806848

Abstract Table of Contents Search inside this report Related Reports

Countries covered: China

Sugar market witnessed lots of changes in the 2006/2007 campaign affected by some influential factors, such as droughts and output accumulation in producing regions, macro-adjustment, dramatic consumption, etc, so price change is unavoidable.

Several factors will greatly influence the new 2007/2008 campaign:

1 Output

Acreage of sugar cane in the 2006/2007 campaign expanded from the previous campaign thanks to more profit generated from sugar cane crops. Sugar beet has been entirely harvested in the North which left almost no room for output alteration. But to what extent did the drought and snowstorm in South affect the sugar output?

2. Consumption

Domestic sugar consumption reached 12.5 million tons, surpassing the previous campaign by 1.8 million tons, which is out of expectation among insiders. And the main reason is that starch sugar and other substitutes are less competitive due to drowsy. What will be the same situation happened to the new campaign? Whether consumption will increase on a large margin from previous campaign pushed by the economy in 2008 Olympic year?

3. Import and export

What will the sugar price change under the background of oversupply in international sugar market? What kind of measures will be taken to protect domestic sugar industry under the macro-adjustment?

4. Policy trend

Policies influence the supply and demand relation dramatically. Major producing areas in the 2005/2006 campaign suffered from drought, so output declined by 4%. State reserve was sold by 12 times, reaching 1.2 million tons in 2006, as to relieve the situation of demand exceeding supply in domestic market. How will central government move in the coming new campaign?

On the basis of systemic analysis on macro-adjustment, production, sale, import and export, etc, this report will make an evaluation to the market in the 2007/2008 campaign in order to provide reference for insiders in China sugar industry.

Contents
Figures and Tables 1
Figures and Tables 2
1 Corn Production in 2007 and Forecast for 2008: 1.1 Weather Conditions of Main Corn Producing Regions in 2007; 1.2 Changes of Corn Acreage and Output in 2007; 1.3 Analysis of Production in Major Corn Producing Provinces in 2007; 1.4 Analysis of Production in Major Corn Producing Reagions in 2007; 1.5 Distribution of Main Corn Varieties in China (Zhengdan 958, Nongda 108, Ludan 981, etc); 1.6 Corn Seed Production in 2007 and Forecast for 2008
2. Corn Trade in 2007 and Projection for 2008 in China: 2.1 Analysis of Corn Exportin 2007; 2.2 Analysis of Corn Import in 2007; 2.3 Analysis of Imp&Exp Enterprises in 2007; 2.4 Forecast for Corn Trade in 2008
3 Supply and Demand Relation and Forecast of Hybird Corn Seed in China, 2007: 3.1 Main characteristics of China's corn seed industry; 3.2 Market Demand of Corn Seed in 2007; 3.3 Analysis of market demands for main corn seeds in China; 3.4 Analysis of Main Corn Seed Producing Areas in China; 3.5 Analysis & Forecast of the Supply-Demand Equilibrium of Corn Seeds in China, 2007-2008; 3.6 Forecasting the future trends of corn seed market of China
4 Analysis & Forecast of the Supply-Demand Equilibrium of Corn in China, 2007-2008: 4.1 Analysis & Forecast of the Total Supply of Corn in China, 2007-2008; 4.2 Analysis & Forecast of the Total Demand of Corn in China, 2007-2008; 4.3 Analysis & Forecast of the Supply-Demand Equilibrium of Corn in China, 2007-2008
5 Analysis & Forecast of Corn Market Price in China, 2007-2008: 5.1. Analysis of Changes of Corn Futures Price in 2007; 5.2 Analysis of Corn Spot Price in 2007; 5.3. Comparison of Spot Price and Futures Price and Trend Forecast; 5.4 Review of Primary Incidents of Corn Market in 2007
6. Analysis & Forecast of of Corn Further Processing Industry: 6.1 Market Review of Corn Further Processing Industry in 2007; 6.2 Review and Outlook of Corn Starch Market in 2007; 6.3. Analysis of Alcohol and Ethanol Industrial Development in 2007 and Forecast; 6.4 Review and Forecast of Disnatured Corn Starch Market; 6.5 Market Analysis and Forecast for Corn Starch Sugar; 6.6 Review and Forecast for Gourmet Powder Industry; 6.7 Market Analysis of Other Further Processed Corn Products; 6.8. Overall Analysis and Forecast of Corn Further Processing Industry; 6.9. Primary Incidentes of Corn Further Processing Industry in 2007; 2.4 million tons corn further processing project in Jilin would be restricted.
ANNEX: TABLES: Appendix II: The Guidelines on Promotion Bio Fuel Ethanol Project Healthy Development of the Industry from NDRC (Policy & Measures)

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2007/2008 China Sugar Market Review & Outlook

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