Housebuilding and RMI Forecasts Bulletin GB 2012-2016 Issue 11


October 4, 2012
47 Pages - SKU: AJLA4886302
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The 11th issue of the “Housebuilding and RMI Forecasts Bulletin GB” is now available, providing a quarterly review of the domestic construction sector. The bulletin contains the very latest statistics and information on housebuilding, together with medium and longer term forecasts. The information covers Great Britain and includes regional statistics and forecasts for England, Wales and Scotland. Also included are data and forecasts for the English regions.

Sectors Covered Include:-

Overview of domestic construction including new work, RMI, housebuilding starts and completions.

A review of domestic construction by sector, e.g. public and private starts and completions.

A regional review of starts and completions by country including England, Wales and Scotland.

Each Issue covers:

Overall value and volume trends in the domestic construction sector in Great Britain.

The level of starts and completions overall and by sector, e.g. public and private.

Starts and completions by country; England, Wales and Scotland, plus the English regions.

Short and Medium term forecasts based on the latest statistics and information available.

Key influencing factors: GDP growth, interest rates, Government policies, funding programmes, Comprehensive Spending Review etc.

Key indicators:

Average house prices of new dwellings, affordability, secured lending etc.

Issue 11 includes

2006 - 2012 Q2 – domestic construction output (new work and RMI) and new orders, in addition to starts and completions.

Impact of the current financial climate and the downturn in the housing market on new build levels and average values.

Current forecasts to 2016 for overall domestic construction market and starts and completions. Forecasts for each country and the English regions are also included.

Mix by Public and Private sector of output and starts and completions, in addition to individual country analysis including England, Wales and Scotland.

Over 45 pages of analysis and informed reporting with over 35 tables and charts. Comment and interpretation on trends and forecasts.


Additional Information

AMA Research are pleased to announce the release of Issue 11 of the Housebuilding and RMI Forecasts Bulletin - GB 2012-2016.

This quarterly publication is based on the company’s in-depth knowledge of the housebuilding and domestic RMI industries, derived from both their extensive report archive and commercial projects, combined with statistical material and interviews with leading organisations in the housebuilding market. The bulletin is designed to provide detailed coverage of current issues and key factors likely to determine the future progress of the market into the medium term.

Providing an 10 year appraisal (2006-2016), the bulletin provides analysis of the overall housebuilding market, including starts and completions, construction output levels, new work and RMI. The private and public sectors are reviewed in greater detail with output and new orders analysed over the last 2-5 years on a quarterly and moving annual total basis (MAT) and a similar analysis for starts and completions since Q1 2006, along with exploration of key factors influencing the recent sector performance and future trends.

The bulletin is published on a quarterly basis providing updated data and revisions to both short-term and medium term forecasts.
1. INTRODUCTION
2. SUMMARY AND FUTURE PROSPECTS
2.1 SUMMARY
2.2 FUTURE PROSPECTS
3. ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT
3.1 GDP
3.2 INTEREST RATES AND INFLATION
3.3 HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION AND SAVINGS RATIO
3.4 CONCLUSIONS
4. OVERVIEW OF NON-DOMESTIC CONSTRUCTION MARKET
4.1 TOTAL CONSTRUCTION MARKET
4.2 DOMESTIC CONSTRUCTION SECTOR
4.2.1 New Work and RMI
4.2.2 Output and New Orders
4.2.3 Starts and Completions
4.3 KEY INDICATORS
4.3.1 Affordability
4.3.2 Secured Lending – House Purchases and Remortgages
4.4 FORECASTS TO 2016
5. DOMESTIC CONSTRUCTION SECTOR REVIEWS
5.1 PRIVATE SECTOR
5.1.1 Output and New Orders
5.1.2 Starts and Completions
5.1.3 Forecast Starts and Completions - Private Sector
5.2 PUBLIC SECTOR
5.2.1 Output and New Orders
5.2.2 Starts and Completions
5.2.3 Forecasts – Public Sector New Housing
5.3 KEY INFLUENCING FACTORS
5.3.1 Mix of New Housing By Type
5.4 RMI - PRIVATE & PUBLIC SECTOR
5.4.1 Private Sector RMI
5.4.2 Public Sector RMI
5.4.3 Forecasts RMI Housing
6. REGIONAL REVIEW
6.1 ENGLAND
6.1.1 Starts and Completions by Sector
6.1.2 Starts and Completions by Region
6.2 WALES
6.2.1 Starts and Completions by Sector
6.3 SCOTLAND
6.3.1 Starts and Completions by Sector
APPENDICES
List of Charts and Tables
CHART 1: NEW HOUSING STARTS AND COMPLETIONS (GREAT BRITAIN) 2006 TO 2016 – BY VOLUME (DWELLINGS)
TABLE 2: KEY ECONOMIC INDICATORS 2006 TO 2016 (% )
TABLE 3: CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT GREAT BRITAIN 2006 TO 2011 – BY VALUE (£ BILLION AT CURRENT PRICES)
TABLE 4: DOMESTIC CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT (NEW WORK AND RMI) GREAT BRITAIN 2006 TO 2011 – BY VALUE (£ BILLION AT CURRENT PRICES)
CHART 5: DOMESTIC CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT (NEW WORK AND RMI) GB 2006 TO Q2 2012 – MOVING ANNUAL TOTAL BY VALUE (£ MILLION AT CURRENT PRICES)
CHART 6: DOMESTIC CONSTRUCTION SECTOR – OUTPUT AND NEW ORDERS NEW HOUSING 2007 TO Q2 2012 – BY VALUE (£ MILLION AT CURRENT PRICES)
CHART 7: HOUSEBUILDING STARTS AND COMPLETIONS QUARTERLY AND MAT GREAT BRITAIN 2006 TO Q2 2012 BY VOLUME
CHART 8: NATIONWIDE FIRST TIME BUYERS HOUSE PRICE TO EARNINGS RATIO 2002-Q2 2012
CHART 9: MOVING ANNUAL TOTAL SECURED GROSS LENDING TO INDIVIDUALS AND HOUSING ASSOCIATIONS 2006-12 £MILLION
CHART 10: DOMESTIC CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT GROWTH AND FORECASTS 2006 TO 2016 – BY VALUE (£ MILLION AT CURRENT PRICES)
CHART 11: DOMESTIC CONSTRUCTION STARTS & COMPLETIONS AND FORECASTS 2006 TO 2016 BY VOLUME
TABLE 12: DOMESTIC CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT (£ MILLION AT CURRENT PRICES) & STARTS/COMPLETIONS ANALYSIS (VOLUME) 2008 TO 2016
CHART 13: PRIVATE SECTOR NEW HOUSING OUTPUT AND NEW ORDERS ANALYSIS Q1 2006 TO Q2 2012 – BY VALUE – (£ MILLION AT CURRENT PRICES)
CHART 14: PRIVATE HOUSEBUILDING STARTS AND COMPLETIONS GREAT BRITAIN 2006 TO 2012 Q2 – BY VOLUME
CHART 15: PRIVATE SECTOR NEW HOUSING STARTS AND COMPLETIONS 2006 TO 2016 – BY VOLUME OF DWELLINGS
CHART 16: PUBLIC SECTOR NEW HOUSING OUTPUT AND NEW ORDERS ANALYSIS Q1 2006 TO Q2 2012 – BY VALUE – (£ MILLION AT CURRENT PRICES)
CHART 17: PUBLIC HOUSEBUILDING STARTS AND COMPLETIONS GREAT BRITAIN 2006 TO 2012 Q2 – BY VOLUME
CHART 18: PUBLIC SECTOR NEW HOUSING STARTS AND COMPLETIONS 2006 TO 2016 – BY VOLUME OF DWELLINGS
CHART 19: HOUSEBUILDING COMPLETIONS - % MIX BY HOUSES / FLATS ENGLAND 2001-2012
CHART 20: PRIVATE SECTOR HOUSING RMI GREAT BRITAIN 2006 TO 2012 Q2 – BY VALUE (£ MILLION)
CHART 21: PUBLIC SECTOR HOUSING RMI GREAT BRITAIN 2006 TO 2012 Q2 – BY VALUE (£ MILLION)
CHART 22: RMI OUTPUT FORECASTS 2006 TO 2016 (£M)
CHART 23: QUARTERLY NEW HOUSING STARTS AND COMPLETIONS 2006 Q2 TO 2012 Q1 IN ENGLAND – BY VOLUME OF DWELLINGS
CHART 24: PUBLIC AND PRIVATE NEW HOUSING STARTS AND COMPLETIONS 2006 TO 2014 IN ENGLAND – BY VOLUME OF DWELLINGS
TABLE 25: PUBLIC AND PRIVATE HOUSEBUILDING STARTS BY ENGLISH REGION 2007-2012
TABLE 26: PUBLIC AND PRIVATE HOUSEBUILDING COMPLETIONS BY ENGLISH REGION 2007-2012
CHART 27: QUARTERLY NEW HOUSING STARTS AND COMPLETIONS 2006 Q1 TO 2012 Q1 IN WALES – BY VOLUME OF DWELLINGS
CHART 28: PUBLIC AND PRIVATE NEW HOUSING STARTS AND COMPLETIONS 2006 TO 2014 IN WALES – BY VOLUME OF DWELLINGS
CHART 29: QUARTERLY NEW HOUSING STARTS AND COMPLETIONS 2006 Q2 TO 2012 Q1 IN SCOTLAND – BY VOLUME OF DWELLINGS
CHART 30: PUBLIC AND PRIVATE NEW HOUSING STARTS AND COMPLETIONS 2006 TO 2014 IN SCOTLAND – BY VOLUME OF DWELLINGS
CHART 31: DOMESTIC CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT (NEW WORK AND RMI) GREAT BRITAIN 2006 TO Q2 2012 – MOVING ANNUAL TOTAL BY VALUE (£ MILLION AT CURRENT PRICES)
CHART 32: HOUSEBUILDING STARTS AND COMPLETIONS QUARTERLY AND MAT GREAT BRITAIN 2006 - 2012 Q2 BY VOLUME
CHART 33: NEW DWELLINGS BY AVERAGE PRICE, RECORDED INCOME OF BORROWERS AND AVERAGE MORTGAGE ADVANCE 1990-2011 – BY VALUE
CHART 34: PRIVATE SECTOR NEW HOUSING OUTPUT AND NEW ORDERS ANALYSIS Q1 2006 TO Q2 2012 – BY VALUE – (£ MILLION AT CURRENT PRICES)
CHART 35: PRIVATE HOUSEBUILDING STARTS AND COMPLETIONS GREAT BRITAIN Q1 2006 TO Q2 2012 – BY VOLUME
CHART 36: PUBLIC SECTOR NEW HOUSING OUTPUT AND NEW ORDERS ANALYSIS Q1 2006 TO Q2 2012 – BY VALUE (£ MILLION AT CURRENT PRICES)
CHART 37: PUBLIC HOUSEBUILDING STARTS AND COMPLETIONS GREAT BRITAIN Q1 2006 TO Q2 2012 – BY VOLUME

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