UK Express Parcels: Market insight report


July 1, 2012
60 Pages - SKU: APMI4880140
License type:
Countries covered: United Kingdom

What does the report contain?

In this report we review the UK parcels market encompassing both the business-to-business and business-to-consumer segments. We quantify the market size, historical growth rates, segmentation patterns and levels of industry profitability while reviewing key factors behind these figures. We also carry out an in-depth analysis of the relevant drivers of industry growth – in particular the macroeconomic environment and home shopping – setting out historical trends and available forecasts. Our forecast for industry growth by segment is based in this analysis of historical trends and our understanding of growth drivers. While many reports on the industry contain data and description, a critical objective for us in writing this report has been to supplement this with our insights and conclusions

Why did we write this report?

The UK parcels industry has continued to evolve dynamically with Continued overall growth. Macro factors such as the trend growth of home shopping and the cyclical impact of the economy on volumes continuing to provide challenges and opportunities. Some continued consolidation of the market through acquisition. Ongoing refinement of operating models to enable evolving customer needs to be served profitably. We believe that, in order for those involved in the market to make the best decisions in this complex and changing environment, they need to have access to the best information. The aim of this report is to provide this. It is intended for parcels carriers themselves, users of their services, partners, investors, banks, analysts, consultants and other parties with interests in the sector.

What are the sources and methodology? This report is based on Financial analysis of the accounts of companies in the industry Interviews with senior-level contacts in the market In-depth analysis of the macroeconomic environment and relevant market drivers Our own experience of advising both companies and investors in the express parcels industry. Information from these sources has been synthesised and presented clearly and concisely with extensive use of charts and tables to illuminate points and support conclusions


Introduction – About this report
Executive summary
About Apex Insight
Contents
List of charts and tables
Parcels market
Background
Market size and growth
Segmentation
Volume and value trends
Adjacent markets and SIC data
Market drivers
Discussion of market drivers
GDP
Inflation
Population
GDP: inflation, population and real output per head
Household disposable income and retail sales
Internet shopping value
Household penetration
Internet shopping: international comparisons
Internet shopping and mail order
Transaction size
Returns rate
Competitive landscape
Types of parcels carriers
Carrier size and growth
Operating models and segment focus
Carrier profitability
Employment and productivity
Industry cost inflation
Share price performance
Forecasts
GDP
Inflation
Household disposable income and retail sales
Parcels market forecast
Forecast assumptions
Appendix
LIST OF FIGURES
1. UK express parcels market size and growth
2. Business and consumer delivery segmentation
3. Indicative market segmentations
4. FedEX UK: revenue and parcel volume
5. FedEX UK: revenue per parcel
6. Revenue per parcel benchmarks
7. Express parcels and adjacent market sizes
8. UK GDP
9. UK Inflation
10. UK population growth
11. UK GDP , inflation, population and real GDP per head / % annual changes
12. UK household disposable income and retail sales / % annual change
13. Internet sales: value and as % of all retailing
14. Household penetration of PC ownership, broadband access and internet shopping
15. Internet shopping penetration for selected EU countries
16. Internet sales and mail order
17. Average internet shopping transaction value
18. UK home shopping transactions per year
19. Internet shopping returns rate by category of item
20. UK home shopping movements per year
21. Leading UK carriers – revenue
22. Carrier size and growth
23. City Link revenue – 2011 vs 2006
24. Revenue growth by carrier
25. Operating models and segment focus
26. Revenue per employee
27. Revenue per depot
28. EBIT margins – overall sector and by carrier
29. EBIT margin by carrier
30. RoS vs RMS for UK carriers
31. Return on Capital Employed
32. Industry employment and productivity
33. UK inflation by category – Transport sector wages vs whole economy and CPI / 2002=100
34. UK inflation by category – fuel and motor vehicles vs CPI / 2002=100
35. Parcels carrier share prices vs FTAS: end of calendar year values / December 2005=100
36. UK GDP: historical and forecast
37. UK inflation: historical and forecast
38. UK household disposable income and retail sales / % annual change : historical and forecast
39. UK express parcels market size and growth: historical and forecast
40. UK express parcels market forecast assumptions
COMPANIES MENTIONED
TNT Express
DHL
UPS
Yodel
Parcelforce Worldwide
City Link
DPD
Hermes
FedEx
UK Mail
Interlink
Nightfreight
Tuffnells
DX
APC
Royal Mail

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