Africa Broadband Forecasts 2007 - 2012


September 30, 2008
39 Pages - SKU: AFN1929575
License type:
Countries covered: Africa

There is a confluence of indicators that suggest that for the first time in more than a decade, broadband growth in the African continent may be on the verge of truly taking off. The list is long: last mile competition, international gateway licensing, submarine cable deployments, domestic fiber backbone deployments, unified licenses, improvements in radio spectral efficiency, economies of scale on 3G radio equipment, emergence of EVDO and WiMAX, increased Internet usage from a younger population, increased availability of capital, Tier 1 mobile players aggressively getting into the Internet business and last but not least, Huawei.

A part of our larger broadband review, this report discusses drivers and obstacles to broadband growth in Africa. It provides an elaborate set of broadband forecasts (including 3G, WiMAX, ADSL and Other) for 33 African markets over the 2007 - 2012 period, with a clear set of assumptions and risks.


LIST OF EXHIBITS
COMPANIES MENTIONED IN THIS REPORT ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED.
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
SECTION I THE RISE OF AFRICAN BROADBAND
1.1 BROADBAND: THE MOST SIGNIFICANT OPPORTUNITY SINCE THE MOBILE VOICE BOOM
1.2 SOME DEFINITIONS AND PRELIMINARY POINTS
1.3 AFRICAN MARKETS ARE NOT CREATED EQUAL: FROM VALUE TO VOLUME OPPORTUNITIES
SECTION II GROWTH DRIVERS AND KEY ASSUMPTIONS
2.1 BROADBAND TECHNOLOGY: THE RESILIENCY OF ADSL AND THE RISE OF MOBILE BROADBAND
2.2 EXTERNAL DRIVERS: BROADBAND OPERATING ENVIRONMENT
2.3 TECHNOLOGY DYNAMICS: WHO DEPLOYS WHAT WHERE
2.4 FORECAST ASSUMPTIONS: SEARCHING FOR TIPPING POINTS
SECTION III MARKET PROJECTIONS
3.1 OVERALL BROADBAND FORECASTS - FROM 2.7M TO 13M
3.2 THE 3G CATALYST: MORE THAN HALF OF ALL AFRICAN BROADBAND BY 2012
3.3 ADSL: ALIVE AND WELL, THOUGH NOT KICKING
3.4 WIMAX: A FAST-GROWING ALTERNATIVE, BUT LIMITED SCALE
3.5 MARKET PROJECTIONS: 3G AND WIMAX CAPITAL EXPENDITURE
SECTION IV BROADBAND PROJECTION TABLES
4.1 SUMMARY TABLE - AFRICA BROADBAND SUBSCRIPTIONS BY COUNTRY - 2007- 2012
4.2 AFRICA MOBILE DATA CARD SUBSCRIPTIONS BY COUNTRY - 2007- 2012
4.3 MOBILITY SUBSCRIPTIONS AS % OF BROADBAND SUBSCRIPTIONS BY COUNTRY - 2007- 2012

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