Angola Mobile: Africa’s Own Gulf State, Excellent Revenue Upside


June 30, 2008
19 Pages - SKU: AFN1928927
License type:
Countries covered: Angola

It is well-known that Angola is one of Africa's fastest-growing economies. A barrel of oil above $100 and a real GDP growing by more than 20% annually will do that. This AfricaNext Country Report highlights what is less well known: the fact that this is the third largest sub-Saharan African mobile market in revenue terms, with uniquely appealing mobile economics.


EXECUTIVE SUMMARY


BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT: AS OIL GOES, SO GOES ANGOLA - FOR NOW


REGULATORY BAROMETER: A CONTROLLED ENVIRONMENT, CHINA-STYLE


MOBILE MARKET: AFRICA’S THIRD LARGEST MOBILE MARKET, AND THERE’S MORE TO COME


SUBSCRIBER DYNAMICS: MORE GROWTH AHEAD, BUT NEEDS THIRD PLAYER FOR TRUE EXPLOSION


ARPU & REVENUE DYNAMICS: EXCELLENT REVENUE ENVIRONMENT, LONG TERM POTENTIAL AT $3BN


KEY PLAYER SHARE ANALYSIS: A STATE-SANCTIONED DUOPOLY


COUNTRY OPEX PROFILE: ON THE HIGH SIDE, OWING TO EXPENSIVE LIVING ENVIRONMENT


COUNTRY CAPEX PROFILE: A $300M+/YEAR MARKET, BUT LOW CAPEX INTENSITY


SUMMARY FCF PROFILE: HIGH EBITDA + LOW CAPEX INTENSITY = EXCELLENT FCF PROFILE


KEY PLAYER SWOT ANALYSIS - UNITEL, LEVERAGING THE FLEXIBILITY OF GSM


KEY PLAYER SWOT ANALYSIS - MOVICEL, NUMBER 2 BY DEFAULT


MARKET OUTLOOK - PROJECTION TABLE


THE AFRICANEXT MARKET WATCHLIST

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