Timber Merchants Market Report - UK 2011-2015 Analysis

Countries covered: United Kingdom AMA Research are pleased to announce the publication of the 3rd edition of the “Timber Merchants Market Report UK - 2011-2015 Analysis”. Incorporating original input and primary research, this unique new report represents an informed and up to date review of the market. As with most construction sectors, timber merchants are experiencing a difficult period but the sector has also benefited from the sustained popularity of timber and wood products in recent years. Market conditions will remain tough in 2011/12, but medium term prospects are more optimistic as the housing market, in particular, slowly recovers. This report focuses on the specialist timber merchant sector, with coverage of competing distribution channels, including builders merchants. The report contains: DETAILED ASSESSMENT OF MARKET - review of recent trends in specialist timber merchants sector - current and future developments, with medium-long term forecasts. DISTRIBUTION STRUCTURE - review of specialist timber merchants, key players (at both a regional and national level), competing channels. ANALYSIS BY PRODUCT GROUP - Sawn and Planed Timber - hardwood and softwood Sheet and Board Materials - OSB, MDF, plywood, etc Manufactured Semi-Finished Products - doors, windows, staircases, roof trusses, timber frames,fencing, decking, flooring etc. Other Products sold by timber merchants MARKET FORECASTS UP TO 2015 - forecasts and key factors influencing the market. Of particular interest Analysis of market size and a comprehensive review of key factors and trends influencing the market. Identification of leading national timber merchants and larger regional timber merchant operations. Review of key end-use sectors and trends - glazing, timber frame etc. Review of competitive channels of distribution Market forecasts for 2011/2012 - medium term prospects up to 2015. Companies in the report include: A W Champion Timber, Alloway Timber, Alsford Timber, Arbor Forest Products, Arnold Laver, B&Q, Beesley & Fildes, Brooks Bros, BSW Timber, C & W Berry, C L Jones, C R Taylor Timber, Carvers, Castle Timber, Crown Timber, David Cover & Sons, Donaldson Timber Engineering, Finnforest UK, Firwood Timber & Plywood Co . G E Robinson & Co, George Sykes, Haldane Fisher, Harlow Bros, Homebase, Huws Gray, IJK Timber Group, International Plywood, James Donaldson Timber, James Jones and Sons, James Latham plc, James McMahon Group, Jewson, JT Dove, Lawsons (Whetstone) Ltd, LBS Builders Merchants, Merton Timber, Meyer Timber, MGM Timber, MKM Building Supplies, North Yorkshire Timber, Parker Kislingbury, Payne Timber, Pontrilas Timber & Builders Merchants, Rembrand Timber, RGB Building Supplies, Robert Duncan Timber, Robert Price, Roger Haydock & Co, Rowan Timber, Snows Timber, Sydenhams, Thornbridge Sawmills, TimberMart (UK), Timbmet Group, Wickes, WJ Handrahan, Wolseley. Key areas covered in the report include: THE MERCHANTS Structure of the timber merchants market, including general characteristics, numbers, trends etc - overlap with other channels. Major timber merchants - turnovers, customer focus, product strengths, etc. Market shares of major merchants on both a national and regional level. Review of key players in UK market. Analysis of competitive channels and their changing emphasis - builders merchants, importers/distributors, DIY multiples, etc. THE MARKET Analysis of timber products market structure - products and distribution, suppliers, distributors, contractors and end-users. Market size in value terms: 2004-10 with forecasts through to 2015. Legislative changes, sustainability issues and timber certification schemes and their influence upon the market. Analysis of current market situation - performance in 2011/12. Background and future prospects, including trends, opportunities, threats and major factors influencing potential future development of the market up to 2015. PRODUCTS/SUPPLIERS Product mix for timber merchants. Review of each product sector - sawn/planed timber, sheet material and manufactured products (doors, windows, flooring, timber frame housing etc.) Market size and trends per major product group. Product mix within major product groups. Timber merchants sales by main product group. CUSTOMERS Analysis of timber merchants key customers - builders, self-builders, manufacturers, shopfitters, etc. Brief review of key end use markets. Distribution trends for timber merchants - changing structure of market etc. KEY MARKET INFLUENCES Review of the housing and construction markets. Raw material prices & availability. Environmental and sustainability issues. Legislation and standards. Economic influences, growth prospects - forecasts up to 2015 and key drivers. The report is extensive with over 90 pages and 40 tables and charts.

Additional Information

The Timber Merchants market relies heavily on the performance of the housing and general construction market in the UK and currently the housing market is still subdued following a severe recession that has lasted several years.

Following a 4 year period of growth up to 2008, the timber merchant's market went into decline and in 2010, the timber merchants market is estimated to be worth around £1,230m - a fall of 9% on the previous year. There were strong annual increases up to 2007/08, before a combination of the housing recession together with the start of a decline in non domestic construction output impacted severely on the sector - resulting in an estimated decline of 12% in 2009 and a further decline of around 9% in 2010.

In 2010, although UK new housing starts increased to 141,000, a 32% increase compared to the previous year, this was still much lower than the 2007 level of 232,000. There are some indications of a slight recovery in early 2011, but it is too early to assess whether this growth will be sustained for the rest of 2011.

In addition to new housebuilding, sales of timber also rely heavily on replacement timber products in the social sector and home improvement in the private sector. In 2009 there was a decline in both sectors, the private sector performing worst with a decline of around 11% whilst the public downturn was less severe at -2%. Forecasts for 2011 indicate low or no growth in RMI in public and private housing in value terms and the timber sector may face a further challenging year of reduced margins and low volumes.

The volume of flats constructed in the UK rose considerably from 2003 - 07 and by the end of 2009 the share of flats to total housing was 50%. However in 2010 traditional housing completions were 55% of total housing with flats at a reduced figure of 45%. This decline in flats and return to more traditional housing should have a positive effect on the sector with the need to supply increasing volumes of timber such as roof trusses, doors and windows, fencing, gates etc.

The number of small sawmills in the UK - those with sawnwood production of less than 1,000 m3 - totalled 259 in 1994 and by 2010 that number had declined to just 73. Consolidation throughout the sector over the years has resulted in the number of large sawmills i.e. more than 50,000 m3 p.a. increasing substantially in the same period.

In the 5 years to 2010 production of sawn softwood the UK has been largely static - though total consumption has declined by around 20%. As a result, UK sawn softwood market share has grown as imports have declined from 35% to 27% of consumption. Woodbased panel production in the UK (Particleboard and Fibreboard) saw decline in the 4 years to 2009 by 13%, about the same decline as exports, however imports of the product declined much more significantly by 37% in the period. However, as the housing market started to show some signs of recovery in 2010 consumption of woodbased panels recovered by around 9%.

In the short term, it is unlikely that the timber merchants market will experience any other than marginal growth at best, and this may not occur until 2012. The housing market, on which the sector depends, shows little sign of full recovery and it may well be several years before housebuilding volumes reach levels equivalent to the years before the housing recession.

Much will depend on RMI in the housing sector and there will need to be a return of consumer confidence and readily available mortgage finance before growth rates will achieve an appropriate level. House prices still show no sign of sustained growth in early-mid 2011 and mortgage approvals have not improved for some time.

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